Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington CapitalsMar 3, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 3, 2018· Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	0	2		TOR	7	12	10	29
WSH	3	2	0	5		WSH	12	18	4	34

: TOR 69WSH 52
: TOR 1.61WSH 3.07
PP goals: TOR 0WSH 2
Hits: TOR 26WSH 22
Blocks: TOR 11WSH 24
PIM: TOR 4WSH 4
: TOR 43%WSH 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2

Washington Capitals beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2 at home. Nicklas Backstrom (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 2A. WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 1:59 together.

Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 18:08.Kuznetsov
Points
John Carlson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 22:48.Carlson
Points
Nicklas Backstrom had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 18:29.Backstrom
PP1
WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 1:59 together.Ovechkin Oshie Backstrom Carlson Kuznetsov
New line
New look for TOR: van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Kapanen skated 6:29 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.van Riemsdyk Bozak Kapanen
Luck
WSH scored 5 goals on 3.07 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Roman Polak (TOR) played 14:26, −3:16 down on his 17:42 season average over 53 games.Polak
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 10:35, −4:29 down on his 15:04 season average over 81 games.Brown

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · WSH 52 · TOR 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 17% of the game, WSH 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WSH
	76	56
	1.33	3.26
	1.32	3.10
	7	19
	4	13
	24	12
	−0.065	+0.065
	17%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Marner
8:3972% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
6:44100% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kapanen
6:2950% CF
L4Moore – Plekanec – Brown
2:250% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
20:1960% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
16:3256% CF
D3Polak – Dermott
12:3750% CF

PP1Marleau – Komarov – Gardiner – Hyman – Nylander
1:44100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:58100% CF
PK1FPlekanec – Hyman
0:46
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:32
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:06

Current TOR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
14:5853% CF
L2Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana
12:1042% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
10:2517% CF
L4Beagle – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson
10:2345% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
19:1542% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
17:1653% CF
D3Orpik – Djoos
12:1742% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
1:59100% CF
PK1FEller – Wilson
1:02
PK2FOshie – Backstrom
0:43
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
1:42
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
0:00

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:50
WSHEvgeny KuznetsovPP (Nicklas Backstrom, John Carlson)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Polak, Brown, KapanenWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov
TOR 0 – 1 WSH
5:20
TORZach Hyman (Roman Polak)deflected0.13 xG
TOR: Plekanec, Polak, Hyman, Nylander, DermottWSH: Oshie, Beagle, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Kempny
TOR 1 – 1 WSH
6:19
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Tom Wilson, Nicklas Backstrom)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Marner, ZaitsevWSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Wilson
TOR 1 – 2 WSH
16:20
WSHNicklas BackstromPP (Evgeny Kuznetsov, John Carlson)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Brown, Kapanen, ZaitsevWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov
TOR 1 – 3 WSH

2nd period

7:22
TORNazem Kadri (Patrick Marleau, Travis Dermott)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerWSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Beagle, Orlov, Wilson
TOR 2 – 3 WSH
8:05
WSHJohn Carlson (Chandler Stephenson, Jay Beagle)wrist0.15 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Plekanec, Hyman, Rielly, NylanderWSH: Oshie, Beagle, Carlson, Stephenson, Kempny
TOR 2 – 4 WSH
10:49
WSHJakub Vrana (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Moore, Kapanen, Marner, ZaitsevWSH: Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana
TOR 2 – 5 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.19	2	0	0	19:03	—	—	59	38
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:41	—	—	58	37
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	18:37	—	—	62	15
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.06	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	73	19
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.28	4	0	0	16:47	—	—	72	12
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	5	1	0	15:10	—	—	69	40
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	43	25
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	1	0	0	15:06	—	—	48	26
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	4	0	0	13:46	—	—	50	31
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	1	0	0	11:27	—	—	46	49
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	36	23
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	8:15	—	—	47	38
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	4	0	23:03	—	—	61	17
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	3	0	22:58	—	—	60	18
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	6	0.17	0	1	0	21:30	—	—	58	35
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	1	0	19:32	—	—	56	34
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	2	15:37	—	—	48	34
Roman Polak D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	2	0	0	14:26	—	—	54	42

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	25	20	5	.800	2.29	31:10
Curtis McElhinney	—	9	9	0	.1000	0.78	28:49

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.48	0	1	0	19:31	—	—	48	79
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	1	2	3	+1	5	0.62	0	1	0	18:29	—	—	48	78
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.29	5	0	0	17:44	—	—	49	79
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	1	2	3	0	2	0.16	0	1	0	18:08	—	—	41	72
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	4	2	0	17:14	—	—	45	75
Jakub Vrana L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	1	0	0	12:59	—	—	44	84
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:13	—	—	19	12
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:50	—	—	27	22
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	11:28	—	—	21	4
Jay Beagle C	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.27	0	1	0	13:48	—	—	43	66
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	12:36	—	—	46	68
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.16	1	1	0	11:48	—	—	50	75
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	6	3	2	24:05	—	—	38	89
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	4	0	21:32	—	—	36	87
John Carlson D	D2	1	2	3	0	3	0.22	1	1	2	22:48	—	—	50	71
Michal Kempny D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	4	0	19:26	—	—	48	71
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	17:13	—	—	45	46
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	3	0	13:10	—	—	40	42

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	1.61	59:56

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.