Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona CoyotesDec 29, 2022

FinalThursday, Dec 29, 2022· Mullett Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Arizona CoyotesARI

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	1	0	3		TOR	13	9	10	32
ARI	1	1	4	6		ARI	2	9	12	23

: TOR 61ARI 38
: TOR 3.11ARI 3.46
PP goals: TOR 2ARI 2
Hits: TOR 27ARI 38
Blocks: TOR 10ARI 18
PIM: TOR 13ARI 11
: TOR 45%ARI 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Arizona Coyotes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Arizona Coyotes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at home. Barrett Hayton (ARI) led the scoring with 1G 2A. ARI's first power-play unit (Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Schmaltz, Keller and Chychrun) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:38 together.

Points
Barrett Hayton had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:09.Hayton
Points
Jack McBain had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 11:03.McBain
Points
Nick Bjugstad had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:44.Bjugstad
Points
Conor Timmins had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:31.Timmins
PP1
ARI's first power-play unit (Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Schmaltz, Keller and Chychrun) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:38 together.Gostisbehere Ritchie Schmaltz Keller Chychrun
Luck
ARI scored 6 goals on 3.46 expected goals (38 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Juuso Välimäki (ARI) played 12:39, −5:36 down on his 18:15 season average over 77 games.Välimäki
New line
New look for TOR: Hunt–Aston-Reese–Holmberg skated 6:59 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hunt Aston-Reese Holmberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)ARI attacks right (top on phones) →

ARI
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · ARI 38 · TOR 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ARI
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ARI pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 38% of the game, ARI 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ARI

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	ARI
	54	31
	2.00	1.72
	1.93	1.63
	11	8
	1	4
	17	18
	−0.013	+0.013
	38%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
14:0666% CF
L2Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
10:2963% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
7:4967% CF
L4Hunt – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
6:5933% CF
D1Rielly – Liljegren
14:4667% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
14:3856% CF
D3Brodie – Timmins
13:2773% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Bunting – Marner – Matthews
2:07100% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Rielly – Engvall – Timmins – Holmberg
1:26100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
1:29
PK2FMarner – Kampf
0:50
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:27
PK2DGiordano – Liljegren
1:28

Current TOR line combinations →

Arizona Coyotes

L1Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller
12:0928% CF
L2Bjugstad – Crouse – Carcone
8:4758% CF
L3Ritchie – Fischer – Hayton
8:0136% CF
D1Gostisbehere – Chychrun
18:4038% CF
D2Nemeth – Stecher
10:3956% CF
D3Brown – Moser
6:599% CF

PP1Gostisbehere – Ritchie – Schmaltz – Keller – Chychrun
2:3867% CF
PP2Boyd – Crouse – Välimäki – Hayton – Moser
0:58100% CF
PK1FBjugstad – Crouse
1:41
PK2FFischer – Hayton
1:02
PK1DBrown – Moser
2:15
PK2DNemeth – Stecher
1:18

Current ARI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:46
ARINick Bjugstadbackhand0.18 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsARI: Bjugstad, Gostisbehere, Crouse, Chychrun, Carcone
TOR 0 – 1 ARI
9:02
TORPontus HolmbergPP (Conor Timmins, Pierre Engvall)tip-in0.15 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Rielly, Engvall, Timmins, HolmbergARI: Bjugstad, Brown, Fischer, Moser
TOR 1 – 1 ARI
12:33
TORCalle JarnkrokPP (Conor Timmins, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Rielly, Engvall, Timmins, HolmbergARI: Bjugstad, Brown, Crouse, Moser
TOR 2 – 1 ARI

2nd period

6:52
ARIJakob ChychrunPP (Nick Ritchie, Shayne Gostisbehere)wrist0.43 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, KampfARI: Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Schmaltz, Keller, Chychrun
TOR 2 – 2 ARI
11:19
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Mark Giordano, Justin Holl)wrist0.15 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting, KampfARI: Gostisbehere, Chychrun, Carcone, Hayton, McBain
TOR 3 – 2 ARI

3rd period

4:40
ARIJ.J. MoserPP (Juuso Välimäki, Barrett Hayton)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Giordano, Marner, Aston-Reese, LiljegrenARI: Boyd, Crouse, Välimäki, Hayton, Moser
TOR 3 – 3 ARI
13:43
ARIJack McBain (Lawson Crouse, Nick Bjugstad)wrist0.20 xG
TOR: Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, LiljegrenARI: Bjugstad, Gostisbehere, Crouse, Chychrun, McBain
TOR 3 – 4 ARI
17:38
ARIJack McBainEN (Barrett Hayton)wrist0.54 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsARI: Brown, Fischer, Hayton, McBain, Moser
TOR 3 – 5 ARI
19:11
ARIBarrett HaytonENwrist0.52 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsARI: Nemeth, Boyd, Fischer, Stecher, Hayton
TOR 3 – 6 ARI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-4	4	0.46	0	1	0	20:28	—	—	68	63
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-4	6	0.61	0	0	0	20:00	—	—	67	62
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.39	2	0	2	18:33	—	—	68	63
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.27	3	0	2	20:18	—	—	64	70
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.42	1	1	2	16:30	—	—	70	88
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.16	2	0	0	15:14	—	—	63	85
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.24	0	0	0	13:24	—	—	74	59
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:53	—	—	72	59
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.12	1	0	0	10:43	—	—	67	44
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	12:18	—	—	30	16
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:40	—	—	36	17
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	6	0	5	8:10	—	—	33	19
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-3	4	0.07	3	2	0	20:06	—	—	60	46
Timothy Liljegren D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	3	1	0	19:57	—	—	69	53
Justin Holl D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:03	—	—	60	50
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:37	—	—	58	49
TJ Brodie D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:39	—	—	65	63
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	2	2	0	1	0.07	0	0	2	17:31	—	—	71	87

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	21	17	4	.810	2.40	58:51

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Clayton Keller R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	2	0	21:57	—	—	29	39
Travis Boyd C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.21	1	0	0	18:32	—	—	28	32
Nick Schmaltz C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	17:43	—	—	24	26
Nick Bjugstad C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.21	2	1	0	18:44	—	—	52	70
Lawson Crouse L	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.06	5	0	0	18:40	—	—	56	70
Michael Carcone L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	3	0	0	12:18	—	—	47	50
Barrett Hayton C	L3	1	2	3	+1	2	0.56	1	1	2	16:09	—	—	29	23
Nick Ritchie L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	9	1	0	16:08	—	—	40	47
Christian Fischer R	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	3	1	0	15:07	—	—	37	26
Jakob Chychrun D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.48	0	0	0	24:56	—	—	35	44
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	6	2	23:58	—	—	38	51
Troy Stecher D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	56	64
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	4	1	0	12:41	—	—	56	64
J.J. Moser D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	0	2	0	20:40	—	—	16	25
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	2	0	12:27	—	—	15	34
Juuso Välimäki D	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:39	—	—	33	0
Jack McBain C	—	2	0	2	+1	4	1.05	2	0	5	11:03	—	—	33	55
Zack Kassian R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:53	—	—	31	50

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Karel Vejmelka(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	3.11	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.