Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado AvalancheDec 31, 2022

FinalSaturday, Dec 31, 2022· Ball Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

6

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	3	1	6		TOR	13	12	7	32
COL	1	1	0	2		COL	6	15	7	28

: TOR 47COL 65
: TOR 3.18COL 2.13
PP goals: TOR 1COL 0
Hits: TOR 12COL 24
Blocks: TOR 25COL 10
PIM: TOR 6COL 6
: TOR 59%COL 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Colorado Avalanche 6–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Colorado Avalanche 6–2 at COL. Michael Bunting (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:53 together.

Points
Michael Bunting had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:51.Bunting
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:42.Matthews
Points
J.T. Compher had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:04.Compher
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) in 16:28.Tavares
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:14.Nylander
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:53 together.Tavares Nylander Bunting Marner Matthews
New line
New look for COL: Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Rantanen skated 8:14 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lehkonen MacKinnon Rantanen
New line
New look for COL: Compher–Rodrigues–O'Connor skated 6:15 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Compher Rodrigues O'Connor

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · COL 65 · TOR 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 33% of the game, COL 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	COL
	47	62
	1.81	1.91
	1.69	1.80
	7	7
	0	5
	16	14
	+0.043	−0.043
	33%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
9:1353% CF
L2Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
9:1055% CF
L3Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
8:5339% CF
L4Hunt – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
7:0950% CF
D1Giordano – Holl
12:3333% CF
D2Rielly – Liljegren
11:2344% CF
D3Brodie – Timmins
10:5744% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Bunting – Marner – Matthews
3:53100% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Rielly – Engvall – Timmins – Holmberg
2:2250% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:58
PK2FEngvall – Aston-Reese
0:58
PK1DBrodie – Holl
3:28
PK2DRielly – Liljegren
1:11

Current TOR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
8:1450% CF
L2Compher – Rodrigues – O'Connor
6:1525% CF
L3Cogliano – Malgin – Meyers
3:270% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
12:2658% CF
D2Toews – Makar
12:2548% CF
D3Hunt – Englund
7:0340% CF

PP1Compher – Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
4:05100% CF
PP2Toews – Rodrigues – Malgin – Girard – Newhook
1:22100% CF
PK1FCogliano – Compher
1:55
PK2FLehkonen – O'Connor
1:19
PK1DToews – Makar
3:18
PK2DJohnson – Girard
0:29

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:51
TORMitch Marner (Calle Jarnkrok, John Tavares)slap0.13 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsCOL: Hunt, Lehkonen, Englund, Rantanen, Meyers
TOR 1 – 0 COL
9:27
TORPierre Engvall (David Kampf, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, KampfCOL: Hunt, Compher, Englund, Rodrigues, O'Connor
TOR 2 – 0 COL
17:28
COLJ.T. Compher (Logan O'Connor, Evan Rodrigues)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, KampfCOL: Hunt, Compher, Rodrigues, Girard, O'Connor
TOR 2 – 1 COL

2nd period

0:34
TORMichael BuntingPP (John Tavares, Auston Matthews)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsCOL: Cogliano, Compher, Toews, Makar
TOR 3 – 1 COL
9:45
COLDevon Toews (J.T. Compher, Denis Malgin)tip-in0.08 xG
TOR: Giordano, Nylander, Hunt, Matthews, LiljegrenCOL: Johnson, Compher, Toews, Malgin, Newhook
TOR 3 – 2 COL
15:00
TORAuston Matthews (William Nylander)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Brodie, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, HolmbergCOL: Johnson, MacKinnon, Toews, Rodrigues, Malgin
TOR 4 – 2 COL
15:24
TORTJ Brodiesnap0.00 xG
TOR: Brodie, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Timmins, HolmbergCOL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Makar
TOR 5 – 2 COL

3rd period

16:11
TORMichael BuntingEN (William Nylander)backhand0.95 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsCOL: Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar
TOR 6 – 2 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Kampf C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	56	68
Pierre Engvall L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.33	0	0	0	14:38	—	—	42	71
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	0	1	2	14:34	—	—	47	64
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.33	1	0	0	19:20	—	—	50	80
John Tavares C	L2	0	2	2	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	16:28	—	—	43	71
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.05	2	1	0	16:05	—	—	38	74
Auston Matthews C	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.12	0	4	0	17:42	—	—	39	37
William Nylander R	L3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	36	30
Michael Bunting L	L3	2	0	2	+2	4	1.50	0	0	0	16:51	—	—	39	43
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	1	0	12:20	—	—	55	32
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:30	—	—	38	43
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	9:26	—	—	37	16
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	3	2	0	21:45	—	—	42	46
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	3	2	17:45	—	—	32	20
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	3	0	19:03	—	—	47	66
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	3	2	17:24	—	—	39	48
TJ Brodie D	D3	1	0	1	+2	6	0.16	0	3	0	20:28	—	—	52	51
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	0	2	0	15:54	—	—	47	74

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.13	59:39

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.16	1	0	0	22:19	—	—	54	34
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.11	2	0	0	20:35	—	—	53	44
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.18	1	0	0	20:06	—	—	69	60
J.T. Compher L	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.15	3	0	0	23:04	—	—	63	81
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	-3	2	0.04	0	0	0	22:11	—	—	39	19
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	2	0	0	14:58	—	—	50	58
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	1	0	13:10	—	—	67	60
Denis Malgin C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	11:24	—	—	79	79
Ben Meyers C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	0	2	9:27	—	—	60	54
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4	0	23:13	—	—	52	57
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	1	0	2	19:27	—	—	73	69
Cale Makar D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	3	0	0	25:35	—	—	54	30
Devon Toews D	D2	1	0	1	0	3	0.19	3	2	0	24:34	—	—	59	49
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	2	1	0	11:14	—	—	46	49
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	2	0	10:13	—	—	47	51
Alex Newhook C	—	0	0	0	+1	4	0.62	2	0	0	14:13	—	—	54	60
Jacob MacDonald D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	5:13	—	—	44	50
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	3:59	—	—	56	50

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	L	24	19	5	.792	1.55	35:24
Jonas Johansson	—	7	7	0	.1000	0.68	23:15

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.