Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo SabresDec 31, 2019

FinalTuesday, Dec 31, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

6

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	3	3	6		TBL	3	15	9	27
BUF	1	3	0	4		BUF	10	9	9	28

: TBL 47BUF 51
: TBL 4.69BUF 3.57
PP goals: TBL 2BUF 0
Hits: TBL 19BUF 20
Blocks: TBL 10BUF 8
PIM: TBL 15BUF 27
: TBL 45%BUF 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 6–4

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 6–4 at BUF. Alex Killorn (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 5:57 together.

Points
Alex Killorn had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:16.Killorn
Points
Conor Sheary had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 15:00.Sheary
Points
Tyler Johnson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 12:17.Johnson
Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:42.Cirelli
Points
Marcus Johansson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:45.Johansson
Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:32.Palat
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 5:57 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point
New line
New look for TBL: Stamkos–Kucherov–Point skated 5:35 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stamkos Kucherov Point

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · BUF 51 · TBL 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 34% of the game, BUF 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	BUF
	32	38
	1.94	2.78
	1.88	2.50
	5	6
	7	0
	5	8
	−0.024	+0.024
	34%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
5:3575% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Cirelli
4:4150% CF
L3Killorn – Maroon – Paquette
2:4667% CF
L4Gourde – Verhaeghe – Stephens
2:1933% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
10:4941% CF
D2Shattenkirk – Sergachev
10:4769% CF
D3Schenn – Hedman
7:4138% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
5:5783% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Johnson – Palat – Sergachev
2:1467% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
3:10
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
2:53
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:42
PK2DSchenn – Hedman
1:32

Current TBL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
12:4239% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
7:4443% CF
L3Johansson – Vesey – Sheary
4:29100% CF
D1Montour – Dahlin
11:0865% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
6:4162% CF
D3McCabe – Ristolainen
5:4671% CF

PP1Johansson – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
6:13100% CF
PP2Okposo – Vesey – Ristolainen – Sheary – Montour
1:26100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
4:33
PK2FLazar – Asplund
1:25
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:37
PK2DScandella – Montour
1:46

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:03
BUFConor Sheary (Curtis Lazar)slap0.13 xG
TBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Point, Stephens, SergachevBUF: Scandella, Vesey, Lazar, Sheary, Jokiharju
TBL 0 – 1 BUF

2nd period

2:12
BUFMarcus Johansson (Conor Sheary, Marco Scandella)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Schenn, Hedman, CirelliBUF: Scandella, Johansson, Smith, Sheary, Jokiharju
TBL 0 – 2 BUF
7:00
TBLOndrej PalatPP (Tyler Johnson, Mikhail Sergachev)slap0.18 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Maroon, Johnson, Palat, SergachevBUF: Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Montour
TBL 1 – 2 BUF
8:12
BUFJimmy Vesey (Marcus Johansson, Conor Sheary)slap0.13 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Schenn, Johnson, Hedman, VerhaegheBUF: Johansson, Vesey, Sheary, Montour, Dahlin
TBL 1 – 3 BUF
9:56
BUFJack EichelSHbackhand0.20 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Maroon, Johnson, Palat, GourdeBUF: Lazar, Montour, Eichel, Jokiharju
TBL 1 – 4 BUF
13:57
TBLAlex KillornPP (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointBUF: Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen
TBL 2 – 4 BUF
16:55
TBLTyler Johnson (Ondrej Palat, Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, CirelliBUF: Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju
TBL 3 – 4 BUF

3rd period

6:20
TBLKevin Shattenkirk (Tyler Johnson, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, SergachevBUF: Johansson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar, Asplund
TBL 4 – 4 BUF
8:08
TBLAlex Killorn (Patrick Maroon, Cedric Paquette)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Killorn, Maroon, Schenn, Hedman, PaquetteBUF: Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
TBL 5 – 4 BUF
19:57
TBLAnthony CirelliEN (Alex Killorn, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.67 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Hedman, CirelliBUF: Okposo, Vesey, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Eichel
TBL 6 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	1.01	0	1	2	20:53	—	—	42	39
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.46	1	0	2	19:25	—	—	74	90
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.39	0	0	0	18:44	—	—	65	72
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	1.10	1	0	0	18:42	—	—	44	54
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.37	1	1	0	13:32	—	—	59	56
Tyler Johnson C	L2	1	2	3	0	1	0.15	0	0	2	12:17	—	—	28	19
Alex Killorn L	L3	2	1	3	+2	4	0.54	1	2	0	20:16	—	—	31	27
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	0	0	12:40	—	—	55	37
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.17	2	0	0	11:09	—	—	50	38
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:34	—	—	44	43
Mitchell Stephens C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	0	0	7:42	—	—	20	15
Carter Verhaeghe C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:40	—	—	20	21
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	23:24	—	—	42	28
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	4	1	0	18:25	—	—	42	28
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	50	56
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	2	3	7	16:59	—	—	67	78
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	25:23	—	—	44	44
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	11:51	—	—	31	39

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	3.57	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	-2	2	0.40	2	3	0	25:13	—	—	41	43
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.89	1	1	0	22:42	—	—	44	57
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.63	0	1	0	22:05	—	—	42	54
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	1	0	14:37	—	—	56	79
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	2	13:45	—	—	33	11
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	13:18	—	—	56	57
Marcus Johansson L	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.16	1	0	2	19:45	—	—	85	75
Conor Sheary L	L3	1	2	3	+2	4	0.30	1	0	0	15:00	—	—	100	100
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	0	0	0	12:50	—	—	73	74
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	1	0	0	24:25	—	—	62	62
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	0	0	21:31	—	—	55	53
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:21	—	—	50	65
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	4	13:53	—	—	42	43
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.09	8	0	0	24:23	—	—	50	59
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	1	17	11:47	—	—	75	74
Curtis Lazar C	—	0	1	1	+1	0	0.13	1	0	0	9:19	—	—	33	43
Rasmus Asplund C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:21	—	—	83	63
Dalton Smith L	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	1:26	—	—	100	100

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	26	21	5	.808	2.83	57:29

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.