Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 6, 2018

FinalSaturday, Jan 6, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	3	0	3		TBL	13	20	15	48
OTT	3	0	3	6		OTT	12	10	11	33

: TBL 93OTT 55
: TBL 4.82OTT 3.96
PP goals: TBL 1OTT 0
Hits: TBL 22OTT 26
Blocks: TBL 12OTT 22
PIM: TBL 10OTT 14
: TBL 48%OTT 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–3

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–3 at home. Mark Stone (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +18 against a season average of 30.5; the win.

Points
Mark Stone had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 19:02.Stone
Points
Erik Karlsson had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 29:30.Karlsson
Points
Ryan Dzingel had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:54.Dzingel
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +18 against a season average of 30.5; the win.Anderson
New line
New look for OTT: Burrows–Dumont–White skated 6:06 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Burrows Dumont White
Luck
OTT scored 6 goals on 3.95 expected goals (55 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Luck
TBL scored 3 goals on 4.82 expected goals (93 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Johnny Oduya (OTT) played 13:23, −3:48 down on his 17:11 season average over 51 games.Oduya

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 148 of 148 attempts · OTT 55 · TBL 93

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 42% of the game, OTT 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	79	59
	3.90	4.27
	3.78	3.98
	13	14
	2	5
	6	11
	−0.020	+0.020
	42%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
10:4857% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
10:0165% CF
L3Kunitz – Callahan – Paquette
8:1841% CF
L4Killorn – Conacher – Gourde
7:5673% CF
D1Hedman – Dotchin
17:0954% CF
D2Stralman – Sergachev
10:2760% CF
D3Girardi – Koekkoek
9:5645% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
3:30100% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
3:06100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Johnson
2:38
PK2FGourde – Point
2:30
PK1DGirardi – Koekkoek
1:52
PK2DStralman – Hedman
1:17

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Pyatt – Smith – Pageau
9:1825% CF
L2Brassard – Stone – Dzingel
8:4653% CF
L3Ryan – Hoffman – Duchene
8:4244% CF
L4Burrows – Dumont – White
6:0653% CF
D1Phaneuf – Ceci
10:5931% CF
D2Karlsson – Chabot
9:3470% CF
D3Oduya – Harpur
3:0933% CF

PP1Phaneuf – Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel – Ceci
2:5733% CF
PP2Brassard – Karlsson – Hoffman – Stone – Chabot
2:37100% CF
PK1FBurrows – Stone
2:45
PK2FPyatt – Pageau
2:06
PK1DPhaneuf – Karlsson
2:03
PK2DOduya – Ceci
1:06

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:48
OTTRyan Dzingel (Mark Stone)snap0.18 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, DotchinOTT: Oduya, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel
TBL 0 – 1 OTT
5:51
OTTMatt Duchene (Bobby Ryan)snap0.17 xG
TBL: Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Point, SergachevOTT: Phaneuf, Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci
TBL 0 – 2 OTT
17:04
OTTZack Smith (Erik Karlsson, Johnny Oduya)tip-in0.08 xG
TBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, SergachevOTT: Oduya, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau
TBL 0 – 3 OTT

2nd period

0:26
TBLVictor Hedmanwrist0.11 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Dotchin, PointOTT: Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci
TBL 1 – 3 OTT
1:41
TBLSlater Koekkoek (Nikita Kucherov, Alex Killorn)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: Girardi, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, KoekkoekOTT: Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Harpur, Chabot
TBL 2 – 3 OTT
15:57
TBLYanni GourdePP (Mikhail Sergachev, Tyler Johnson)deflected0.14 xG
TBL: Johnson, Palat, Gourde, Point, SergachevOTT: Oduya, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci
TBL 3 – 3 OTT

3rd period

10:44
OTTMark Stone (Derick Brassard, Thomas Chabot)snap0.48 xG
TBL: Kunitz, Callahan, Girardi, Koekkoek, PaquetteOTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Chabot
TBL 3 – 4 OTT
14:57
OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau (Erik Karlsson)tip-in0.02 xG
TBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, SergachevOTT: Pyatt, Karlsson, Pageau, Chabot
TBL 3 – 5 OTT
17:08
OTTRyan Dzingel (Erik Karlsson, Mark Stone)backhand0.09 xG
TBL: Stralman, Conacher, Gourde, Dotchin, SergachevOTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Chabot
TBL 3 – 6 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.10	0	0	2	18:28	—	—	57	37
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.22	0	0	0	18:07	—	—	61	44
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.56	1	2	0	16:36	—	—	54	35
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	1	0	19:25	—	—	67	52
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.32	0	0	0	18:54	—	—	70	52
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	16:54	—	—	70	55
Ryan Callahan R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	2	11:35	—	—	45	30
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	1	2	0	9:17	—	—	39	27
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	2	0	0	8:22	—	—	41	27
Yanni Gourde C	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.49	0	0	0	16:31	—	—	63	65
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	1	1	+1	5	0.86	1	0	0	16:22	—	—	77	82
Cory Conacher C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.73	1	0	0	9:53	—	—	67	76
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	0	1	0	6	0.39	5	1	2	28:26	—	—	57	40
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	2	2	20:51	—	—	57	49
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	-4	3	0.06	1	0	0	17:06	—	—	65	65
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	-4	3	0.06	3	0	2	15:59	—	—	64	60
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	1	0	1	0	4	0.35	3	1	0	15:19	—	—	45	33
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	3	0	14:06	—	—	48	36

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	33	27	6	.818	3.96	57:49

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.05	2	0	0	16:27	—	—	29	64
Tom Pyatt L	L1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:43	—	—	20	59
Zack Smith C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	4	0	4	13:15	—	—	24	58
Mark Stone R	L2	1	2	3	+2	1	0.48	0	1	0	19:02	—	—	51	48
Derick Brassard C	L2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.94	1	2	2	15:34	—	—	52	51
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	2	0	2	+2	3	0.39	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	50	51
Mike Hoffman C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	2	1	2	17:37	—	—	45	50
Matt Duchene C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.47	1	2	0	16:25	—	—	40	52
Bobby Ryan R	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	3	0	0	13:42	—	—	40	52
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	1	0	9:48	—	—	47	52
Gabriel Dumont C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	3	1	2	8:47	—	—	59	65
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:50	—	—	56	57
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	0	24:01	—	—	33	30
Dion Phaneuf D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	5	0	23:01	—	—	29	42
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	3	3	+5	1	0.33	1	4	0	29:30	—	—	55	73
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	1	1	+2	6	0.11	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	61	74
Johnny Oduya D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	3	2	13:23	—	—	39	54
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	1	2	12:43	—	—	22	15

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	48	45	3	.938	4.82	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.