Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas StarsFeb 11, 2023

FinalSaturday, Feb 11, 2023· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	2	3		TBL	6	10	15	31
DAL	0	1	0	1		DAL	12	12	5	29

: TBL 62DAL 68
: TBL 3.48DAL 3.46
PP goals: TBL 0DAL 0
Hits: TBL 15DAL 14
Blocks: TBL 15DAL 16
PIM: TBL 10DAL 4
: TBL 49%DAL 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Dallas Stars 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Dallas Stars 3–1 at DAL. Anthony Cirelli (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. DAL scored 1 goal on 3.46 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Anthony Cirelli had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 17:35.Cirelli
Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:53.Hagel
Points
Alex Killorn had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:29.Killorn
Luck
DAL scored 1 goal on 3.46 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Cal Foote (TBL) played 9:21, −5:53 down on his 15:14 season average over 49 games.Foote
Usage
Denis Gurianov (DAL) played 9:18, −3:57 down on his 13:15 season average over 65 games.Gurianov
Usage
Nick Perbix (TBL) played 11:33, −3:54 down on his 15:27 season average over 68 games.Perbix
PP1
DAL's PP1 (Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson and Heiskanen) went scoreless in 3:57 of 5v4 time with 4 attempts.Pavelski Benn Hintz Robertson Heiskanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · DAL 68 · TBL 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 24% of the game, DAL 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	DAL
	66	65
	2.68	2.73
	2.53	2.49
	10	14
	5	8
	19	23
	+0.017	−0.017
	24%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
10:2028% CF
L2Perry – Namestnikov – Colton
7:0764% CF
L3Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
5:2753% CF
D1Bogosian – Hedman
7:1615% CF
D2Cernak – Sergachev
6:4043% CF
D3Cole – Perbix
6:3531% CF

PP1Perry – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Hagel
0:450% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
4:25
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:27
PK1DCole – Cernak
2:59
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
0:50

Current TBL line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Benn – Dellandrea – Johnston
10:2952% CF
L2Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson
10:2856% CF
L3Seguin – Faksa – Marchment
10:1053% CF
L4Glendening – Gurianov – Studenic
5:5641% CF
D1Hakanpää – Lindell
16:0643% CF
D2Miller – Heiskanen
14:1461% CF
D3Suter – Lundkvist
10:4163% CF

PP1Pavelski – Benn – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen
3:5780% CF
PP2Suter – Seguin – Marchment – Lundkvist – Johnston
1:43100% CF
PK1FFaksa – Hintz
0:31
PK1DHakanpää – Lindell
0:45

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:13
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Brandon Hagel, Alex Killorn)backhand0.16 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, HagelDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson
TBL 1 – 0 DAL
12:18
DALJamie Bennwrist0.14 xG
TBL: Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev, ColtonDAL: Benn, Hakanpää, Lindell, Dellandrea, Johnston
TBL 1 – 1 DAL

3rd period

19:16
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Victor Hedman, Alex Killorn)tip-in0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, SergachevDAL: Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson
TBL 2 – 1 DAL
19:59
TBLBrandon HagelEN (Nikita Kucherov, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.76 xG
TBL: Cole, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, HagelDAL: Pavelski, Benn, Seguin, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen
TBL 3 – 1 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.18	0	2	0	22:09	—	—	45	46
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	0	1	0	20:13	—	—	38	42
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	1	0	2	19:29	—	—	50	57
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	4	1	0	13:21	—	—	54	58
Corey Perry R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	1	2	11:18	—	—	52	51
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	2	0	10:53	—	—	50	52
Brandon Hagel L	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	1.35	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	49	40
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	2	1	3	+3	5	0.70	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	69	57
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.12	2	0	0	17:29	—	—	65	55
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	1	1	2	25:33	—	—	50	33
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:15	—	—	29	21
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	4	2	22:09	—	—	46	53
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	17:36	—	—	54	66
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	60	70
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	11:33	—	—	58	58
Cal Foote D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	9:21	—	—	61	82
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	0	1	2	9:14	—	—	55	59
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:43	—	—	33	18

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	3.46	59:57

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jamie Benn L	L1	1	1	0	4	0.75	2	2	0	17:17	—	—	48	66
Wyatt Johnston C	L1	0	0	+1	2	0.37	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	56	67
Ty Dellandrea C	L1	0	0	+1	0	0.03	2	0	0	12:23	—	—	54	66
Jason Robertson L	L2	0	0	-3	2	0.28	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	54	47
Joe Pavelski C	L2	0	0	-3	2	0.46	0	2	0	19:17	—	—	53	45
Roope Hintz C	L2	0	0	-3	1	0.40	0	1	0	18:30	—	—	54	50
Tyler Seguin C	L3	0	0	-1	2	0.19	2	0	0	18:45	—	—	42	48
Radek Faksa C	L3	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:11	—	—	52	63
Mason Marchment L	L3	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	14:48	—	—	57	82
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	10:28	—	—	33	26
Denis Gurianov R	L4	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	9:18	—	—	44	32
Marián Studenic R	L4	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	8:17	—	—	45	14
Jani Hakanpää D	D1	0	0	-1	3	0.06	2	3	0	20:27	—	—	39	34
Esa Lindell D	D1	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:09	—	—	42	40
Miro Heiskanen D	D2	0	0	-1	5	0.42	0	2	2	24:22	—	—	52	55
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	18:57	—	—	61	65
Ryan Suter D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	2	0	18:22	—	—	50	37
Nils Lundkvist D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	2	0	14:35	—	—	53	61

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Wedgewood(start)	L	30	28	2	.933	2.72	59:43

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.