Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville PredatorsDec 3, 2019

Final / OTTuesday, Dec 3, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	1	1	0	1	3		TBL	3	15	10	3	31
NSH	0	1	1	0	2		NSH	13	11	7	1	32

: TBL 59NSH 49
: TBL 2.94NSH 1.75
PP goals: TBL 0NSH 1
Hits: TBL 17NSH 14
Blocks: TBL 10NSH 11
PIM: TBL 15NSH 26
: TBL 49%NSH 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 3–2 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 3–2 in overtime at NSH. Kyle Turris (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for NSH: Turris–Jarnkrok–Carr skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Kyle Turris had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:48.Turris
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:42.Kucherov
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:08.Stamkos
New line
New look for NSH: Turris–Jarnkrok–Carr skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Turris Jarnkrok Carr
Usage
Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) played 22:35, +6:45 up on his 15:50 season average over 63 games.Jarnkrok
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 22:53, +6:48 up on his 16:05 season average over 68 games.Palat
Usage
Matt Irwin (NSH) played 6:48, −7:53 down on his 14:41 season average over 35 games.Irwin
Usage
Ryan Johansen (NSH) played 9:20, −7:50 down on his 17:10 season average over 67 games.Johansen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · NSH 49 · TBL 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 37% of the game, NSH 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NSH
	46	41
	1.57	1.17
	1.52	1.16
	8	8
	4	5
	14	11
	−0.002	+0.002
	37%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
10:5342% CF
L2Stamkos – Johnson – Cirelli
9:5264% CF
L3Maroon – Gourde – Paquette
8:2747% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
10:3265% CF
D2Shattenkirk – Hedman
8:1977% CF
D3Sergachev – Rutta
4:3750% CF

PP1Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Point – Cernak
3:270% CF
PP2Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Cirelli
2:15100% CF
PK1FPalat – Cirelli
2:20
PK2FGourde – Joseph
1:16
PK1DSchenn – Hedman
2:48
PK2DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:19

Current TBL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Smith – Grimaldi
7:2538% CF
L2Turris – Jarnkrok – Carr
6:2664% CF
L3Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg
4:4656% CF
L4Watson – Sissons – Olivier
4:0022% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
15:1554% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
14:4752% CF
D3Hamhuis – Irwin
6:2720% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Forsberg
4:1380% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Ekholm – Smith
2:14100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
2:47
PK2FJarnkrok – Forsberg
2:35
PK1DJosi – Ellis
5:27
PK2DHamhuis – Ekholm
3:28

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:46
TBLVictor Hedman (Steven Stamkos, Tyler Johnson)slap0.04 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, CirelliNSH: Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Grimaldi, Fabbro
TBL 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

6:13
NSHCalle Jarnkrok (Kyle Turris)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Verhaeghe, Joseph, Sergachev, RuttaNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Carr
TBL 1 – 1 NSH
6:44
TBLOndrej Palat (Nikita Kucherov, Kevin Shattenkirk)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, PointNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Carr
TBL 2 – 1 NSH

3rd period

9:51
NSHKyle TurrisPP (Mattias Ekholm, Ryan Ellis)slap0.07 xG
TBL: Schenn, Hedman, Paquette, JosephNSH: Bonino, Turris, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith
TBL 2 – 2 NSH

OT period

2:35
TBLNikita Kucherov (Steven Stamkos, Mikhail Sergachev)deflected0.12 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, SergachevNSH: Bonino, Ellis, Grimaldi
TBL 3 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	1	1	0	22:53	—	—	31	64
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.61	0	0	2	21:42	—	—	47	82
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.44	0	0	0	20:48	—	—	38	71
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	0	1	0	22:43	—	—	70	66
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	2	2	+1	6	0.70	3	1	0	19:08	—	—	63	58
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	15:41	—	—	59	43
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	17:16	—	—	44	42
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	4	1	4	13:28	—	—	53	47
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	0	13:18	—	—	50	32
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	1	0	21:19	—	—	65	87
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	0	2	16:07	—	—	61	71
Victor Hedman D	D2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.11	1	0	0	23:41	—	—	58	67
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	1	1	0	16:00	—	—	67	77
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	19:41	—	—	38	34
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	10:51	—	—	40	59
Luke Schenn D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	5	10:25	—	—	27	18
Mathieu Joseph R	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	0	0	0	9:33	—	—	43	63
Carter Verhaeghe C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	2	5:19	—	—	60	73

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	1.75	62:35

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:07	—	—	47	43
Rocco Grimaldi R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	0	0	15:24	—	—	50	46
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	1	1	0	14:20	—	—	33	26
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	22:35	—	—	65	66
Kyle Turris C	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.10	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	55	58
Daniel Carr L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	0	0	11:34	—	—	42	35
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	20:43	—	—	57	50
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	18:22	—	—	52	46
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	1	15	9:20	—	—	50	47
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	1	0	19:30	—	—	33	25
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	2	5	9:43	—	—	25	3
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	3	1	2	7:34	—	—	36	41
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.25	1	0	0	27:39	—	—	55	40
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	1	0	0	26:12	—	—	52	34
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.08	1	0	0	24:58	—	—	53	57
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	2	17:47	—	—	50	56
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	12:57	—	—	21	3
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	6:48	—	—	20	4

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	O	31	28	3	.903	2.94	62:10

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.