Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 15, 2023

FinalSunday, Oct 15, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	0	2		TBL	3	10	11	24
OTT	1	2	2	5		OTT	17	15	6	38

: TBL 50OTT 62
: TBL 1.98OTT 3.04
PP goals: TBL 0OTT 0
Hits: TBL 26OTT 17
Blocks: TBL 15OTT 15
PIM: TBL 8OTT 6
: TBL 58%OTT 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2 at home. Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for TBL: Cirelli–Eyssimont–Jeannot skated 11:53 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (63% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brady Tkachuk had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 7 shots in 18:36.Tkachuk
Points
Tanner Jeannot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:40.Jeannot
Points
Vladimir Tarasenko had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:49.Tarasenko
New line
New look for TBL: Cirelli–Eyssimont–Jeannot skated 11:53 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (63% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cirelli Eyssimont Jeannot
New line
New look for TBL: Kucherov–Point–Hagel skated 11:16 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kucherov Point Hagel
Goalie
Matt Tomkins (TBL) faced 37 shots and stopped 33 (.892), +6 against a season average of 30.8; the loss.Tomkins
New line
New look for TBL: Paul–Sheary–Barré-Boulet skated 7:29 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paul Sheary Barré-Boulet
New line
New look for TBL: Watson–Glendening–Merela skated 7:18 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Watson Glendening Merela

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · OTT 62 · TBL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 35% of the game, OTT 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	OTT
	49	62
	1.85	2.12
	1.83	2.00
	7	8
	1	4
	12	13
	+0.015	−0.015
	35%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Cirelli – Eyssimont – Jeannot
11:5363% CF
L2Kucherov – Point – Hagel
11:1633% CF
L3Paul – Sheary – Barré-Boulet
7:2936% CF
L4Watson – Glendening – Merela
7:1843% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
16:4140% CF
D2Hedman – Perbix
13:2047% CF
D3de Haan – Cernak
11:3140% CF

PP1Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Point – Hagel
1:55100% CF
PP2Sheary – Cirelli – Sergachev – Jeannot – Barré-Boulet
1:1550% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:58
PK2FGlendening – Merela
1:50
PK1DHedman – Cernak
2:17
PK2Dde Haan – Raddysh
0:37

Current TBL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Tarasenko – Joseph – Greig
11:3958% CF
L2Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
11:3369% CF
L3Kubalik – Chartier – Batherson
7:4344% CF
L4MacEwen – Kastelic – Kelly
5:0760% CF
D1Chabot – Chychrun
17:5551% CF
D2Sanderson – Zub
13:1770% CF
D3Hamonic – Brannstrom
12:3950% CF

PP1Giroux – Chabot – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
2:24100% CF
PP2Tarasenko – Kubalik – Chychrun – Greig – Sanderson
1:11100% CF
PK1FChartier – Kelly
1:21
PK2FGiroux – Joseph
1:04
PK1DSanderson – Zub
1:18
PK2DChabot – Brannstrom
0:34

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.41	0	2	0	21:20	—	—	66	82
Tanner Jeannot L	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.21	4	0	2	16:40	—	—	59	64
Michael Eyssimont C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	3	1	0	13:57	—	—	62	69
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.31	0	1	0	20:42	—	—	35	37
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.21	2	1	0	20:10	—	—	35	37
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	0	0	0	19:34	—	—	29	30
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.10	2	1	0	12:27	—	—	35	37
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	0	0	11:38	—	—	44	40
Alex Barré-Boulet C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	0	0	0	10:49	—	—	33	29
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:26	—	—	31	16
Waltteri Merela C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:19	—	—	44	31
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	8:01	—	—	43	45
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	2	3	2	23:17	—	—	41	37
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	21:40	—	—	48	49
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	3	2	2	22:08	—	—	49	60
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	15:52	—	—	49	55
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:28	—	—	36	20
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.07	2	0	0	16:04	—	—	38	27

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Tomkins(start)	L	37	33	4	.892	2.06	58:28

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.32	2	0	2	17:38	—	—	57	48
Ridly Greig C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.08	3	1	0	17:38	—	—	60	69
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.11	2	0	0	15:49	—	—	58	69
Tim Stützle C	L2	1	0	1	+2	8	1.71	1	1	2	22:02	—	—	64	61
Claude Giroux R	L2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.15	0	2	0	19:57	—	—	65	59
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	2	1	3	+3	7	0.33	1	1	0	18:36	—	—	66	68
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	15:31	—	—	36	30
Dominik Kubalik L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	12:33	—	—	36	44
Rourke Chartier C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	45	31
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:29	—	—	64	30
Zack MacEwen R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	6:32	—	—	54	19
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:11	—	—	46	11
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	24:46	—	—	49	41
Jakob Chychrun D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:01	—	—	50	38
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	0	0	0	19:25	—	—	71	75
Artem Zub D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	0	3	0	19:22	—	—	67	70
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	3	0	16:46	—	—	40	39
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	3	0	2	15:52	—	—	53	50

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joonas Korpisalo(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	1.98	59:34

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Vladimir Tarasenko (OTT) 1st 7:02 · assists Ridly Greig, Jakob Chychrun · Rebound · 38.8 mph shot.

Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 7:02 · OTT

Play: rebound
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 38.8 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 1:00 · TBL

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 27.7 mph
Distance: 3 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:17 · OTT EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.1 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 19:01 · OTT

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 51.5 mph
Distance: 21 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 15, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Ottawa Senators

Goal anatomy

Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 7:02 · OTT

Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 1:00 · TBL

Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:17 · OTT EN

Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 19:01 · OTT