Tampa Bay Lightning vs. San Jose SharksJan 5, 2019

FinalSaturday, Jan 5, 2019· SAP Center at San Jose

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

San Jose SharksSJS

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	8	9	3	20
SJS	2	1	2	5		SJS	4	12	17	33

: TBL 46SJS 60
: TBL 3.17SJS 2.63
PP goals: TBL 0SJS 1
Hits: TBL 18SJS 17
Blocks: TBL 15SJS 13
PIM: TBL 6SJS 4
: TBL 50%SJS 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

San Jose Sharks beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2

San Jose Sharks beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2 at home. Brent Burns (SJS) led the scoring with 0G 3A. SJS scored 5 goals on 2.63 expected goals (60 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Brent Burns had 3 assists (3 points) on 6 shots in 30:45.Burns
Points
Evander Kane had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:23.Kane
Points
Erik Karlsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 29:15.Karlsson
Points
Timo Meier had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:08.Meier
Luck
SJS scored 5 goals on 2.63 expected goals (60 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Brent Burns (SJS) played 30:45, +5:43 up on his 25:02 season average over 81 games.Burns
Usage
Joakim Ryan (SJS) played 20:41, +8:06 up on his 12:35 season average over 43 games.Ryan
Usage
Erik Karlsson (SJS) played 29:15, +4:51 up on his 24:24 season average over 52 games.Karlsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)SJS attacks right (top on phones) →

SJS
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · SJS 60 · TBL 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

SJS
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

SJS pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 32% of the game, SJS 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

SJS

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	SJS
	47	60
	2.60	2.39
	2.58	2.27
	10	14
	5	4
	16	22
	−0.024	+0.024
	32%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Palat
13:1452% CF
L2Johnson – Kucherov – Point
13:0063% CF
L3Gourde – Erne – Cirelli
9:2442% CF
L4Callahan – Paquette – Joseph
6:5928% CF
D1Girardi – Hedman
14:1653% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
13:1960% CF
D3Stralman – Sergachev
13:0229% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Point
3:0980% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
0:51100% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
2:18
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:39
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:25
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:17

Current TBL line combinations →

San Jose Sharks

L1Kane – Donskoi – Hertl
13:3350% CF
L2Couture – Meier – Radil
10:3671% CF
L3Thornton – Pavelski – Sorensen
9:5862% CF
L4Goodrow – Karlsson – Labanc
7:1460% CF
D1Burns – Ryan
17:4650% CF
D2Karlsson – Dillon
16:2261% CF
D3Heed – Middleton
5:0260% CF

PP1Burns – Pavelski – Couture – Karlsson – Hertl
2:48100% CF
PP2Thornton – Burns – Karlsson – Kane – Meier
2:20100% CF
PK1FCouture – Hertl
1:45
PK2FGoodrow – Karlsson
0:47
PK1DBurns – Dillon
1:45
PK2DKarlsson – Ryan
0:28

Current SJS line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:27
SJSLogan Couture (Timo Meier, Erik Karlsson)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, CernakSJS: Couture, Karlsson, Dillon, Meier, Radil
TBL 0 – 1 SJS
10:01
SJSJoe Pavelski (Brent Burns)deflected0.08 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, CernakSJS: Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Sorensen, Ryan
TBL 0 – 2 SJS
16:13
TBLVictor Hedman (Steven Stamkos, Ondrej Palat)snap0.20 xG
TBL: Girardi, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, PalatSJS: Burns, Hertl, Ryan, Karlsson, Labanc
TBL 1 – 2 SJS

2nd period

4:23
SJSEvander KanePP (Brent Burns, Erik Karlsson)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Paquette, Cernak, CirelliSJS: Burns, Pavelski, Karlsson, Kane, Meier
TBL 1 – 3 SJS
4:53
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Mathieu Joseph, Ryan Callahan)backhand0.09 xG
TBL: Callahan, Stralman, Paquette, Joseph, SergachevSJS: Thornton, Pavelski, Sorensen, Heed, Middleton
TBL 2 – 3 SJS

3rd period

5:18
SJSEvander Kane (Brenden Dillon)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: Stralman, Kucherov, Erne, Cirelli, SergachevSJS: Karlsson, Kane, Dillon, Donskoi, Hertl
TBL 2 – 4 SJS
12:20
SJSLukas Radil (Timo Meier, Brent Burns)wrist0.24 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, SergachevSJS: Burns, Couture, Ryan, Meier, Radil
TBL 2 – 5 SJS

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.29	2	2	0	19:00	—	—	42	55
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	1	0	0	18:06	—	—	48	68
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.87	0	1	0	16:26	—	—	50	69
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-4	0	0.22	0	0	0	19:28	—	—	54	38
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	0	0	0	19:24	—	—	60	60
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	0	0	2	14:52	—	—	61	50
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.47	1	0	0	16:04	—	—	35	28
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	1	0	14:19	—	—	40	46
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	10:54	—	—	43	61
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	4	0	0	10:59	—	—	29	35
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	3	0	0	10:23	—	—	30	36
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	1	2	0	8:25	—	—	28	38
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.36	1	4	2	22:32	—	—	45	58
Dan Girardi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	18:20	—	—	51	71
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	21:46	—	—	52	44
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:28	—	—	56	40
Anton Stralman D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	2	20:28	—	—	34	36
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.09	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	27	24

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	2.63	60:00

San Jose Sharks

SJS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tomas Hertl C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	20:14	—	—	48	15
Evander Kane L	L1	2	0	2	+1	3	0.10	4	0	4	18:23	—	—	50	21
Joonas Donskoi R	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:31	—	—	50	21
Timo Meier R	L2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.31	1	1	0	18:08	—	—	63	90
Logan Couture C	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.29	1	1	0	17:56	—	—	63	85
Lukas Radil C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.28	1	0	0	12:51	—	—	60	84
Joe Pavelski C	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.24	2	1	0	17:04	—	—	64	77
Joe Thornton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	1	0	14:31	—	—	58	77
Marcus Sorensen L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	58	78
Barclay Goodrow C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:25	—	—	63	24
Melker Karlsson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:24	—	—	50	18
Kevin Labanc R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:58	—	—	47	17
Brent Burns D	D1	0	3	3	+1	6	0.41	2	3	0	30:45	—	—	57	47
Joakim Ryan D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	3	1	0	20:41	—	—	51	62
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.06	2	2	0	29:15	—	—	60	51
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	22:05	—	—	61	37
Tim Heed D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	0	1	0	11:53	—	—	50	31
Jake Middleton D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	5:02	—	—	60	48

SJS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Martin Jones(start)	W	19	17	2	.895	2.46	58:45
Aaron Dell	—	1	1	0	.1000	0.71	1:15

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.