Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington CapitalsDec 17, 2022

FinalSaturday, Dec 17, 2022· Capital One Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	0	2		TOR	13	14	9	36
WSH	2	1	2	5		WSH	14	6	8	28

: TOR 74WSH 44
: TOR 4.20WSH 2.49
PP goals: TOR 0WSH 0
Hits: TOR 17WSH 37
Blocks: TOR 10WSH 18
PIM: TOR 4WSH 4
: TOR 60%WSH 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2

Washington Capitals beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2 at home. Erik Gustafsson (WSH) led the scoring with 3G 0A. T.J. Oshie (WSH) played 7:04, −9:50 down on his 16:54 season average over 57 games.

Points
Erik Gustafsson had a hat trick (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:13.Gustafsson
Points
Sonny Milano had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 13:25.Milano
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:23.Matthews
Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:24.Kuznetsov
Usage
T.J. Oshie (WSH) played 7:04, −9:50 down on his 16:54 season average over 57 games.Oshie
Luck
WSH scored 5 goals on 2.49 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Charlie Lindgren (WSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +8 against a season average of 27.5; the win.Lindgren
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.20 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · WSH 44 · TOR 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 39% of the game, WSH 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WSH
	76	49
	4.51	2.76
	4.22	2.66
	18	16
	6	6
	13	14
	+0.075	−0.075
	39%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Marner – Malgin
11:5850% CF
L2Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
11:5663% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
8:3467% CF
L4Anderson – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
6:4858% CF
D1Brodie – Timmins
13:2764% CF
D2Liljegren – Sandin
13:2056% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
12:0352% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Bunting – Marner – Matthews
3:1786% CF
PP2Engvall – Malgin – Anderson – Timmins – Sandin
0:34100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:30
PK2FEngvall – Aston-Reese
0:56
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:12
PK2DGiordano – Liljegren
1:45

Current TOR line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Sheary – Strome
11:3444% CF
L2Kuznetsov – Mantha – Milano
9:4867% CF
L3Eller – Hathaway – Aube-Kubel
9:4722% CF
L4Oshie – Johansson – Protas
5:4543% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
18:1251% CF
D2Carlson – Gustafsson
15:1547% CF
D3Irwin – van Riemsdyk
13:2522% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Carlson – Johansson – Kuznetsov – Strome
2:2325% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Gustafsson – Mantha – Sheary – Milano
1:27100% CF
PK1FJohansson – Kuznetsov
1:57
PK2FEller – Hathaway
1:15
PK1DCarlson – Orlov
1:57
PK2DJensen – van Riemsdyk
1:15

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:12
WSHErik Gustafsson (Sonny Milano, John Carlson)backhand0.01 xG
TOR: Brodie, Anderson, Aston-Reese, Timmins, HolmbergWSH: Carlson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Mantha, Milano
TOR 0 – 1 WSH
13:12
TORWilliam Nylander (Auston Matthews, Alexander Kerfoot)slap0.06 xG
TOR: Brodie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Matthews, TimminsWSH: Johansson, Irwin, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Strome
TOR 1 – 1 WSH
14:48
WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk (Anthony Mantha, Sonny Milano)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Anderson, Aston-Reese, HolmbergWSH: Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Milano
TOR 1 – 2 WSH

2nd period

2:51
WSHErik Gustafsson (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Sonny Milano)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Tavares, Marner, Malgin, Liljegren, SandinWSH: Carlson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Mantha, Milano
TOR 1 – 3 WSH
6:25
TORAuston Matthews (Conor Timmins, TJ Brodie)snap0.09 xG
TOR: Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, TimminsWSH: Carlson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Mantha, Milano
TOR 2 – 3 WSH

3rd period

0:10
WSHGarnet Hathaway (Nick Jensen)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsWSH: Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Hathaway, Aube-Kubel
TOR 2 – 4 WSH
3:47
WSHErik Gustafsson (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Aliaksei Protas)snap0.08 xG
TOR: Tavares, Marner, Malgin, Liljegren, SandinWSH: Carlson, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Protas
TOR 2 – 5 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	1	1	0	21:19	—	—	47	50
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.32	1	0	0	19:32	—	—	54	50
Denis Malgin C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.19	0	0	0	15:30	—	—	48	44
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.39	2	0	0	19:23	—	—	65	69
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.92	1	0	0	18:00	—	—	65	67
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	0	2	16:42	—	—	61	66
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	13:26	—	—	71	58
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	0	0	0	13:21	—	—	68	56
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.61	0	1	2	13:20	—	—	72	60
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	6	0	0	12:10	—	—	59	82
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.13	0	0	0	10:24	—	—	53	57
Joey Anderson R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	1	0	0	8:59	—	—	63	90
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	0	2	0	20:04	—	—	69	67
Conor Timmins D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	1	0	0	18:41	—	—	63	59
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	0	3	0	19:21	—	—	58	54
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	2	2	0	19:12	—	—	58	53
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	2	0	0	19:04	—	—	57	67
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	0	1	0	17:32	—	—	58	71

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	28	23	5	.821	2.49	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	6	0	0	18:15	—	—	39	48
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	0	0	0	16:53	—	—	34	39
Dylan Strome C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.18	1	1	0	16:24	—	—	32	37
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	2	2	+3	3	0.21	0	1	0	21:24	—	—	53	44
Sonny Milano L	L2	0	3	3	+2	1	0.10	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	60	38
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:11	—	—	63	46
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	3	0	2	16:35	—	—	28	30
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.20	4	0	0	13:24	—	—	33	38
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	5	1	0	12:25	—	—	26	27
Marcus Johansson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	35	40
Aliaksei Protas L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:11	—	—	36	33
T.J. Oshie R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.27	2	0	0	7:04	—	—	43	46
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	1	6	0	23:28	—	—	47	59
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	3	2	2	19:47	—	—	51	64
John Carlson D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	2	1	0	21:22	—	—	44	24
Erik Gustafsson D	D2	3	0	3	+3	5	0.28	2	1	0	19:13	—	—	43	25
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.01	1	5	0	16:26	—	—	23	20
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	15:40	—	—	21	22

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Charlie Lindgren(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	4.20	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.