Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington CapitalsOct 13, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 13, 2018· Capital One Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	2	2	4		TOR	9	5	14	28
WSH	1	1	0	2		WSH	10	9	8	27

: TOR 57WSH 59
: TOR 1.71WSH 2.36
PP goals: TOR 1WSH 1
Hits: TOR 14WSH 28
Blocks: TOR 19WSH 18
PIM: TOR 6WSH 6
: TOR 47%WSH 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 4–2 at WSH. Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Gardiner, Leivo, Brown and Johnsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:36 together.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:40.Matthews
Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:52.Kuznetsov
Points
Kasperi Kapanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:40.Kapanen
Points
Alex Ovechkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:34.Ovechkin
Points
Connor Brown had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:36.Brown
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Gardiner, Leivo, Brown and Johnsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:36 together.Marleau Gardiner Leivo Brown Johnsson
PP1
WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:02 together.Ovechkin Oshie Backstrom Carlson Kuznetsov
New line
New look for WSH: Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Stephenson skated 14:19 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (35.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ovechkin Kuznetsov Stephenson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · WSH 59 · TOR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 33% of the game, WSH 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WSH
	58	53
	1.33	1.89
	1.29	1.80
	11	13
	6	8
	22	4
	−0.055	+0.055
	33%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
13:2773% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
13:1039% CF
L3Kadri – Brown – Lindholm
9:1362% CF
L4Leivo – Johnsson – Gauthier
5:3222% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
15:2471% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
14:5336% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
12:2360% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Leivo – Brown – Johnsson
2:36100% CF
PP2Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:3867% CF
PK1FTavares – Hyman
1:13
PK2FKapanen – Lindholm
0:51
PK1DHainsey – Dermott
1:48
PK2DGardiner – Rielly
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Stephenson
14:1936% CF
L2Oshie – Backstrom – Vrana
12:4171% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
9:3635% CF
L4Dowd – Smith-Pelly – Jaskin
7:1542% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
15:3236% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
13:4635% CF
D3Orpik – Djoos
8:5345% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
3:02100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Connolly – Vrana
0:49100% CF
PK1FDowd – Smith-Pelly
1:21
PK2FEller – Stephenson
1:06
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
2:26
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
1:50

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:18
WSHChandler Stephenson (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Alex Ovechkin)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews, ZaitsevWSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Stephenson, Kempny
TOR 0 – 1 WSH

2nd period

3:30
TORKasperi Kapanen (Ron Hainsey, Auston Matthews)tip-in0.05 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Rielly, Kapanen, MatthewsWSH: Orpik, Dowd, Jaskin, Stephenson, Djoos
TOR 1 – 1 WSH
4:39
WSHEvgeny KuznetsovPP (Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Zaitsev, LindholmWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov
TOR 1 – 2 WSH
18:53
TORPar Lindholm (Jake Gardiner, Connor Brown)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev, LindholmWSH: Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Djoos, Burakovsky
TOR 2 – 2 WSH

3rd period

6:28
TORJosh LeivoPP (Andreas Johnsson, Connor Brown)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Leivo, Brown, JohnssonWSH: Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Stephenson
TOR 3 – 2 WSH
18:21
TORAuston Matthews (Kasperi Kapanen, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Rielly, Kapanen, MatthewsWSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Stephenson
TOR 4 – 2 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.14	1	1	0	18:40	—	—	74	87
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	18:31	—	—	73	87
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.23	1	0	0	17:40	—	—	65	75
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.38	0	2	2	19:07	—	—	40	26
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:54	—	—	43	24
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	2	1	0	17:11	—	—	39	26
Par Lindholm C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	0	1	0	15:22	—	—	52	42
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	14:53	—	—	50	42
Connor Brown R	L3	0	2	2	+1	4	0.23	1	2	0	14:36	—	—	62	49
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	8:57	—	—	18	17
Josh Leivo L	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	8:57	—	—	36	30
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	7:00	—	—	18	17
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	1	1	0	23:02	—	—	64	84
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.09	1	1	0	21:44	—	—	65	78
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	21:43	—	—	36	17
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	4	2	19:36	—	—	38	18
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	2	15:32	—	—	61	58
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	4	0	14:13	—	—	56	60

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.36	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	2	2	0	2	0.26	2	0	0	21:34	—	—	41	34
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	1	1	2	0	5	0.16	0	1	0	20:52	—	—	35	32
Chandler Stephenson C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	17:47	—	—	36	30
Nicklas Backstrom C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.18	2	1	0	20:29	—	—	68	86
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	0	3	0	20:20	—	—	65	86
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.49	0	0	2	15:41	—	—	75	86
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	15:37	—	—	46	47
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	0	0	12:10	—	—	48	50
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	1	0	11:05	—	—	32	45
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	0	0	0	9:43	—	—	43	51
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	9:24	—	—	39	48
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:03	—	—	36	46
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	2	0	21:42	—	—	37	60
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	2	4	0	20:21	—	—	49	63
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	4	3	0	25:48	—	—	57	58
Michal Kempny D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	2	17:31	—	—	36	32
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:38	—	—	56	66
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	6	0	0	14:14	—	—	48	68

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	28	24	4	.857	1.71	58:20

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.