Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red WingsMar 11, 2021

FinalThursday, Mar 11, 2021· Little Caesars Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	2	4		TBL	15	13	16	44
DET	3	2	1	6		DET	6	12	5	23

: TBL 80DET 33
: TBL 4.11DET 3.30
PP goals: TBL 1DET 0
Hits: TBL 18DET 10
Blocks: TBL 7DET 21
PIM: TBL 11DET 17
: TBL 61%DET 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–4

Detroit Red Wings beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–4 at home. Ondrej Palat (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 5:45 together.

Points
Anthony Mantha had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:39.Mantha
Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:43.Palat
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:40.Point
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:46.Stamkos
Points
Filip Hronek had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:01.Hronek
Points
Filip Zadina had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:07.Zadina
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 5:45 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Palat Point
Goalie
Jonathan Bernier (DET) faced 44 shots and stopped 40 (.909), +12 against a season average of 31.5; the win.Bernier

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · DET 33 · TBL 80

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 64% of the game, DET 13%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DET
	67	25
	2.51	1.12
	2.43	1.09
	13	5
	2	4
	10	5
	+0.077	−0.077
	64%	13%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Point – Cirelli
9:4490% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Gourde
8:4861% CF
L3Johnson – Coleman – Goodrow
8:4276% CF
L4Maroon – Joseph – Colton
8:1767% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:4994% CF
D2Sergachev – Foote
8:5680% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
8:2040% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
5:4592% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:21100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:27
PK2FColeman – Goodrow
1:11
PK1DHedman – Sergachev
2:47
PK2DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:13

Current TBL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Mantha – Larkin – Fabbri
9:4225% CF
L2Gagner – Namestnikov – Zadina
6:1638% CF
L3Helm – Glendening – Erne
4:2720% CF
D1DeKeyser – Hronek
11:2626% CF
D2Staal – Merrill
6:1936% CF
D3Nemeth – Stecher
4:2033% CF

PP1Ryan – Gagner – Djoos – Mantha – Fabbri
3:13100% CF
PP2Erne – Larkin – Hronek – Rasmussen – Zadina
1:16100% CF
PK1FGagner – Namestnikov
3:30
PK2FHelm – Glendening
2:47
PK1DDeKeyser – Hronek
3:45
PK2DStaal – Merrill
3:08

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:31
DETTroy Stecher (Sam Gagner, Filip Zadina)snap0.04 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Coleman, Gourde, FooteDET: Gagner, Merrill, Namestnikov, Stecher, Zadina
TBL 0 – 1 DET
10:55
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Ondrej Palat, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: Palat, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev, FooteDET: Staal, Helm, Glendening, Erne, Stecher
TBL 1 – 1 DET
12:12
DETDylan Larkin (Filip Hronek, Anthony Mantha)tip-in0.13 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, RuttaDET: DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek
TBL 1 – 2 DET
13:55
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Alex Killorn, Ondrej Palat)snap0.18 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, PointDET: Staal, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Glendening
TBL 2 – 2 DET
14:56
DETAnthony Manthawrist0.13 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, RuttaDET: Staal, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri
TBL 2 – 3 DET

2nd period

0:33
DETLuke Glendening (Michael Rasmussen, Filip Zadina)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, RuttaDET: Staal, Merrill, Glendening, Rasmussen, Zadina
TBL 2 – 4 DET
4:50
DETRobby Fabbri (Jon Merrill)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Point, Joseph, FooteDET: Staal, Merrill, Namestnikov, Larkin, Fabbri
TBL 2 – 5 DET

3rd period

15:51
TBLBrayden Pointwrist0.16 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, SergachevDET: Gagner, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Hronek, Zadina
TBL 3 – 5 DET
17:05
TBLOndrej Palat (Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.21 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, SergachevDET: Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Larkin, Hronek
TBL 4 – 5 DET
19:40
DETVladislav NamestnikovEN (Anthony Mantha, Filip Hronek)wrist0.96 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, SergachevDET: Gagner, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Mantha, Hronek
TBL 4 – 6 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.46	1	0	0	20:40	—	—	83	82
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	2	3	+2	4	0.59	1	0	0	19:43	—	—	88	86
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.34	3	0	0	17:57	—	—	91	84
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	1	2	-1	4	0.52	1	1	0	21:46	—	—	60	58
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	-3	2	0.47	2	0	2	18:57	—	—	58	53
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.01	1	0	2	16:20	—	—	57	46
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	0	0	2	13:21	—	—	71	62
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	1	0	5	12:33	—	—	77	62
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	11:57	—	—	79	65
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:08	—	—	62	71
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:54	—	—	69	80
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	8:51	—	—	67	84
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.07	1	2	0	20:16	—	—	81	89
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	2	1	0	20:15	—	—	95	100
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	0	1	+2	9	0.54	0	0	0	22:10	—	—	82	89
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	1	2	0	11:54	—	—	69	77
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.33	0	1	0	25:33	—	—	58	42
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.01	0	0	0	10:41	—	—	55	24

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	22	17	5	.773	1.58	57:42

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.13	0	0	0	20:45	—	—	24	50
Anthony Mantha R	L1	1	2	3	+3	2	0.29	1	1	0	16:39	—	—	20	49
Robby Fabbri C	L1	1	0	1	+3	2	0.13	0	0	2	15:30	—	—	22	44
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.96	1	0	0	17:49	—	—	35	18
Sam Gagner C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	33	7
Filip Zadina R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	38	40
Luke Glendening C	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.28	1	3	0	17:26	—	—	36	31
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.76	0	1	2	15:40	—	—	29	14
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	5	11:25	—	—	13	4
Filip Hronek D	D1	0	2	2	0	3	0.06	3	3	2	23:01	—	—	27	17
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	19:05	—	—	25	12
Jon Merrill D	D2	0	1	1	+4	0	0.00	0	3	0	19:47	—	—	33	47
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	3	0	15:31	—	—	25	53
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:37	—	—	33	41
Troy Stecher D	D3	1	0	1	0	4	0.13	0	0	0	12:36	—	—	26	25
Bobby Ryan R	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	1	2	14:10	—	—	8	2
Michael Rasmussen C	—	0	1	1	+1	1	0.19	1	1	2	13:16	—	—	27	39
Christian Djoos D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	10:58	—	—	14	1

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	44	40	4	.909	4.11	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.