Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsApr 1, 2019

FinalMonday, Apr 1, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

5

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	2	2	5		TBL	5	10	11	26
OTT	1	0	1	2		OTT	11	4	9	24

: TBL 56OTT 42
: TBL 2.35OTT 1.29
PP goals: TBL 0OTT 1
Hits: TBL 36OTT 37
Blocks: TBL 10OTT 20
PIM: TBL 13OTT 11
: TBL 49%OTT 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 5–2 at OTT. Yanni Gourde (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for TBL: Stamkos–Palat–Joseph skated 10:38 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (72.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Yanni Gourde had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 18:23.Gourde
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 19:36.Kucherov
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:00.Point
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:06.Sergachev
Points
Braydon Coburn had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:53.Coburn
New line
New look for TBL: Stamkos–Palat–Joseph skated 10:38 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (72.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stamkos Palat Joseph
Luck
TBL scored 5 goals on 2.35 expected goals (56 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli skated 7:43 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Johnson Cirelli

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · OTT 42 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 49% of the game, OTT 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	53	37
	1.77	0.87
	1.68	0.86
	7	2
	7	1
	22	14
	−0.002	+0.002
	49%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Gourde – Point
12:1257% CF
L2Stamkos – Palat – Joseph
10:3872% CF
L3Miller – Paquette – Erne
7:4863% CF
L4Killorn – Johnson – Cirelli
7:4355% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
14:4360% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
12:2463% CF
D3Gaunce – Rutta
9:5567% CF

PP1Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
3:29100% CF
PP2Killorn – McDonagh – Johnson – Miller – Gourde
0:32100% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
2:36
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:02
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:04
PK2DCoburn – Rutta
0:43

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Duclair – Tkachuk
6:2550% CF
L2Ryan – Tierney – Balcers
3:220% CF
L3Smith – Paajarvi – Lindberg
2:4250% CF
L4Gibbons – White – Veronneau
2:0450% CF
D1Ceci – Wolanin
14:1548% CF
D2DeMelo – Chabot
13:4548% CF
D3Harpur – Jaros
12:2938% CF

PP1Ryan – Pageau – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
3:00100% CF
PP2DeMelo – Tierney – Duclair – Wolanin – Balcers
1:11100% CF
PK1FPageau – Tierney
1:46
PK2FSmith – Paajarvi
1:33
PK1DCeci – Harpur
2:28
PK2DDeMelo – Jaros
1:22

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:04
TBLYanni Gourde (Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point)deflected0.10 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Gourde, Point, Sergachev, RuttaOTT: Smith, Lindberg, Ceci, White, Wolanin
TBL 1 – 0 OTT
18:48
OTTBrady Tkachuk (Dylan DeMelo, Jean-Gabriel Pageau)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Kucherov, Gourde, Cirelli, SergachevOTT: Ryan, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, Tkachuk
TBL 1 – 1 OTT

2nd period

7:48
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Nikita Kucherov, Braydon Coburn)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: Gaunce, Kucherov, Gourde, Paquette, SergachevOTT: Ryan, Ceci, White, Wolanin, Balcers
TBL 2 – 1 OTT
13:43
TBLBrayden Point (Yanni Gourde, Nikita Kucherov)tip-in0.08 xG
TBL: Gaunce, Kucherov, Gourde, Point, RuttaOTT: Smith, Paajarvi, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin
TBL 3 – 1 OTT

3rd period

4:34
OTTMax VeronneauPP (Rudolfs Balcers, Christian Wolanin)wrist0.08 xG
TBL: Coburn, Gourde, Paquette, RuttaOTT: Ryan, Tierney, Wolanin, Balcers, Veronneau
TBL 3 – 2 OTT
5:22
TBLYanni Gourde (Braydon Coburn, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Coburn, Kucherov, Gourde, Point, SergachevOTT: DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk
TBL 4 – 2 OTT
16:55
TBLSteven Stamkos (Mathieu Joseph, Ondrej Palat)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Cernak, JosephOTT: Gibbons, DeMelo, White, Chabot, Veronneau
TBL 5 – 2 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	3	3	+3	1	0.13	0	0	2	19:36	—	—	52	58
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	+3	1	0.23	0	1	0	19:00	—	—	57	62
Yanni Gourde C	L1	2	1	3	+3	2	0.27	1	0	0	18:23	—	—	52	61
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.61	0	0	0	17:45	—	—	65	84
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.28	3	0	0	16:12	—	—	75	96
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:48	—	—	74	96
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:58	—	—	54	44
J.T. Miller C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	3	0	0	12:45	—	—	60	55
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	10:37	—	—	50	34
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	0	14:16	—	—	47	26
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	12:10	—	—	59	41
Tyler Johnson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	0	1	2	11:34	—	—	56	41
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	2	0	25:09	—	—	52	57
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	6	2	0	23:14	—	—	54	50
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	1	2	+2	6	0.15	2	0	0	20:06	—	—	58	74
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.01	6	1	2	18:53	—	—	63	69
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	0	1	0	15:41	—	—	68	76
Cameron Gaunce D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	2	0	7	12:07	—	—	62	68

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	1.29	59:44

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	3	1	2	19:09	—	—	44	34
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	1	1	0	17:46	—	—	65	58
Anthony Duclair L	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.23	0	2	0	14:02	—	—	56	55
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	3	0	14:22	—	—	32	41
Bobby Ryan R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	4	0	0	13:12	—	—	44	44
Rudolfs Balcers L	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:48	—	—	36	57
Oscar Lindberg L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	2	1	0	15:29	—	—	53	33
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	14:28	—	—	33	27
Zack Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	4	0	5	13:12	—	—	44	43
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	-3	1	0.17	0	1	2	18:06	—	—	23	12
Brian Gibbons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	1	2	15:46	—	—	32	12
Max Veronneau R	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	10:36	—	—	36	16
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.06	4	3	0	21:34	—	—	45	34
Christian Wolanin D	D1	0	1	1	-3	0	0.00	1	3	0	18:07	—	—	44	29
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	1	0	22:15	—	—	43	32
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.02	4	0	0	18:58	—	—	46	27
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	2	0	18:44	—	—	29	41
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	16:26	—	—	38	49

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	26	21	5	.808	2.35	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.