Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 23, 2023

FinalThursday, Mar 23, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	1	2		TBL	10	15	4	29
OTT	2	1	4	7		OTT	13	8	14	35

: TBL 61OTT 59
: TBL 3.03OTT 4.40
PP goals: TBL 1OTT 2
Hits: TBL 27OTT 19
Blocks: TBL 9OTT 22
PIM: TBL 18OTT 10
: TBL 53%OTT 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators rout Tampa Bay Lightning 7–2

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 7–2 at home. Alex DeBrincat (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point and Sergachev) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:22 together.

Points
Alex DeBrincat had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:17.DeBrincat
Points
Brady Tkachuk had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 18:37.Tkachuk
Points
Erik Brannstrom had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:48.Brannstrom
Points
Claude Giroux had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:26.Giroux
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:47.Kucherov
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) in 16:51.Stamkos
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point and Sergachev) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:22 together.Killorn Stamkos Kucherov Point Sergachev
New line
New look for TBL: Maroon–Paul–Colton skated 8:42 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Maroon Paul Colton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · OTT 59 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 37% of the game, OTT 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	59	53
	2.70	2.72
	2.59	2.56
	10	12
	6	11
	24	28
	+0.021	−0.021
	37%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
12:1659% CF
L2Maroon – Paul – Colton
8:4257% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
8:1652% CF
L4Perry – Eyssimont – Jeannot
6:4065% CF
D1Hedman – Perbix
14:3650% CF
D2Cernak – Sergachev
12:2646% CF
D3Cole – Bogosian
10:4564% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
4:2286% CF
PP2Perry – Hedman – Paul – Colton – Hagel
1:49100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:04
PK2FPaul – Jeannot
0:49
PK1DCole – Cernak
3:22
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:12

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
11:3650% CF
L2DeBrincat – Batherson – Pinto
11:2848% CF
L3Brassard – Gambrell – Greig
8:3131% CF
L4Watson – Brown – Kastelic
5:2636% CF
D1Chabot – Chychrun
14:0144% CF
D2Sanderson – Zub
10:5636% CF
D3Hamonic – Brannstrom
8:2246% CF

PP1DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Sanderson – Stützle
3:5680% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Chabot – Chychrun – Pinto
1:3575% CF
PK1FGiroux – Watson
1:43
PK2FGambrell – Stützle
1:41
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
2:17
PK2DBrannstrom – Zub
1:04

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:53
OTTAlex DeBrincat (Drake Batherson, Shane Pinto)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, PerbixOTT: Hamonic, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto
TBL 0 – 1 OTT
11:37
OTTAlex DeBrincat (Erik Brannstrom, Travis Hamonic)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Bogosian, Cirelli, JeannotOTT: DeBrincat, Chychrun, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto
TBL 0 – 2 OTT

2nd period

10:28
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos)snap0.15 xG
TBL: Cole, Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, PointOTT: Hamonic, Gambrell, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle
TBL 1 – 2 OTT
18:04
OTTDerick BrassardPP (Claude Giroux, Jakob Chychrun)snap0.13 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, SergachevOTT: Giroux, Brassard, Chabot, Chychrun, Pinto
TBL 1 – 3 OTT

3rd period

4:10
TBLMikhail SergachevPP (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov)slap0.07 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, SergachevOTT: Hamonic, Watson, Gambrell, Sanderson
TBL 2 – 3 OTT
5:45
OTTErik Brannstromwrist0.12 xG
TBL: Cole, Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, HagelOTT: Giroux, Hamonic, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle
TBL 2 – 4 OTT
13:11
OTTBrady TkachukPP (Alex DeBrincat, Thomas Chabot)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Cole, Paul, Sergachev, JeannotOTT: Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle
TBL 2 – 5 OTT
13:35
OTTBrady TkachukEN (Tim Stützle, Claude Giroux)snap0.97 xG
TBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, SergachevOTT: Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub
TBL 2 – 6 OTT
14:39
OTTAustin Watson (Patrick Brown)backhand0.17 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, Paul, ColtonOTT: Watson, Brown, Chabot, Kastelic, Zub
TBL 2 – 7 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.30	0	1	0	19:49	—	—	52	59
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	2	2	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	19:47	—	—	54	61
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.33	0	0	2	18:26	—	—	52	54
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:04	—	—	44	39
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	4	1	0	12:41	—	—	47	42
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	2	0	10	10:03	—	—	56	51
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.17	0	0	0	16:53	—	—	56	42
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	2	2	-1	0	0.05	1	1	0	16:51	—	—	56	49
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.22	1	0	0	15:45	—	—	47	28
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	6	0	2	11:41	—	—	52	43
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	1	0	2	11:36	—	—	48	42
Michael Eyssimont C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	3	0	0	10:12	—	—	68	82
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	0	0	21:16	—	—	50	55
Nick Perbix D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	4	0	2	19:15	—	—	49	49
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	22:35	—	—	41	51
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.50	1	2	0	18:11	—	—	54	56
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-2	5	0.25	0	3	0	18:58	—	—	62	46
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:34	—	—	61	42

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	34	28	6	.824	3.43	59:43

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.17	0	0	2	21:57	—	—	46	44
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	2	0	2	+2	7	1.64	1	0	0	18:37	—	—	52	51
Claude Giroux R	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.23	2	0	2	18:26	—	—	56	51
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	2	1	3	+2	5	0.49	0	0	0	19:17	—	—	53	71
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.61	0	1	0	18:58	—	—	47	58
Shane Pinto C	L2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.28	1	1	0	17:21	—	—	48	59
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:02	—	—	39	28
Ridly Greig C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	2	0	0	12:21	—	—	48	44
Derick Brassard C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	2	0	0	11:23	—	—	37	20
Austin Watson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	0	1	0	9:32	—	—	42	64
Patrick Brown C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	2	0	0	8:16	—	—	46	65
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	5:56	—	—	46	66
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	4	0	24:25	—	—	49	50
Jakob Chychrun D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	3	5	0	18:07	—	—	46	53
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	22:34	—	—	32	30
Artem Zub D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	20:52	—	—	50	69
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	1	1	2	+3	1	0.12	0	3	2	15:48	—	—	56	55
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	0	2	4	14:33	—	—	47	47

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mads Sogaard(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	3.03	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.