Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville PredatorsFeb 9, 2021

FinalTuesday, Feb 9, 2021· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	3	0	3	6		TBL	11	10	9	30
NSH	1	0	0	1		NSH	11	10	12	33

: TBL 53NSH 61
: TBL 3.16NSH 2.48
PP goals: TBL 3NSH 0
Hits: TBL 24NSH 20
Blocks: TBL 15NSH 11
PIM: TBL 10NSH 22
: TBL 49%NSH 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Nashville Predators 6–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 6–1 at NSH. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 2 power-play goals on 9 attempts in 3:03 together.

Points
Steven Stamkos had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 15:28.Stamkos
Points
Brayden Point had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 14:35.Point
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:01.Sergachev
Points
Mathieu Joseph had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:04.Joseph
Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:12.Palat
Points
Victor Hedman had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:41.Hedman
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 2 power-play goals on 9 attempts in 3:03 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Point
New line
New look for NSH: Duchene–Granlund–Kunin skated 9:51 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Duchene Granlund Kunin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · NSH 61 · TBL 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 32% of the game, NSH 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NSH
	43	60
	2.42	2.20
	2.37	2.10
	7	6
	4	5
	10	7
	−0.002	+0.002
	32%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
11:1743% CF
L2Stamkos – Palat – Point
9:2950% CF
L3Maroon – Joseph – Volkov
9:2641% CF
L4Killorn – Johnson – Cirelli
8:5129% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
15:1442% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
11:0137% CF
D3Schenn – Sergachev
10:2732% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
3:03100% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:3867% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:33
PK2FColeman – Goodrow
1:45
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:48
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
0:58

Current TBL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Kunin
9:5157% CF
L2Forsberg – Sissons – Arvidsson
9:3863% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Grimaldi – Malone
8:0586% CF
L4McCarron – Trenin – Olivier
4:4736% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
13:5654% CF
D2Borowiecki – Benning
11:4348% CF
D3Ekholm – Fabbro
5:4260% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Ellis – Forsberg – McCarron
4:14100% CF
PP2Ekholm – Granlund – Arvidsson – Kunin – Fabbro
2:21100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Grimaldi
1:41
PK2FSissons – Trenin
1:07
PK1DJosi – Fabbro
2:43
PK2DBorowiecki – Benning
1:40

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:43
NSHRocco Grimaldi (Sean Malone, Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.08 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Schenn, Hedman, Palat, PointNSH: Borowiecki, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Malone
TBL 0 – 1 NSH
11:28
TBLSteven Stamkos (Brayden Point, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.35 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, SergachevNSH: Borowiecki, Granlund, Sissons, Benning, Malone
TBL 1 – 1 NSH
12:31
TBLOndrej PalatPP (Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, PointNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Granlund
TBL 2 – 1 NSH
14:03
TBLMathieu Joseph (Mikhail Sergachev, Patrick Maroon)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Sergachev, VolkovNSH: Borowiecki, Duchene, Benning, Trenin, Olivier
TBL 3 – 1 NSH

3rd period

6:40
TBLYanni Gourde (Mikhail Sergachev, Victor Hedman)backhand0.33 xG
TBL: Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, SergachevNSH: Borowiecki, Forsberg, Sissons, Benning, Arvidsson
TBL 4 – 1 NSH
14:34
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Brayden Point, Ondrej Palat)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, PointNSH: Josi, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Fabbro
TBL 5 – 1 NSH
16:20
TBLMathieu JosephPP (Victor Hedman, Alexander Volkov)deflected0.14 xG
TBL: Hedman, Coleman, Joseph, Rutta, VolkovNSH: Josi, Grimaldi, McCarron, Fabbro
TBL 6 – 1 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.43	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	44	43
Barclay Goodrow C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	4	0	0	17:15	—	—	46	41
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	16:59	—	—	46	39
Steven Stamkos C	L2	2	1	3	0	4	0.62	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	47	62
Brayden Point C	L2	0	3	3	0	3	0.54	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	47	62
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	1	2	0	1	0.09	3	1	0	13:12	—	—	47	63
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	2	0	0	13:00	—	—	41	64
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	2	0	2	+1	3	0.33	2	0	2	12:04	—	—	50	65
Alexander Volkov R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	1	2	0	11:53	—	—	44	64
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	0	0	0	17:58	—	—	30	51
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	0	0	2	16:21	—	—	33	52
Tyler Johnson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:08	—	—	27	56
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	3	2	22:24	—	—	41	19
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	2	20:45	—	—	44	23
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.08	0	4	0	22:41	—	—	47	74
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	1	2	14:43	—	—	38	51
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	3	3	+3	4	0.14	2	0	0	20:01	—	—	45	71
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	12:32	—	—	33	52

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.48	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	2	0	19:43	—	—	40	26
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	45	29
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	59	65
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.56	2	1	0	17:39	—	—	68	62
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	67	61
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	1	0	0	14:17	—	—	54	30
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	10	12:34	—	—	81	66
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.27	3	0	0	12:27	—	—	82	93
Sean Malone C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.12	0	0	2	10:38	—	—	61	46
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	4	12:04	—	—	47	29
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	1	0	0	11:19	—	—	50	40
Mathieu Olivier R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	4	1	0	7:37	—	—	47	45
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	3	0	28:34	—	—	62	63
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	0	2	6	22:46	—	—	58	72
Matt Benning D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	0	17:37	—	—	53	27
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	17:20	—	—	50	22
Dante Fabbro D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	0	1	0	22:17	—	—	67	67
Mattias Ekholm D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	11:29	—	—	60	50

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	30	24	6	.800	3.16	59:49

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.