Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville PredatorsApr 13, 2021

FinalTuesday, Apr 13, 2021· Bridgestone Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	1	2		TBL	8	7	8	23
NSH	3	1	3	7		NSH	7	5	10	22

: TBL 49NSH 37
: TBL 1.71NSH 2.51
PP goals: TBL 1NSH 0
Hits: TBL 14NSH 19
Blocks: TBL 2NSH 17
PIM: TBL 8NSH 6
: TBL 31%NSH 69%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators rout Tampa Bay Lightning 7–2

Nashville Predators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 7–2 at home. Viktor Arvidsson (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. NSH scored 7 goals on 2.51 expected goals (37 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Viktor Arvidsson had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:15.Arvidsson
Points
Roman Josi had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:07.Josi
Points
Rocco Grimaldi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:54.Grimaldi
Points
Rem Pitlick had 2 assists (2 points) in 12:11.Pitlick
Points
Ryan Johansen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:53.Johansen
Luck
NSH scored 7 goals on 2.51 expected goals (37 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Maroon–Stephens–Colton skated 6:34 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Maroon Stephens Colton
Usage
Roman Josi (NSH) played 21:07, −3:18 down on his 24:25 season average over 47 games.Josi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 86 of 86 attempts · NSH 37 · TBL 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, NSH 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NSH
	48	40
	1.32	2.60
	1.28	2.50
	6	10
	2	4
	13	16
	−0.133	+0.133
	27%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Point – Cirelli
12:0160% CF
L2Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
10:5962% CF
L3Killorn – Johnson – Joseph
9:2170% CF
L4Maroon – Stephens – Colton
6:3440% CF
D1Hedman – Savard
12:4938% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
11:5770% CF
D3Schenn – Sergachev
7:3364% CF

PP1Hedman – Palat – Point – Cirelli – Sergachev
1:38100% CF
PP2Maroon – McDonagh – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli
1:03
PK1FColeman – Goodrow
2:58
PK2FGourde – Joseph
1:48
PK1DHedman – Savard
2:43
PK2DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Jarnkrok – Granlund – Kunin
11:3344% CF
L2Johansen – Grimaldi – Arvidsson
10:2255% CF
L3Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
8:5450% CF
L4Haula – Cousins – Pitlick
8:2938% CF
D1Ellis – Ekholm
17:1935% CF
D2Josi – Benning
13:4652% CF
D3Harpur – Davies
12:1045% CF

PP1Ekholm – Haula – Cousins – Grimaldi – Kunin
2:5540% CF
PP2Josi – Jarnkrok – Johansen – Granlund – Arvidsson
2:38100% CF
PK1FGranlund – Sissons
1:06
PK2FHaula – Jarnkrok
1:01
PK1DBenning – Harpur
1:28
PK2DEllis – Ekholm
0:32

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:38
NSHColton Sissons (Rem Pitlick, Roman Josi)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Palat, Point, Cernak, Cirelli, SergachevNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Pitlick, Jeannot
TBL 0 – 1 NSH
8:31
NSHRoman Josi (Rocco Grimaldi)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Hedman, Savard, Coleman, Goodrow, GourdeNSH: Josi, Johansen, Grimaldi, Benning, Arvidsson
TBL 0 – 2 NSH
13:50
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Ryan Johansen, Ben Harpur)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Maroon, Hedman, Savard, Stephens, ColtonNSH: Johansen, Grimaldi, Harpur, Arvidsson, Davies
TBL 0 – 3 NSH

2nd period

0:41
TBLBrayden PointPP (Victor Hedman, Mikhail Sergachev)deflected0.16 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Point, SergachevNSH: Ekholm, Granlund, Sissons, Benning
TBL 1 – 3 NSH
8:09
NSHRocco Grimaldi (Ryan Johansen, Viktor Arvidsson)backhand0.12 xG
TBL: Hedman, Savard, Coleman, Goodrow, GourdeNSH: Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, Grimaldi, Arvidsson
TBL 1 – 4 NSH

3rd period

9:59
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Roman Josi)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, SergachevNSH: Josi, Johansen, Grimaldi, Benning, Arvidsson
TBL 1 – 5 NSH
11:28
TBLYanni Gourde (Erik Cernak)wrist0.18 xG
TBL: Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, CernakNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Jeannot
TBL 2 – 5 NSH
14:34
NSHTanner Jeannot (Yakov Trenin)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: Killorn, Schenn, Johnson, Stephens, SergachevNSH: Sissons, Harpur, Trenin, Davies, Jeannot
TBL 2 – 6 NSH
18:34
NSHMikael Granlund (Rem Pitlick, Nick Cousins)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Savard, Coleman, Goodrow, GourdeNSH: Granlund, Cousins, Harpur, Pitlick, Davies
TBL 2 – 7 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:42	—	—	64	51
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	-2	3	0.28	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	62	44
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	2	14:34	—	—	60	43
Yanni Gourde C	L2	1	0	1	-2	4	0.39	1	1	0	16:48	—	—	63	51
Blake Coleman L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.07	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	61	48
Barclay Goodrow C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.25	2	0	0	15:25	—	—	64	53
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	63	19
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	50	9
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	12:58	—	—	57	16
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	11:28	—	—	29	3
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:32	—	—	33	5
Mitchell Stephens C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	0	0	9:51	—	—	29	3
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.09	1	0	0	24:27	—	—	41	30
David Savard D	D1	0	0	0	-4	0	0.00	2	0	0	19:23	—	—	42	20
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	1	0	2	20:54	—	—	70	54
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:14	—	—	65	39
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	1	1	-3	2	0.13	1	0	0	22:48	—	—	50	23
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	0	0	11:10	—	—	56	48

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	22	15	7	.682	2.51	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	0	2	0	18:03	—	—	45	65
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	17:47	—	—	44	71
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	16:58	—	—	45	68
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	2	2	+4	1	0.17	2	0	0	15:53	—	—	57	91
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	2	1	3	+4	3	0.39	0	1	0	15:15	—	—	57	91
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	1	1	2	+4	2	0.34	1	0	0	14:54	—	—	55	90
Colton Sissons C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	2	0	0	14:35	—	—	47	53
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.35	3	0	0	12:34	—	—	41	54
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	5	0	0	11:41	—	—	50	56
Erik Haula L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	1	2	16:12	—	—	21	28
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:19	—	—	29	33
Rem Pitlick C	L4	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:11	—	—	36	45
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	1	0	24:29	—	—	35	45
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	3	2	19:47	—	—	35	44
Roman Josi D	D2	1	2	3	+3	3	0.33	0	2	0	21:07	—	—	58	85
Matt Benning D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	1	3	0	17:26	—	—	55	88
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.01	1	3	0	17:16	—	—	42	57
Jeremy Davies D	D3	0	0	0	+3	2	0.04	0	0	2	14:29	—	—	50	79

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	23	21	2	.913	1.71	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.