Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado AvalancheJan 8, 2022

Final / OTSaturday, Jan 8, 2022· Ball Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	3	1	0	0	4		TOR	10	10	5	2	27
COL	1	1	2	1	5		COL	12	15	19	3	49

: TOR 45COL 78
: TOR 3.14COL 3.78
PP goals: TOR 1COL 0
Hits: TOR 23COL 31
Blocks: TOR 21COL 10
PIM: TOR 10COL 4
: TOR 65%COL 35%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Toronto Maple Leafs 5–4 (OT)

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–4 in overtime at home. Mikko Rantanen (COL) led the scoring with 0G 4A. Jack Campbell (TOR) faced 49 shots and stopped 44 (.898), +20 against a season average of 29.2; the overtime loss.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had 4 assists (4 points) on 4 shots in 25:09.Rantanen
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 21:17.Kerfoot
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 8 shots in 20:53.Matthews
Points
Cale Makar had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 26:44.Makar
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 24:47.Landeskog
Points
Nazem Kadri had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 21:20.Kadri
Goalie
Jack Campbell (TOR) faced 49 shots and stopped 44 (.898), +20 against a season average of 29.2; the overtime loss.Campbell
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Bunting–Matthews skated 13:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Bunting Matthews

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · COL 78 · TOR 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 23% of the game, COL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	COL
	47	65
	2.83	2.52
	2.80	2.41
	13	12
	6	6
	19	19
	+0.167	−0.167
	23%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Bunting – Matthews
13:1763% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Mikheyev
12:5544% CF
L3Spezza – Ritchie – Kampf
7:1963% CF
L4Simmonds – Clifford – Seney
3:5738% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
17:4438% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
16:2441% CF
D3Dermott – Sandin
8:1853% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
1:06100% CF
PP2Spezza – Simmonds – Ritchie – Sandin – Mikheyev
0:33100% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Kampf
5:09
PK2FNylander – Mikheyev
1:20
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
4:21
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
1:50

Current TOR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
15:1063% CF
L2Kadri – Burakovsky – O'Connor
5:5556% CF
L3Compher – Aube-Kubel – Newhook
2:470% CF
D1Toews – Makar
11:4164% CF
D2Girard – Byram
9:4250% CF
D3Johnson – Murray
8:2344% CF

PP1Kadri – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
6:16100% CF
PP2Burakovsky – Compher – Toews – Jost – Girard
1:17
PK1FHelm – Compher
1:06
PK2FJost – O'Connor
0:34
PK1DMurray – Girard
0:34
PK2DJohnson – Toews
0:29

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:54
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Michael Bunting)snap0.20 xG
TOR: Kerfoot, Bunting, Dermott, Matthews, SandinCOL: Johnson, Kadri, Murray, Burakovsky, O'Connor
TOR 1 – 0 COL
14:17
TORAuston Matthews (Morgan Rielly, Alexander Kerfoot)backhand0.08 xG
TOR: Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Bunting, MatthewsCOL: Landeskog, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Byram
TOR 2 – 0 COL
14:50
TORAuston Matthews (Alexander Kerfoot, Jake Muzzin)snap0.13 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting, MatthewsCOL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
TOR 3 – 0 COL
17:11
COLNathan MacKinnon (Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Bunting, MatthewsCOL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
TOR 3 – 1 COL

2nd period

5:39
TORNick RitchiePP (Wayne Simmonds, Ilya Mikheyev)backhand0.08 xG
TOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Ritchie, Sandin, MikheyevCOL: Helm, Compher, Toews, Girard
TOR 4 – 1 COL
16:46
COLCale Makar (Nazem Kadri, Nicolas Aube-Kubel)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, MikheyevCOL: Kadri, Compher, Aube-Kubel, Toews, Makar
TOR 4 – 2 COL

3rd period

10:06
COLGabriel Landeskog (Mikko Rantanen)backhand0.08 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, KampfCOL: Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Byram
TOR 4 – 3 COL
11:42
COLJ.T. Compher (Mikko Rantanen, Cale Makar)snap0.07 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Simmonds, Clifford, Tavares, DermottCOL: Compher, Toews, Rantanen, Jost, Makar
TOR 4 – 4 COL

OT period

1:12
COLDevon Toews (Nazem Kadri, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, MatthewsCOL: Kadri, Toews, Rantanen
TOR 4 – 5 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	1	2	3	+1	2	0.27	1	1	0	21:17	—	—	52	56
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	0	2	+1	8	1.09	0	0	2	20:53	—	—	56	65
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:55	—	—	57	64
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	0	1	0	19:51	—	—	43	46
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.37	0	1	0	18:42	—	—	43	46
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.35	0	0	2	16:59	—	—	41	38
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	0	1	0	17:39	—	—	26	63
Nick Ritchie L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.41	6	0	2	10:51	—	—	54	81
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:43	—	—	47	74
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	8:16	—	—	20	18
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:19	—	—	21	17
Brett Seney L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:52	—	—	20	11
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	24:36	—	—	45	36
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.08	1	3	4	23:18	—	—	32	26
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	2	0	25:28	—	—	44	54
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.02	1	4	0	23:52	—	—	41	59
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	4	1	0	11:18	—	—	47	76
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	2	3	0	11:16	—	—	44	75

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	O	49	44	5	.898	3.78	60:43

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	4	4	+3	4	0.47	1	0	0	25:09	—	—	70	74
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	1	2	0	6	0.57	4	0	0	24:47	—	—	64	69
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	0	1	0	12	0.94	0	1	0	24:26	—	—	65	68
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	2	2	+1	6	0.25	2	0	2	21:20	—	—	62	48
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.26	2	0	0	16:25	—	—	57	43
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:48	—	—	44	16
J.T. Compher L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.07	2	0	0	14:44	—	—	55	25
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	2	13:32	—	—	39	11
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	6	0	0	10:27	—	—	52	47
Cale Makar D	D1	1	1	2	+3	4	0.30	0	0	0	26:44	—	—	72	68
Devon Toews D	D1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.35	0	1	0	24:58	—	—	53	57
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	2	0	21:40	—	—	58	40
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	15:49	—	—	63	59
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	0	0	12:57	—	—	50	18
Ryan Murray D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	4	0	12:47	—	—	43	6
Tyson Jost C	—	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	11:14	—	—	65	63
Darren Helm C	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	4	0	0	7:49	—	—	65	56
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	3:12	—	—	44	34

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz	W	19	18	1	.947	2.12	46:22
Darcy Kuemper(start)	—	8	5	3	.625	1.02	14:50

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.