Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 16, 2017

FinalMonday, Oct 16, 2017· Little Caesars Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	8	11	7	26
DET	0	2	0	2		DET	10	12	9	31

: TBL 40DET 54
: TBL 3.48DET 3.61
PP goals: TBL 1DET 0
Hits: TBL 25DET 15
Blocks: TBL 10DET 6
PIM: TBL 12DET 10
: TBL 43%DET 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Detroit Red Wings 3–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Detroit Red Wings 3–2 at DET. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Namestnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:53 together.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:50.Kucherov
Points
Justin Abdelkader had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:13.Abdelkader
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:40.Stamkos
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Namestnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:53 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Namestnikov
Usage
Riley Sheahan (DET) played 6:01, −8:46 down on his 14:47 season average over 80 games.Sheahan
Usage
Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) played 8:37, −6:50 down on his 15:27 season average over 78 games.Sergachev
Luck
DET scored 2 goals on 3.61 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 24:33, +4:46 up on his 19:47 season average over 81 games.Larkin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 94 of 94 attempts · DET 54 · TBL 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 28% of the game, DET 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DET
	30	46
	1.93	2.88
	1.89	2.84
	5	16
	2	2
	17	16
	−0.063	+0.063
	28%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
9:5443% CF
L2Kunitz – Callahan – Paquette
8:5925% CF
L3Palat – Gourde – Point
8:1838% CF
D1Hedman – Dotchin
10:1327% CF
D2Coburn – Girardi
6:5442% CF
D3Stralman – Koekkoek
6:1050% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
3:53100% CF
PP2Stralman – Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point
2:2550% CF
PK1FPalat – Point
2:26
PK2FKillorn – Johnson
2:19
PK1DStralman – Hedman
3:19
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
2:44

Current TBL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Nyquist – Mantha
9:1279% CF
L2Abdelkader – Tatar – Larkin
4:0475% CF
L3Nielsen – Helm – Frk
2:2450% CF
D1Kronwall – Green
13:3560% CF
D2Jensen – Ouellet
11:4144% CF
D3Daley – Ericsson
10:0168% CF

PP1Nielsen – Green – Frk – Mantha – Larkin
4:4586% CF
PP2Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Tatar
4:25100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
3:10
PK2FNielsen – Helm
2:38
PK1DDaley – Ericsson
4:28
PK2DJensen – Ouellet
2:14

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:15
TBLTyler JohnsonSHwrist0.18 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, HedmanDET: Zetterberg, Daley, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar
TBL 1 – 0 DET
10:56
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, NamestnikovDET: Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm
TBL 2 – 0 DET

2nd period

2:30
DETJustin Abdelkaderwrist0.52 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, DotchinDET: Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm
TBL 2 – 1 DET
16:02
DETMike Green (Justin Abdelkader, Tomas Tatar)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: Stralman, Palat, Gourde, Koekkoek, PointDET: Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Tatar
TBL 2 – 2 DET

3rd period

1:47
TBLNikita Kucherov (Steven Stamkos, Vladislav Namestnikov)backhand0.24 xG
TBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, KoekkoekDET: Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening
TBL 3 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	2	0	2	+1	6	0.62	0	0	2	20:50	—	—	39	41
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.19	1	0	0	19:40	—	—	46	44
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	1.06	1	2	2	16:44	—	—	42	41
Ryan Callahan R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	1	0	0	12:51	—	—	29	69
Chris Kunitz L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	10:51	—	—	25	69
Cedric Paquette C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:12	—	—	23	56
Brayden Point C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	35	21
Ondrej Palat L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:59	—	—	44	29
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	43	26
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	4	1	0	26:57	—	—	28	19
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	13:50	—	—	35	20
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	18:38	—	—	44	60
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	3	0	16:21	—	—	27	51
Anton Stralman D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	22:07	—	—	56	53
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	2	2	7:01	—	—	43	48
Tyler Johnson C	—	1	0	1	+1	4	0.74	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	55	35
Alex Killorn L	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	3	0	4	16:12	—	—	54	36
Mikhail Sergachev D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	8:37	—	—	55	60

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	3.61	59:30

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	0	1	0	20:53	—	—	71	68
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.56	3	0	2	20:35	—	—	68	71
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.29	0	0	0	17:00	—	—	79	76
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	2	0	0	24:33	—	—	70	81
Justin Abdelkader L	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.65	0	1	2	18:13	—	—	67	69
Tomas Tatar L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	16:57	—	—	61	42
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	1	0	2	15:47	—	—	50	59
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	1	0	0	14:49	—	—	48	64
Martin Frk R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	2	13:32	—	—	60	71
Mike Green D	D1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.33	1	0	0	22:28	—	—	64	57
Niklas Kronwall D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	19:38	—	—	60	52
Xavier Ouellet D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	3	0	16:27	—	—	44	58
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	0	0	0	14:52	—	—	50	64
Trevor Daley D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:46	—	—	70	62
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	17:35	—	—	70	64
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	9:57	—	—	25	16
Riley Sheahan C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	6:01	—	—	29	5
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	3:22	—	—	25	0

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	3.48	58:55

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.