Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota WildOct 20, 2018

Final / OTSaturday, Oct 20, 2018· Xcel Energy Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Minnesota WildMIN

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	3	0	1	0	4		TBL	16	8	4	3	31
MIN	1	1	2	1	5		MIN	9	13	11	1	34

: TBL 65MIN 60
: TBL 2.88MIN 2.77
PP goals: TBL 1MIN 0
Hits: TBL 7MIN 24
Blocks: TBL 14MIN 10
PIM: TBL 6MIN 12
: TBL 45%MIN 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4 (OT)

Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4 in overtime at home. Yanni Gourde (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Miller) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 5:12 together.

Points
Anton Stralman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:24.Stralman
Points
Charlie Coyle had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:09.Coyle
Points
J.T. Miller had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:48.Miller
Points
Yanni Gourde had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:43.Gourde
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Miller) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 5:12 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Miller
Luck
MIN scored 5 goals on 2.77 expected goals (60 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Zach Parise (MIN) played 23:54, +5:18 up on his 18:36 season average over 73 games.Parise
Usage
Nino Niederreiter (MIN) played 11:11, −5:06 down on his 16:17 season average over 81 games.Niederreiter

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · MIN 60 · TBL 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 36% of the game, MIN 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	MIN
	50	56
	1.41	2.95
	1.40	2.83
	10	17
	7	6
	14	12
	+0.003	−0.003
	36%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Gourde – Point
8:4067% CF
L2Callahan – Miller – Paquette
8:3536% CF
L3Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
8:0755% CF
L4Johnson – Palat – Kucherov
7:0360% CF
D1Stralman – McDonagh
16:3739% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
12:3244% CF
D3Girardi – Hedman
11:4070% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller
5:1278% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
3:2489% CF
PK1FJohnson – Cirelli
1:01
PK2FGourde – Paquette
0:56
PK1DStralman – McDonagh
2:13
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:31

Current TBL line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Koivu – Parise – Granlund
12:4760% CF
L2Staal – Zucker – Read
10:0950% CF
L3Coyle – Niederreiter – Greenway
9:0125% CF
L4Fehr – Foligno – Brown
4:4243% CF
D1Spurgeon – Brodin
15:5045% CF
D2Suter – Dumba
15:2247% CF
D3Pateryn – Seeler
11:5668% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Zucker – Granlund – Niederreiter
1:01100% CF
PP2Koivu – Parise – Spurgeon – Coyle – Dumba
0:59100% CF
PK1FKoivu – Parise
2:54
PK2FFehr – Foligno
1:38
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
3:34
PK2DSuter – Dumba
3:29

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:23
TBLRyan Callahan (Anton Stralman, J.T. Miller)tip-in0.04 xG
TBL: Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Miller, PaquetteMIN: Suter, Fehr, Foligno, Brown, Dumba
TBL 1 – 0 MIN
10:50
TBLYanni Gourde (Ryan McDonagh, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Gourde, Point, SergachevMIN: Spurgeon, Coyle, Niederreiter, Brodin, Greenway
TBL 2 – 0 MIN
13:23
MINCharlie Coyle (Nino Niederreiter)wrist0.20 xG
TBL: Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, SergachevMIN: Pateryn, Coyle, Niederreiter, Seeler, Brown
TBL 2 – 1 MIN
15:15
TBLJ.T. MillerPP (Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov)tip-in0.11 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, MillerMIN: Suter, Fehr, Foligno, Dumba
TBL 3 – 1 MIN

2nd period

3:49
MINMarcus Foligno (Eric Fehr, JT Brown)backhand0.09 xG
TBL: Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Miller, PaquetteMIN: Fehr, Pateryn, Foligno, Seeler, Brown
TBL 3 – 2 MIN

3rd period

10:45
MINZach Parise (Mikko Koivu, Jared Spurgeon)wrist0.24 xG
TBL: Stralman, McDonagh, Gourde, Paquette, PointMIN: Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Zucker, Brodin
TBL 3 – 3 MIN
13:13
MINJason Zucker (Mathew Dumba)slap0.03 xG
TBL: Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Miller, PaquetteMIN: Staal, Suter, Zucker, Read, Dumba
TBL 3 – 4 MIN
15:02
TBLAnton Stralman (Yanni Gourde, Ondrej Palat)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Stralman, McDonagh, Palat, Gourde, PointMIN: Staal, Spurgeon, Zucker, Read, Brodin
TBL 4 – 4 MIN

OT period

3:43
MINMikael Granlund (Charlie Coyle, Alex Stalock)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, KucherovMIN: Suter, Coyle, Granlund
TBL 4 – 5 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yanni Gourde C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.37	1	0	0	19:43	—	—	49	25
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.19	0	0	0	18:55	—	—	65	36
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.30	1	1	2	18:08	—	—	48	28
J.T. Miller C	L2	1	1	2	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	35	37
Cedric Paquette C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	1	0	11:23	—	—	28	21
Ryan Callahan R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.10	3	0	0	10:40	—	—	29	26
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	15:38	—	—	50	45
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	1	0	2	14:18	—	—	44	30
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	13:20	—	—	41	38
Nikita Kucherov R	L4	0	1	1	-2	2	0.26	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	54	39
Tyler Johnson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	2	0	18:00	—	—	50	33
Ondrej Palat L	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	15:58	—	—	52	42
Anton Stralman D	D1	1	1	2	-1	1	0.21	0	2	0	22:24	—	—	37	17
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	0	3	0	22:01	—	—	44	26
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	3	2	18:38	—	—	39	33
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	0	0	14:56	—	—	43	38
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.36	0	2	0	23:03	—	—	70	55
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	14:10	—	—	71	54

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	34	29	5	.853	2.77	63:27

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Parise L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.43	1	2	0	23:54	—	—	59	91
Mikko Koivu C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.62	0	0	0	21:13	—	—	61	90
Mikael Granlund C	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.25	0	2	0	20:16	—	—	66	90
Eric Staal C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	52	55
Jason Zucker L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.16	0	0	2	16:48	—	—	52	61
Matt Read R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	2	0	0	10:53	—	—	52	35
Charlie Coyle C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.34	2	0	4	17:09	—	—	40	53
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.11	1	1	0	11:11	—	—	36	40
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:59	—	—	20	3
Marcus Foligno L	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.10	4	0	0	10:51	—	—	56	71
Eric Fehr C	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.22	1	0	4	9:41	—	—	53	70
JT Brown R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	1	0	2	5:28	—	—	60	74
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	1	0	0	22:56	—	—	45	71
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	21:49	—	—	44	69
Mathew Dumba D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.26	5	1	0	24:48	—	—	50	59
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	24:45	—	—	47	51
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	2	1	0	14:49	—	—	71	83
Greg Pateryn D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	1	0	0	14:40	—	—	70	79

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Stalock(start)	W	31	27	4	.871	2.88	63:43

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.