Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 12, 2019

FinalSaturday, Oct 12, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	1	2		TBL	5	10	6	21
OTT	0	2	2	4		OTT	12	13	9	34

: TBL 52OTT 61
: TBL 2.02OTT 4.36
PP goals: TBL 0OTT 0
Hits: TBL 19OTT 24
Blocks: TBL 11OTT 19
PIM: TBL 16OTT 18
: TBL 56%OTT 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2 at home. Vladislav Namestnikov (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for TBL: Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli skated 4:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (85.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Vladislav Namestnikov had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:47.Namestnikov
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:15.Pageau
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli skated 4:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (85.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Joseph Cirelli
Usage
Vladislav Namestnikov (OTT) played 21:47, +6:50 up on his 14:57 season average over 64 games.Namestnikov
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 10:02, −6:15 down on his 16:17 season average over 68 games.Palat
Usage
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (OTT) played 14:15, −4:59 down on his 19:14 season average over 66 games.Pageau
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 23:01, +4:13 up on his 18:48 season average over 67 games.Kucherov
Usage
Ron Hainsey (OTT) played 16:55, −3:49 down on his 20:44 season average over 63 games.Hainsey

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · OTT 61 · TBL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 24% of the game, OTT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	49	54
	1.81	2.82
	1.73	2.68
	6	11
	0	5
	20	12
	+0.033	−0.033
	24%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
11:3145% CF
L2Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
4:3286% CF
L3Johnson – Palat – Gourde
2:5525% CF
D1Hedman – Sergachev
13:4742% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
13:0255% CF
D3Coburn – Shattenkirk
10:0745% CF

PP1Maroon – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
3:2380% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Johnson – Gourde – Verhaeghe – Sergachev
2:3167% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
3:28
PK2FGourde – Joseph
0:37
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:36
PK2DCoburn – Shattenkirk
0:48

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ennis – White – Tkachuk
10:1568% CF
L2Ryan – Tierney – Duclair
8:3531% CF
L3Anisimov – Namestnikov – Brown
6:0869% CF
L4Pageau – Sabourin – Abramov
1:5738% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
17:1950% CF
D2Borowiecki – DeMelo
12:1876% CF
D3Hainsey – Brannstrom
10:3332% CF

PP1Ennis – Duclair – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
2:5880% CF
PP2Anisimov – Ennis – Namestnikov – Brown – Brannstrom
0:42100% CF
PK1FTierney – Brown
2:59
PK2FPageau – Namestnikov
1:38
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:54
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
2:43

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

13:44
OTTColin White (Brady Tkachuk, Bobby Ryan)snap0.13 xG
TBL: Coburn, Killorn, Shattenkirk, Johnson, PalatOTT: Hainsey, Ryan, White, Brannstrom, Tkachuk
TBL 0 – 1 OTT
14:21
TBLOndrej Palat (Tyler Johnson)tip-in0.07 xG
TBL: Coburn, Killorn, Shattenkirk, Johnson, PalatOTT: Borowiecki, DeMelo, Tierney, Sabourin, Abramov
TBL 1 – 1 OTT
19:33
OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau (Vladislav Namestnikov)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, SergachevOTT: Pageau, Namestnikov, Brown, Chabot, Zaitsev
TBL 1 – 2 OTT

3rd period

8:56
TBLLuke Witkowski (Patrick Maroon, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.08 xG
TBL: Maroon, Witkowski, Hedman, Verhaeghe, SergachevOTT: Ennis, White, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk
TBL 2 – 2 OTT
16:57
OTTVladislav Namestnikov (Connor Brown, Thomas Chabot)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Coburn, Killorn, Point, Cernak, JosephOTT: Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Namestnikov, Brown
TBL 2 – 3 OTT
19:38
OTTVladislav NamestnikovEN (Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Nikita Zaitsev)backhand0.90 xG
TBL: Maroon, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, PointOTT: Hainsey, Pageau, Namestnikov, Brown, Zaitsev
TBL 2 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.26	0	1	0	23:01	—	—	46	39
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	0	0	0	21:17	—	—	45	42
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.24	0	0	5	19:01	—	—	42	36
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	16:45	—	—	50	33
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	42	30
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	4	1	0	10:17	—	—	79	75
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	5	16:24	—	—	32	19
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.20	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	56	37
Ondrej Palat L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.28	1	0	2	10:02	—	—	47	19
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	4	2	0	24:47	—	—	41	49
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	3	0	20:19	—	—	41	52
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	19:52	—	—	61	48
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	2	19:39	—	—	48	22
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	0	0	19:19	—	—	49	33
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	2	0	12:22	—	—	49	35
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	12:59	—	—	55	62
Carter Verhaeghe C	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.11	0	0	0	9:25	—	—	60	69
Luke Witkowski D	—	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	1	0	2	7:06	—	—	18	14

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	3.46	57:40

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.14	4	0	2	18:15	—	—	61	57
Tyler Ennis R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	1	0	17:42	—	—	63	57
Colin White C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.69	1	1	0	17:40	—	—	70	66
Anthony Duclair L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.22	1	0	0	17:31	—	—	36	54
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	1	2	0	16:51	—	—	33	47
Bobby Ryan R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.52	2	0	0	13:36	—	—	40	57
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	2	1	3	+3	3	1.25	1	2	0	21:47	—	—	68	85
Connor Brown R	L3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:59	—	—	62	79
Artem Anisimov C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	0	1	0	11:38	—	—	63	96
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L4	1	1	2	+3	2	0.05	2	1	5	14:15	—	—	40	40
Scott Sabourin R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	1	0	4	3:26	—	—	40	51
Vitaly Abramov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	3:17	—	—	27	40
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.25	2	1	0	26:20	—	—	50	55
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.20	2	3	0	23:33	—	—	50	55
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	5	17:54	—	—	76	88
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	6	0	0	16:45	—	—	76	88
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	4	0	16:55	—	—	31	36
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	2	13:36	—	—	35	38

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	21	19	2	.905	2.02	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.