Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsNov 4, 2018

Final / OTSunday, Nov 4, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	1	2	1	4		TBL	8	14	21	2	45
OTT	2	0	1	0	3		OTT	13	8	4	0	25

: TBL 85OTT 54
: TBL 3.22OTT 1.85
PP goals: TBL 0OTT 2
Hits: TBL 32OTT 17
Blocks: TBL 21OTT 24
PIM: TBL 6OTT 6
: TBL 53%OTT 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 in overtime at OTT. Ryan McDonagh (TBL) led the scoring with 0G 3A. OTT's first power-play unit (Boedker, Wideman, Dzingel, Tierney and Lajoie) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 1:34 together.

Points
Ryan McDonagh had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 26:53.McDonagh
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:28.Point
Points
Mark Stone had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:54.Stone
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Boedker, Wideman, Dzingel, Tierney and Lajoie) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 1:34 together.Boedker Wideman Dzingel Tierney Lajoie
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 45 shots and stopped 41 (.911), +11 against a season average of 33.5; the overtime loss.Anderson
Usage
Chris Wideman (OTT) played 4:35, −8:50 down on his 13:25 season average over 24 games.Wideman
Usage
Ryan McDonagh (TBL) played 26:53, +4:51 up on his 22:02 season average over 81 games.McDonagh
Usage
Bobby Ryan (OTT) played 20:02, +4:24 up on his 15:38 season average over 77 games.Ryan

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · OTT 54 · TBL 85

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 46% of the game, OTT 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	89	52
	3.25	1.18
	3.14	1.18
	13	7
	6	6
	20	18
	+0.025	−0.025
	46%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
12:0181% CF
L2Johnson – Gourde – Point
11:1239% CF
L3Callahan – Paquette – Erne
10:5756% CF
L4Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
10:4867% CF
D1Stralman – McDonagh
19:4367% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
13:5473% CF
D3Girardi – Koekkoek
12:4844% CF

PP1Killorn – McDonagh – Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
2:17100% CF
PP2Johnson – Gourde – Erne – Point – Sergachev
0:52
PK1FGourde – Paquette
1:15
PK2FJohnson – Cirelli
0:55
PK1DStralman – McDonagh
1:38
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
1:19

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Duchene – Stone – Dzingel
14:1824% CF
L2Ryan – Boedker – Tierney
11:3927% CF
L3Pyatt – Paajarvi – White
10:1261% CF
D1Ceci – Lajoie
15:3725% CF
D2DeMelo – Chabot
13:5239% CF
D3Borowiecki – Jaros
11:1257% CF

PP1Boedker – Wideman – Dzingel – Tierney – Lajoie
1:34100% CF
PP2Ryan – Duchene – Stone – White – Chabot
1:23100% CF
PK1FDuchene – Stone
1:38
PK2FPyatt – Paajarvi
1:29
PK1DCeci – Lajoie
1:07
PK2DDeMelo – Jaros
1:02

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:55
OTTBobby RyanPP (Mark Stone, Thomas Chabot)snap0.11 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, McDonagh, CirelliOTT: Ryan, Duchene, Stone, White, Chabot
TBL 0 – 1 OTT
14:49
OTTMaxime LajoiePP (Ryan Dzingel, Mikkel Boedker)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Stralman, McDonagh, Gourde, PaquetteOTT: Boedker, Wideman, Dzingel, Tierney, Lajoie
TBL 0 – 2 OTT

2nd period

0:38
TBLCedric Paquette (Ryan McDonagh, Adam Erne)backhand0.17 xG
TBL: Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Paquette, ErneOTT: Ryan, McCormick, DeMelo, Paul, Chabot
TBL 1 – 2 OTT

3rd period

3:04
TBLMathieu Joseph (Anthony Cirelli, Anton Stralman)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stralman, Killorn, Joseph, CirelliOTT: Duchene, McCormick, Paul, Chabot, Jaros
TBL 2 – 2 OTT
15:16
OTTCody Ceci (Chris Tierney, Mark Stone)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, KoekkoekOTT: Boedker, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci, Tierney, Chabot
TBL 2 – 3 OTT
19:33
TBLBrayden Point (Tyler Johnson, Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.12 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Miller, PointOTT: Pyatt, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Ceci
TBL 3 – 3 OTT

OT period

0:14
TBLYanni Gourde (Brayden Point, Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Gourde, PointOTT: Duchene, Stone, Chabot
TBL 4 – 3 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.31	1	0	2	18:35	—	—	84	86
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.29	3	1	0	17:45	—	—	83	86
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	3	1	0	16:55	—	—	80	83
Brayden Point C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.25	2	0	0	16:28	—	—	50	58
Yanni Gourde C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.23	2	0	0	15:37	—	—	48	53
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.06	0	1	0	14:38	—	—	39	40
Cedric Paquette C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	4	5	0	14:18	—	—	59	60
Ryan Callahan R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.33	1	0	0	13:22	—	—	61	61
Adam Erne L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	0	1	2	13:16	—	—	59	51
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.53	2	0	0	16:35	—	—	68	88
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	1	1	+1	4	0.22	1	2	0	13:23	—	—	66	84
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	3	2	0	12:20	—	—	66	84
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	3	3	+2	3	0.32	0	2	0	26:53	—	—	67	79
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.06	2	1	0	23:35	—	—	65	73
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	2	18:12	—	—	74	89
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	3	0	17:36	—	—	70	82
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	15:33	—	—	43	45
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	2	1	0	13:54	—	—	46	48

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	W	25	22	3	.880	1.85	58:54

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.39	2	1	0	20:57	—	—	27	35
Mark Stone R	L1	0	2	2	0	2	0.09	1	2	0	20:54	—	—	36	31
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:59	—	—	27	26
Bobby Ryan R	L2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.12	1	1	0	20:02	—	—	29	22
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	0	2	2	17:14	—	—	33	27
Mikkel Boedker L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:21	—	—	24	24
Tom Pyatt L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	2	0	16:31	—	—	55	30
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	1	0	15:42	—	—	50	29
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	1	0	12:53	—	—	58	40
Maxime Lajoie D	D1	1	0	1	0	6	0.43	2	0	0	22:07	—	—	22	10
Cody Ceci D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	2	0	0	21:46	—	—	32	25
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.10	1	3	0	20:56	—	—	40	27
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	19:30	—	—	34	25
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	3	2	16:37	—	—	41	30
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:54	—	—	45	25
Nick Paul L	—	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	1	0	9:08	—	—	39	21
Max McCormick L	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	2	1	0	7:01	—	—	42	20
Chris Wideman D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	4:35	—	—	50	82

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	45	41	4	.911	3.22	59:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.