Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Columbus Blue JacketsDec 28, 2018

FinalFriday, Dec 28, 2018· Nationwide Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	1	1	4		TOR	13	6	10	29
CBJ	1	0	1	2		CBJ	8	10	11	29

: TOR 51CBJ 65
: TOR 2.25CBJ 3.01
PP goals: TOR 1CBJ 0
Hits: TOR 8CBJ 24
Blocks: TOR 17CBJ 12
PIM: TOR 6CBJ 6
: TOR 58%CBJ 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Columbus Blue Jackets 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Columbus Blue Jackets 4–2 at CBJ. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:37 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 22:23.Marner
Points
John Tavares had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:35.Tavares
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:37 together.Tavares Kadri Rielly Marner Matthews
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 2.25 expected goals (51 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
David Savard (CBJ) played 15:33, −4:15 down on his 19:48 season average over 81 games.Savard
Usage
Markus Nutivaara (CBJ) played 21:24, +3:46 up on his 17:38 season average over 79 games.Nutivaara
Usage
Anthony Duclair (CBJ) played 9:40, −3:05 down on his 12:45 season average over 73 games.Duclair
PP1
CBJ's PP1 (Atkinson, Jones, Werenski, Panarin and Dubois) went scoreless in 3:08 of 5v4 time with 4 attempts.Atkinson Jones Werenski Panarin Dubois

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CBJ attacks right (top on phones) →

CBJ
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · CBJ 65 · TOR 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CBJ
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CBJ pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 31% of the game, CBJ 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CBJ

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CBJ
	53	64
	1.88	2.70
	1.82	2.58
	7	11
	6	4
	16	20
	+0.100	−0.100
	31%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Johnsson – Marner
13:5355% CF
L2Kadri – Brown – Nylander
12:0547% CF
L3Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
10:3114% CF
L4Gauthier – Moore – Lindholm
6:4286% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:1248% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
15:0541% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
13:4252% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:37100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Moore
0:380% CF
PK1FBrown – Lindholm
1:14
PK2FKapanen – Marner
0:45
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:16
PK2DRielly – Dermott
1:35

Current TOR line combinations →

Columbus Blue Jackets

L1Jenner – Anderson – Bjorkstrand
9:5537% CF
L2Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois
8:5464% CF
L3Dubinsky – Nash – Hannikainen
7:0557% CF
L4Foligno – Duclair – Wennberg
6:05100% CF
D1Murray – Nutivaara
16:3156% CF
D2Jones – Werenski
16:2958% CF
D3Savard – Harrington
13:3248% CF

PP1Atkinson – Jones – Werenski – Panarin – Dubois
3:0880% CF
PP2Foligno – Murray – Duclair – Wennberg – Nutivaara
0:52
PK1FJenner – Anderson
0:51
PK2FAtkinson – Wennberg
0:44
PK1DMurray – Jones
1:59
PK2DSavard – Werenski
0:24

Current CBJ line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:22
TORJohn TavaresPP (Nazem Kadri, Mitch Marner)deflected0.15 xG
TOR: Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsCBJ: Atkinson, Murray, Jones, Wennberg
TOR 1 – 0 CBJ
4:47
CBJNick Foligno (Alexander Wennberg, Seth Jones)snap0.04 xG
TOR: Marleau, Rielly, Dermott, Marner, MatthewsCBJ: Foligno, Duclair, Jones, Wennberg, Werenski
TOR 1 – 1 CBJ
18:04
TORJohn Tavares (Mitch Marner)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Johnsson, Marner, OzhiganovCBJ: Foligno, Atkinson, Savard, Jones, Dubois
TOR 2 – 1 CBJ

2nd period

9:46
TORMitch Marner (Auston Matthews, Jake Gardiner)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsCBJ: Jones, Werenski, Panarin, Dubois
TOR 3 – 1 CBJ

3rd period

13:44
TORFrederik Gauthier (Par Lindholm, Trevor Moore)wrist0.23 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Gauthier, Dermott, Moore, LindholmCBJ: Dubinsky, Nash, Murray, Hannikainen, Nutivaara
TOR 4 – 1 CBJ
18:32
CBJArtemi Panarin (Zach Werenski)slap0.15 xG
TOR: Marleau, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, OzhiganovCBJ: Dubinsky, Atkinson, Jones, Werenski, Panarin
TOR 4 – 2 CBJ

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	2	3	+1	2	0.17	1	2	0	22:23	—	—	46	38
John Tavares C	L1	2	0	2	+1	5	0.46	1	1	0	19:35	—	—	50	47
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	55	49
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	50	41
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	0	1	2	15:48	—	—	47	41
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.34	0	0	2	14:17	—	—	49	40
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:46	—	—	16	15
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	11	13
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	2	14:05	—	—	16	15
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.15	0	0	0	9:40	—	—	89	96
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	8:08	—	—	78	94
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.26	1	0	0	7:49	—	—	78	95
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	4	0	21:41	—	—	49	56
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	4	0	20:31	—	—	47	56
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	0	0	21:19	—	—	39	23
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	3	0	20:42	—	—	41	29
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	16:47	—	—	47	41
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	2	0	0	16:45	—	—	50	53

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Garret Sparks(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	3.01	60:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

CBJ skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Josh Anderson R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	3	0	2	16:05	—	—	39	47
Boone Jenner C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	2	2	0	15:49	—	—	40	46
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:25	—	—	35	50
Artemi Panarin L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.21	0	1	0	20:56	—	—	63	68
Cam Atkinson R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.37	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	61	73
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	2	1	0	18:24	—	—	54	56
Brandon Dubinsky C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	0	0	12:56	—	—	50	44
Riley Nash C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	1	0	8:22	—	—	53	31
Markus Hannikainen L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	1	0	8:14	—	—	53	28
Nick Foligno L	L4	1	0	1	0	6	0.51	3	0	0	15:56	—	—	74	82
Alexander Wennberg C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:30	—	—	67	88
Anthony Duclair L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:40	—	—	83	69
Markus Nutivaara D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	0	0	21:24	—	—	57	44
Ryan Murray D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	1	0	21:02	—	—	58	45
Seth Jones D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	25:22	—	—	55	69
Zach Werenski D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.30	2	2	0	23:28	—	—	60	75
David Savard D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	0	0	15:33	—	—	47	55
Scott Harrington D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	0	2	2	13:42	—	—	50	56

CBJ goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	2.25	59:14

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.