Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington CapitalsFeb 28, 2022

FinalMonday, Feb 28, 2022· Capital One Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	0	2	5		TOR	10	9	9	28
WSH	1	1	1	3		WSH	12	11	10	33

: TOR 62WSH 58
: TOR 3.67WSH 2.79
PP goals: TOR 0WSH 1
Hits: TOR 23WSH 39
Blocks: TOR 13WSH 16
PIM: TOR 8WSH 10
: TOR 50%WSH 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 5–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Washington Capitals 5–3 at WSH. John Carlson (WSH) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for TOR: Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev skated 9:08 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (72.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
John Carlson had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 25:44.Carlson
Points
Tom Wilson had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 18:44.Wilson
Points
Justin Holl had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:46.Holl
Points
Rasmus Sandin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:05.Sandin
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:36.Tavares
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:29.Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev skated 9:08 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (72.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Engvall Kampf Mikheyev
Usage
Ilya Mikheyev (TOR) played 18:31, +3:19 up on his 15:12 season average over 52 games.Mikheyev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · WSH 58 · TOR 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 34% of the game, WSH 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WSH
	58	44
	2.50	1.65
	2.45	1.59
	14	8
	6	2
	19	8
	−0.023	+0.023
	34%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
11:3050% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
10:1461% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
9:0872% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Robertson
4:4933% CF
D1Brodie – Holl
13:5464% CF
D2Rielly – Liljegren
12:2755% CF
D3Sandin – Lyubushkin
9:1929% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:0380% CF
PP2Spezza – Simmonds – Bunting – Sandin – Mikheyev
3:29100% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Mikheyev
2:27
PK2FMarner – Kampf
2:22
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:52
PK2DRielly – Liljegren
2:21

Current TOR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
9:5736% CF
L2Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway
9:0478% CF
L3Oshie – Backstrom – Sheary
8:0229% CF
L4Eller – Snively – McMichael
6:1133% CF
D1Carlson – Fehérváry
12:3648% CF
D2Orlov – Jensen
11:2738% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Kempny
8:2144% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
4:0043% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Wilson – Sheary
1:29100% CF
PK1FHagelin – Dowd
3:23
PK2FEller – Wilson
1:38
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
3:58
PK2DCarlson – Fehérváry
1:48

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:35
TORMichael Bunting (Mitch Marner, Rasmus Sandin)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, LiljegrenWSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry
TOR 1 – 0 WSH
16:23
WSHConor Sheary (Nicklas Backstrom, John Carlson)tip-in0.06 xG
TOR: Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin, LyubushkinWSH: Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Sheary, Fehérváry
TOR 1 – 1 WSH
18:49
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.21 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, LyubushkinWSH: Eller, Carlson, Fehérváry, Snively, McMichael
TOR 2 – 1 WSH
19:58
TORJustin Holl (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.20 xG
TOR: Holl, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Kuznetsov, Kempny, Fehérváry
TOR 3 – 1 WSH

2nd period

10:11
WSHTom WilsonPP (Alex Ovechkin, John Carlson)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Rielly, Kerfoot, Liljegren, MikheyevWSH: Ovechkin, Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Sheary
TOR 3 – 2 WSH

3rd period

1:44
WSHTom WilsonSH (Martin Fehérváry, John Carlson)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsWSH: Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry
TOR 3 – 3 WSH
16:37
TORRasmus Sandin (Justin Holl, John Tavares)wrist0.09 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, Matthews, SandinWSH: Ovechkin, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Fehérváry
TOR 4 – 3 WSH
18:59
TORPierre EngvallEN (Ilya Mikheyev)wrist0.97 xG
TOR: Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Lyubushkin, MikheyevWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson
TOR 5 – 3 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.18	2	3	0	21:29	—	—	45	60
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.20	5	1	0	19:29	—	—	55	77
Michael Bunting L	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.19	3	1	4	18:23	—	—	43	60
John Tavares C	L2	0	2	2	0	1	0.30	1	1	0	17:36	—	—	64	59
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.41	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	65	62
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.13	0	2	0	15:20	—	—	64	62
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	1	1	+1	6	0.49	1	0	0	18:31	—	—	70	59
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	15:27	—	—	67	61
Pierre Engvall L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.98	2	0	2	11:44	—	—	70	59
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	2	10:20	—	—	33	36
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	9:11	—	—	33	36
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:28	—	—	33	36
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	21:31	—	—	62	77
Justin Holl D	D1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.31	0	2	0	20:46	—	—	69	81
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.07	0	0	0	24:35	—	—	63	57
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:59	—	—	57	50
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	1	1	2	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	15:05	—	—	33	34
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	14:21	—	—	47	50

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	2.79	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.09	2	0	4	20:40	—	—	41	33
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	1	1	-4	4	0.42	1	2	0	20:16	—	—	37	27
Tom Wilson R	L1	2	0	2	-1	7	1.00	4	0	0	18:44	—	—	37	37
Carl Hagelin L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	16:24	—	—	71	64
Nic Dowd C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	3	0	0	14:48	—	—	68	54
Garnet Hathaway R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	6	1	0	12:09	—	—	78	81
T.J. Oshie R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	4	0	0	16:27	—	—	27	29
Nicklas Backstrom C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.24	1	1	0	16:26	—	—	19	31
Conor Sheary L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	4	1	0	13:34	—	—	41	64
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	2	4	13:13	—	—	44	41
Joe Snively C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	0	0	8:23	—	—	33	23
Connor McMichael L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	6:57	—	—	29	23
John Carlson D	D1	0	3	3	-1	2	0.04	2	1	0	25:44	—	—	50	37
Martin Fehérváry D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.06	2	2	0	20:03	—	—	40	26
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:01	—	—	33	47
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	1	0	18:32	—	—	50	58
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	2	16:34	—	—	52	67
Michal Kempny D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:59	—	—	35	22

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Vitek Vanecek	L	17	16	1	.941	1.48	38:45
Ilya Samsonov(start)	—	10	7	3	.700	1.22	20:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.