Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville PredatorsFeb 26, 2022

FinalSaturday, Feb 26, 2022· Nissan Stadium

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	1	3		TBL	12	13	8	33
NSH	1	0	1	2		NSH	11	5	12	28

: TBL 54NSH 63
: TBL 2.76NSH 2.64
PP goals: TBL 2NSH 2
Hits: TBL 26NSH 33
Blocks: TBL 18NSH 11
PIM: TBL 18NSH 18
: TBL 41%NSH 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 3–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 3–2 at NSH. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 5:13 together.

Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 18:35.Stamkos
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:17.Kucherov
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 2 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 5:13 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:27 together.Josi Duchene Johansen Granlund Forsberg
Usage
Erik Cernak (TBL) played 5:39, −13:45 down on his 19:24 season average over 54 games.Cernak
Usage
Colton Sissons (NSH) played 20:27, +4:21 up on his 16:06 season average over 78 games.Sissons
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 29:05, +4:03 up on his 25:02 season average over 81 games.Hedman
Usage
Eeli Tolvanen (NSH) played 8:37, −4:53 down on his 13:30 season average over 74 games.Tolvanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · NSH 63 · TBL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, NSH 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NSH
	49	50
	1.77	1.65
	1.68	1.50
	7	6
	4	1
	14	12
	−0.062	+0.062
	27%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
11:4852% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
9:3964% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
7:4738% CF
L4Joseph – Raddysh – Colton
6:2150% CF
D1Sergachev – Foote
7:3040% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
6:5733% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
2:3975% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
5:1391% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Cernak – Sergachev – Colton
0:29100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
3:40
PK2FBellemare – Raddysh
0:40
PK1DMcDonagh – Hedman
2:04
PK2DSergachev – Rutta
0:38

Current TBL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
12:3355% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
9:4850% CF
L3Johansen – Kunin – Tomasino
8:2718% CF
L4McCarron – Luff – Tolvanen
5:3650% CF
D1Josi – Fabbro
13:5466% CF
D2Ekholm – Benning
11:4228% CF
D3Harpur – Myers
8:5050% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
4:2778% CF
PP2Ekholm – Sissons – Jeannot – Tolvanen – Tomasino
1:24100% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
2:31
PK2FGranlund – Trenin
0:32
PK1DEkholm – Benning
2:38
PK2DHarpur – Fabbro
0:43

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:20
NSHTanner JeannotPP (Philip Tomasino, Colton Sissons)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, RuttaNSH: Ekholm, Sissons, Jeannot, Tolvanen, Tomasino
TBL 0 – 1 NSH

2nd period

0:58
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointNSH: Ekholm, Granlund, Myers, Jeannot
TBL 1 – 1 NSH
6:18
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointNSH: Granlund, Harpur, McCarron, Fabbro
TBL 2 – 1 NSH

3rd period

11:31
TBLSteven Stamkos (Cal Foote, Alex Killorn)slap0.04 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cirelli, FooteNSH: Ekholm, Benning, McCarron, Luff, Tolvanen
TBL 3 – 1 NSH
12:29
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Mikael Granlund, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Bellemare, Joseph, SergachevNSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg
TBL 3 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.46	2	0	0	20:20	—	—	48	55
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	20:17	—	—	50	54
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:44	—	—	43	54
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.34	2	1	0	21:22	—	—	64	56
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.31	5	2	0	19:40	—	—	58	62
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	2	3	+1	5	0.42	1	0	0	18:35	—	—	61	58
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:14	—	—	33	33
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	7	11:00	—	—	33	25
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	5	10:44	—	—	38	49
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.26	2	0	2	12:10	—	—	50	56
Taylor Raddysh R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	1	0	9:54	—	—	43	37
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	2	0	0	7:43	—	—	54	52
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.13	2	2	0	25:47	—	—	46	55
Cal Foote D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	0	1	0	11:18	—	—	47	41
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.03	1	4	2	29:05	—	—	39	34
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:29	—	—	54	59
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.16	1	5	2	26:06	—	—	57	61
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:39	—	—	58	55

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.64	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.33	3	0	0	22:37	—	—	52	41
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	1	0	22:03	—	—	56	44
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.64	3	1	0	20:27	—	—	54	49
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	4	0	0	20:27	—	—	52	52
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.32	3	1	2	17:41	—	—	57	57
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	2	0	0	14:52	—	—	63	54
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.17	0	1	7	15:11	—	—	38	56
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:52	—	—	37	47
Philip Tomasino R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	12:35	—	—	21	18
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	3	1	5	9:27	—	—	57	59
Eeli Tolvanen R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	0	8:37	—	—	53	46
Matt Luff R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	3	0	0	6:43	—	—	53	47
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.22	0	1	0	28:20	—	—	58	48
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:34	—	—	63	48
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	22:40	—	—	35	37
Matt Benning D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	2	4	2	18:10	—	—	31	34
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	14:51	—	—	56	63
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	1	0	10:34	—	—	50	64

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	2.76	58:07

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.