Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota WildJan 4, 2023

FinalWednesday, Jan 4, 2023· Xcel Energy Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

1

@

home

Minnesota WildMIN

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	0	1		TBL	11	12	12	35
MIN	1	3	1	5		MIN	12	12	9	33

: TBL 66MIN 56
: TBL 2.97MIN 3.17
PP goals: TBL 1MIN 1
Hits: TBL 18MIN 21
Blocks: TBL 12MIN 15
PIM: TBL 8MIN 12
: TBL 63%MIN 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild rout Tampa Bay Lightning 5–1

Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–1 at home. Calen Addison (MIN) led the scoring with 1G 2A. MIN's first power-play unit (Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 3:13 together.

Points
Calen Addison had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 15:10.Addison
Points
Kirill Kaprizov had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:10.Kaprizov
Points
Matt Boldy had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:20.Boldy
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 3:13 together.Zuccarello Eriksson Ek Kaprizov Addison Boldy
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point and Hagel) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 4:44 together.Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point Hagel
Goalie
Filip Gustavsson (MIN) faced 35 shots and stopped 34 (.971), +5 against a season average of 30.1; the win.Gustavsson
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.97 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
MIN scored 5 goals on 3.16 expected goals (56 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · MIN 56 · TBL 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 35% of the game, MIN 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	MIN
	58	55
	2.33	2.10
	2.26	2.05
	7	11
	7	6
	6	11
	+0.117	−0.117
	35%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Maroon – Paul – Colton
9:3264% CF
L2Kucherov – Point – Hagel
5:4242% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
4:2720% CF
D1Hedman – Foote
7:1364% CF
D2Sergachev – Perbix
7:0767% CF
D3Cole – Cernak
7:0050% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
4:4473% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
2:02100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:01
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:02
PK1DCole – Cernak
3:11
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:51

Current TBL line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Steel
9:5071% CF
L2Foligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek
9:3157% CF
L3Reaves – Shaw – Dewar
8:2133% CF
L4Hartman – Gaudreau – Boldy
8:1650% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
16:5164% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
11:5837% CF
D3Merrill – Addison
11:1840% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Addison – Boldy
3:1375% CF
PP2Spurgeon – Foligno – Hartman – Gaudreau – Steel
0:58
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
2:57
PK2FShaw – Dewar
2:41
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
4:22
PK2DMerrill – Middleton
1:33

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:30
MINJoel Eriksson Ek (Calen Addison, Marcus Foligno)deflected0.04 xG
TBL: Maroon, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, PerbixMIN: Foligno, Brodin, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Addison
TBL 0 – 1 MIN

2nd period

7:09
MINKirill KaprizovPP (Matt Boldy, Calen Addison)tip-in0.07 xG
TBL: Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, HagelMIN: Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy
TBL 0 – 2 MIN
9:27
MINCalen Addison (Ryan Hartman, Matt Boldy)slap0.03 xG
TBL: Perry, Hedman, Bellemare, Fleury, HagelMIN: Merrill, Hartman, Gaudreau, Addison, Boldy
TBL 0 – 3 MIN
13:37
TBLBrayden PointPP (Brandon Hagel, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.18 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, HagelMIN: Foligno, Dumba, Middleton, Steel
TBL 1 – 3 MIN
15:35
MINSam Steel (Jared Spurgeon)deflected0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, HagelMIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Steel
TBL 1 – 4 MIN

3rd period

17:57
MINKirill KaprizovENsnap0.72 xG
TBL: Maroon, Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev, Colton, HagelMIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Steel
TBL 1 – 5 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.22	1	1	0	17:59	—	—	52	63
Ross Colton C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.20	2	0	0	15:08	—	—	73	77
Patrick Maroon L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	3	1	0	12:29	—	—	62	62
Brayden Point C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.41	0	1	0	21:52	—	—	54	56
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.46	1	0	0	20:53	—	—	53	61
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	1	1	-3	3	0.41	1	0	2	20:38	—	—	39	48
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	0	2	19:21	—	—	50	34
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	1	1	2	16:47	—	—	48	40
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	0	2	2	15:51	—	—	39	45
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	0	3	0	24:33	—	—	46	52
Cal Foote D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	0	10:56	—	—	63	48
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	3	2	0	23:43	—	—	56	65
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	1	0	0	11:44	—	—	52	60
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	2	0	0	16:22	—	—	52	43
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:58	—	—	42	31
Corey Perry R	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	12:48	—	—	42	47
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	10:13	—	—	50	53
Haydn Fleury D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:53	—	—	50	57

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	2.44	58:47

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.23	0	1	0	18:08	—	—	62	70
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	2	0	2	+2	6	1.29	1	0	0	17:10	—	—	64	68
Sam Steel C	L1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.28	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	65	68
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.06	2	1	2	17:49	—	—	38	24
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	6	0	0	17:03	—	—	48	38
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	2	13:37	—	—	48	35
Mason Shaw C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	1	0	12:56	—	—	35	30
Connor Dewar C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	38	31
Ryan Reaves R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	0	0	9:11	—	—	35	26
Matt Boldy L	L4	0	2	2	+1	4	0.48	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	46	36
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:53	—	—	46	34
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	4	11:59	—	—	50	37
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	1	4	22:50	—	—	56	50
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	1	5	0	22:50	—	—	65	59
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:09	—	—	38	46
Jake Middleton D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.19	3	2	0	17:20	—	—	39	52
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	17:31	—	—	40	26
Calen Addison D	D3	1	2	3	+2	2	0.09	0	1	0	15:10	—	—	43	38

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Filip Gustavsson(start)	W	35	34	1	.971	2.97	57:52
Marc-Andre Fleury	—	0	0	0	—	0.00	2:03

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.