Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal CanadiensOct 12, 2022

FinalWednesday, Oct 12, 2022· Centre Bell

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Montreal CanadiensMTL

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	1	3		TOR	8	13	11	32
MTL	0	2	2	4		MTL	8	9	6	23

: TOR 63MTL 50
: TOR 2.88MTL 2.14
PP goals: TOR 0MTL 0
Hits: TOR 19MTL 19
Blocks: TOR 15MTL 23
PIM: TOR 8MTL 8
: TOR 49%MTL 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Montreal Canadiens edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Montreal Canadiens beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 at home. Cole Caufield (MTL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. MTL scored 4 goals on 2.14 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Cole Caufield had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:18.Caufield
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:00.Nylander
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:41.Tavares
Points
Nick Suzuki had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:24.Suzuki
Luck
MTL scored 4 goals on 2.14 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Jake Evans (MTL) played 9:09, −5:26 down on his 14:35 season average over 53 games.Evans
Usage
Rasmus Sandin (TOR) played 14:50, −4:33 down on his 19:23 season average over 70 games.Sandin
Usage
Evgenii Dadonov (MTL) played 11:04, −3:42 down on his 14:46 season average over 72 games.Dadonov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)MTL attacks right (top on phones) →

MTL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · MTL 50 · TOR 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MTL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MTL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 39% of the game, MTL 16%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MTL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	MTL
	55	46
	2.00	1.73
	1.91	1.67
	11	11
	7	12
	36	22
	−0.009	+0.009
	39%	16%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
7:4167% CF
L2Aube-Kubel – Aston-Reese – Kampf
7:0023% CF
L3Tavares – Nylander – Malgin
6:3050% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Engvall
5:1370% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
12:1647% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
12:0965% CF
D3Giordano – Sandin
11:4260% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:44100% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Bunting – Malgin
0:53100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:26
PK2FJarnkrok – Aston-Reese
1:12
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:54
PK2DGiordano – Brodie
2:43

Current TOR line combinations →

Montreal Canadiens

L1Anderson – Suzuki – Caufield
10:3036% CF
L2Hoffman – Monahan – Dach
8:1467% CF
L3Gallagher – Dvorak – Slafkovský
7:2825% CF
L4Dadonov – Evans – Pitlick
3:5440% CF
D1Savard – Guhle
15:2530% CF
D2Kovacevic – Harris
12:5564% CF
D3Wideman – Xhekaj
8:5947% CF

PP1Wideman – Anderson – Monahan – Suzuki – Caufield
4:2583% CF
PP2Dadonov – Hoffman – Gallagher – Dvorak – Dach
1:50100% CF
PK1FMonahan – Dvorak
1:37
PK2FDadonov – Evans
1:27
PK1DSavard – Guhle
3:33
PK2DKovacevic – Harris
1:59

Current MTL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:41
TORMichael Bunting (Mitch Marner, TJ Brodie)snap0.18 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsMTL: Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle
TOR 1 – 0 MTL

2nd period

0:33
MTLCole Caufield (Nick Suzuki, David Savard)wrist0.09 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsMTL: Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle
TOR 1 – 1 MTL
9:06
TORDenis Malgin (John Tavares, William Nylander)snap0.02 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Malgin, SandinMTL: Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Xhekaj
TOR 2 – 1 MTL
15:56
MTLCole Caufieldwrist0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsMTL: Anderson, Suzuki, Harris, Caufield, Xhekaj
TOR 2 – 2 MTL

3rd period

17:30
MTLSean Monahan (Jordan Harris, Kirby Dach)snap0.17 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Engvall, KampfMTL: Anderson, Monahan, Kovacevic, Harris, Dach
TOR 2 – 3 MTL
18:10
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Malgin, MatthewsMTL: Dadonov, Gallagher, Dvorak, Kovacevic, Guhle
TOR 3 – 3 MTL
19:41
MTLJosh Anderson (Nick Suzuki)snap0.09 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, EngvallMTL: Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle
TOR 3 – 4 MTL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.34	3	0	0	19:54	—	—	71	67
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.03	0	2	0	18:28	—	—	74	64
Michael Bunting L	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.18	1	0	2	12:58	—	—	72	64
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:33	—	—	29	16
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	11:19	—	—	23	17
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:43	—	—	35	28
William Nylander R	L3	1	1	2	+1	5	0.59	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	60	49
John Tavares C	L3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.17	2	0	0	17:41	—	—	56	47
Denis Malgin C	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	0	0	0	11:33	—	—	52	53
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.61	0	0	2	15:18	—	—	70	84
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.27	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	53	59
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	0	0	0	14:02	—	—	50	66
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	3	0	19:29	—	—	50	33
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.17	4	6	0	18:11	—	—	43	35
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.09	0	1	0	22:32	—	—	57	54
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:42	—	—	64	69
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	1	2	18:20	—	—	62	76
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	1	2	14:50	—	—	62	69

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	2.14	59:18

Montreal Canadiens

MTL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Suzuki C	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.45	0	3	0	21:24	—	—	38	47
Cole Caufield R	L1	2	0	2	+1	5	0.52	1	1	0	18:18	—	—	39	44
Josh Anderson R	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.09	2	0	0	15:36	—	—	41	54
Sean Monahan C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.30	0	0	2	18:15	—	—	70	64
Kirby Dach C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:38	—	—	68	64
Mike Hoffman C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	63	47
Christian Dvorak C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:33	—	—	32	28
Brendan Gallagher R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	1	0	0	15:27	—	—	35	54
Juraj Slafkovský L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	10:34	—	—	32	52
Rem Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	11:33	—	—	42	18
Evgenii Dadonov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	0	11:04	—	—	36	28
Jake Evans C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	9:09	—	—	33	17
Kaiden Guhle D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	22:34	—	—	32	60
David Savard D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	9	0	22:29	—	—	24	44
Jordan Harris D	D2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.11	1	2	2	19:41	—	—	61	47
Johnathan Kovacevic D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	6	1	0	19:06	—	—	59	49
Chris Wideman D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	2	2	15:26	—	—	50	39
Arber Xhekaj D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	4	1	0	12:47	—	—	44	38

MTL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	2.88	59:47

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.