Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington CapitalsOct 17, 2017

FinalTuesday, Oct 17, 2017· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	2	2		TOR	7	10	13	30
WSH	0	0	0	0		WSH	7	10	13	30

: TOR 57WSH 56
: TOR 3.52WSH 1.85
PP goals: TOR 0WSH 0
Hits: TOR 24WSH 24
Blocks: TOR 17WSH 9
PIM: TOR 6WSH 4
: TOR 45%WSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 2–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 2–0 at WSH. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for TOR: Moore–Martin–Marner skated 7:29 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:07.Rielly
New line
New look for TOR: Moore–Martin–Marner skated 7:29 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Moore Martin Marner
New line
New look for TOR: van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown skated 8:51 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.van Riemsdyk Bozak Brown
Luck
WSH scored 0 goals on 1.85 expected goals (56 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 3.52 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Zach Hyman (TOR) played 20:30, +3:11 up on his 17:19 season average over 81 games.Hyman
Usage
Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) played 23:59, +5:14 up on his 18:45 season average over 78 games.Kuznetsov
Usage
Nicklas Backstrom (WSH) played 24:39, +5:03 up on his 19:36 season average over 80 games.Backstrom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · WSH 56 · TOR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 29% of the game, WSH 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WSH
	60	54
	3.06	1.46
	2.84	1.41
	17	5
	6	7
	16	17
	−0.060	+0.059
	29%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
14:1150% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
10:2556% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
8:5147% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Marner
7:2964% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
17:3649% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
15:3761% CF
D3Carrick – Rosen
9:1860% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:20100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
0:370% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
2:04
PK2FMoore – Brown
1:19
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
4:57

Current TOR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Oshie – Backstrom – Burakovsky
13:0259% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Vrana
10:2629% CF
L3Beagle – Smith-Pelly – Walker
7:0850% CF
L4Connolly – Graovac – Wilson
2:350% CF
D1Orpik – Carlson
8:0852% CF
D2Orlov – Bowey
5:1258% CF
D3Chorney – Djoos
2:45100% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
4:5788% CF
PK1FBeagle – Smith-Pelly
1:18
PK2FBackstrom – Wilson
0:26
PK1DCarlson – Orlov
1:05
PK2DOrpik – Chorney
0:55

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

5:53
TORConnor Brown (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, BrownWSH: Orlov, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Wilson, Djoos
TOR 1 – 0 WSH
19:38
TORNazem KadriEN (Morgan Rielly, Zach Hyman)wrist0.69 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Hyman, RiellyWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky
TOR 2 – 0 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	20:30	—	—	51	66
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.66	0	1	0	17:52	—	—	51	69
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	17:37	—	—	50	70
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	4	0	0	16:06	—	—	57	66
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	1.17	0	0	2	15:57	—	—	54	74
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	0	2	14:33	—	—	57	76
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	1	2	13:33	—	—	50	80
Connor Brown R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.39	1	0	0	13:27	—	—	41	78
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.45	2	0	0	12:27	—	—	50	81
Mitch Marner R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	12:49	—	—	71	64
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	1	0	12:22	—	—	54	21
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	0	0	9:50	—	—	57	22
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	4	0	26:05	—	—	44	56
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	22:08	—	—	50	61
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	4	4	0	24:43	—	—	55	77
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.18	0	3	0	20:07	—	—	62	80
Connor Carrick D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	12:39	—	—	53	61
Calle Rosen D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:15	—	—	54	65

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	30	30	0	.1000	1.85	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	24:39	—	—	58	44
T.J. Oshie R	L1	-1	3	0.28	4	0	0	23:01	—	—	56	44
Andre Burakovsky L	L1	-1	4	0.13	1	0	0	18:27	—	—	65	41
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	-2	2	0.21	0	0	0	23:59	—	—	32	31
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	-1	4	0.46	3	0	2	20:44	—	—	32	46
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	3	0.33	1	0	0	12:58	—	—	31	40
Jay Beagle C	L3	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:46	—	—	58	16
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L3	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:13	—	—	67	13
Nathan Walker L	L3	0	2	0.01	1	0	2	11:09	—	—	67	37
Tom Wilson R	L4	-1	2	0.14	1	1	0	11:02	—	—	43	15
Brett Connolly R	L4	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:35	—	—	25	2
Tyler Graovac C	L4	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	3:19	—	—	0	0
John Carlson D	D1	-1	2	0.07	1	1	0	27:33	—	—	43	24
Brooks Orpik D	D1	0	2	0.04	3	4	0	21:49	—	—	48	43
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	-1	1	0.04	3	1	0	22:51	—	—	51	30
Madison Bowey D	D2	0	2	0.09	2	0	0	14:28	—	—	53	47
Christian Djoos D	D3	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:24	—	—	39	27
Taylor Chorney D	D3	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	11:47	—	—	54	23

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	29	28	1	.966	2.83	58:16

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.