Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver CanucksMar 4, 2023

FinalSaturday, Mar 4, 2023· Rogers Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	1	1		TOR	14	9	14	37
VAN	0	1	3	4		VAN	5	11	8	24

: TOR 64VAN 49
: TOR 3.30VAN 3.30
PP goals: TOR 1VAN 1
Hits: TOR 16VAN 23
Blocks: TOR 16VAN 16
PIM: TOR 21VAN 13
: TOR 54%VAN 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vancouver Canucks beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1

Vancouver Canucks beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1 at home. J.T. Miller (VAN) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:22 together.

Points
Elias Pettersson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:58.Pettersson
Points
J.T. Miller had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:32.Miller
Points
Brock Boeser had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:47.Boeser
Points
Quinn Hughes had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 29:16.Hughes
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 4:22 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Marner–Matthews skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Marner Matthews
Goalie
Thatcher Demko (VAN) faced 37 shots and stopped 36 (.973), +6 against a season average of 31.4; the win.Demko
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.30 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)VAN attacks right (top on phones) →

VAN
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · VAN 49 · TOR 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

VAN
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

VAN pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 40% of the game, VAN 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

VAN

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	VAN
	61	49
	2.46	2.40
	2.39	2.27
	7	14
	2	6
	4	11
	+0.010	−0.010
	40%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Marner – Matthews
7:0867% CF
L2O'Reilly – Lafferty – Bunting
2:5850% CF
L3Tavares – Jarnkrok – Nylander
2:2533% CF
D1Giordano – Holl
10:2635% CF
D2Brodie – McCabe
7:3255% CF
D3Rielly – Gustafsson
6:5654% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:2278% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Gustafsson – Kerfoot – Lafferty – Bunting
1:22100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
0:57
PK2FMarner – Kampf
0:47
PK1DBrodie – Holl
3:18
PK2DGiordano – Schenn
0:57

Current TOR line combinations →

Vancouver Canucks

L1Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser
10:1945% CF
L2Beauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko
9:0232% CF
L3Dries – Kravtsov – Podkolzin
6:0325% CF
L4Joshua – Garland – Aman
5:0167% CF
D1Burroughs – Wolanin
8:3853% CF
D2Juulsen – Hughes
8:1460% CF
D3Myers – Brisebois
6:5744% CF

PP1Miller – Beauvillier – Pettersson – Hughes – Kuzmenko
3:52100% CF
PP2Burroughs – Boeser – Wolanin – Garland – Dries
1:02
PK1FMiller – Pettersson
2:33
PK2FJoshua – Aman
1:31
PK1DMyers – Brisebois
1:28
PK2DBurroughs – Hughes
0:55

Current VAN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

17:51
VANAndrei KuzmenkoPP (Quinn Hughes, Brock Boeser)tip-in0.13 xG
TOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, Holl, AcciariVAN: Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko
TOR 0 – 1 VAN

3rd period

1:32
TORJohn TavaresPP (William Nylander, Morgan Rielly)tip-in0.12 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsVAN: Di Giuseppe, Joshua, Juulsen, Hughes
TOR 1 – 1 VAN
6:49
VANElias PetterssonSH (J.T. Miller, Tyler Myers)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsVAN: Myers, Miller, Pettersson, Hughes
TOR 1 – 2 VAN
7:33
VANJ.T. MillerSH (Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsVAN: Miller, Burroughs, Pettersson, Hughes
TOR 1 – 3 VAN
12:34
VANNils Aman (Brock Boeser, Phillip Di Giuseppe)snap0.19 xG
TOR: Schenn, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, BuntingVAN: Myers, Di Giuseppe, Boeser, Brisebois, Aman
TOR 1 – 4 VAN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:51	—	—	67	62
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.23	1	2	0	18:17	—	—	71	62
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	1	0	0	16:18	—	—	60	52
Sam Lafferty C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	15:55	—	—	25	26
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.33	1	0	0	15:01	—	—	50	43
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	11:11	—	—	64	61
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	-3	4	0.56	0	0	0	21:55	—	—	58	57
John Tavares C	L3	1	0	1	-3	8	1.00	1	0	0	21:21	—	—	51	49
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	0	1	0	15:42	—	—	47	53
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:43	—	—	38	27
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	2	0	15:02	—	—	40	33
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:16	—	—	73	81
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	17	13:09	—	—	46	45
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	1	1	-3	3	0.24	3	1	2	21:39	—	—	57	38
Erik Gustafsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	14:02	—	—	55	58
David Kampf C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	13:47	—	—	47	59
Noel Acciari C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	5	1	2	12:28	—	—	64	50
Luke Schenn D	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	0	0	12:10	—	—	73	67

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	24	20	4	.833	2.63	58:54

Vancouver Canucks

VAN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
J.T. Miller C	L1	1	1	2	+2	5	0.42	5	1	0	20:32	—	—	44	51
Brock Boeser R	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.09	0	0	0	18:47	—	—	45	42
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.12	2	0	2	17:00	—	—	50	57
Elias Pettersson C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	1.02	0	4	0	20:58	—	—	39	53
Anthony Beauvillier R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	14:29	—	—	35	53
Andrei Kuzmenko L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	0	1	0	14:15	—	—	38	61
Sheldon Dries C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	0	0	13:05	—	—	42	47
Vitali Kravtsov R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	33	7
Vasily Podkolzin R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.40	2	0	0	10:14	—	—	35	56
Nils Aman C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	0	0	2	12:53	—	—	55	46
Conor Garland R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:34	—	—	59	34
Dakota Joshua C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	3	0	0	11:48	—	—	61	64
Kyle Burroughs D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	18:10	—	—	46	50
Christian Wolanin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.31	0	0	0	13:49	—	—	55	53
Quinn Hughes D	D2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.17	0	2	0	29:16	—	—	41	38
Noah Juulsen D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	14:05	—	—	62	58
Tyler Myers D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	4	7	23:49	—	—	35	43
Guillaume Brisebois D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:55	—	—	44	63

VAN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Thatcher Demko(start)	W	37	36	1	.973	3.30	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.