Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey DevilsDec 27, 2019

Final / OTFriday, Dec 27, 2019· Prudential Center

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Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

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New Jersey DevilsNJD

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	2	1	1	1	5		TOR	19	9	5	4	37
NJD	1	3	0	0	4		NJD	9	14	5	0	28

: TOR 65NJD 46
: TOR 3.47NJD 3.38
PP goals: TOR 2NJD 1
Hits: TOR 8NJD 24
Blocks: TOR 8NJD 16
PIM: TOR 8NJD 8
: TOR 49%NJD 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge New Jersey Devils 5–4 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New Jersey Devils 5–4 in overtime at NJD. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:30 together.

Points
Jesper Bratt had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 14:20.Bratt
Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 7 shots in 21:45.Tavares
Points
Kyle Palmieri had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:20.Palmieri
Points
Nico Hischier had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 19:33.Hischier
Points
William Nylander had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:09.Nylander
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:30 together.Tavares Barrie Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Kapanen–Engvall skated 11:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (87.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Kapanen Engvall
Usage
Will Butcher (NJD) played 9:18, −8:46 down on his 18:04 season average over 55 games.Butcher

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · NJD 46 · TOR 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 37% of the game, NJD 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NJD
	64	48
	3.16	3.40
	3.00	3.29
	10	14
	0	8
	19	17
	+0.017	−0.016
	37%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Kapanen – Engvall
11:5088% CF
L2Hyman – Marner – Matthews
11:4548% CF
L3Tavares – Nylander – Mikheyev
8:0082% CF
L4Spezza – Gauthier – Timashov
4:3922% CF
D1Barrie – Rielly
17:0652% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
15:4861% CF
D3Ceci – Dermott
11:1664% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:30100% CF
PP2Spezza – Rielly – Kerfoot – Kapanen – Marner
1:04100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
0:57
PK2FEngvall – Mikheyev
0:46
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
1:03
PK2DHoll – Dermott
0:32

Current TOR line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Zajac – Coleman – Gusev
12:2061% CF
L2Simmonds – Wood – Hughes
10:3938% CF
L3Palmieri – Bratt – Hischier
9:4529% CF
L4Hayden – Rooney – Boqvist
5:5330% CF
D1Greene – Subban
17:1534% CF
D2Severson – Mueller
13:0261% CF
D3Vatanen – Butcher
7:3643% CF

PP1Subban – Palmieri – Vatanen – Hischier – Hughes
2:39100% CF
PK1FZajac – Coleman
1:45
PK2FRooney – Hischier
0:32
PK1DVatanen – Mueller
1:47
PK2DGreene – Severson
1:25

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:33
NJDNico Hischier (Jesper Bratt, Kyle Palmieri)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, MikheyevNJD: Greene, Subban, Palmieri, Bratt, Hischier
TOR 0 – 1 NJD
16:56
TORZach HymanPP (Morgan Rielly, Jason Spezza)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Spezza, Hyman, Rielly, Kerfoot, KapanenNJD: Zajac, Greene, Coleman, Severson
TOR 1 – 1 NJD
17:15
TORIlya Mikheyev (John Tavares, William Nylander)wrist0.28 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, MikheyevNJD: Palmieri, Vatanen, Butcher, Bratt, Hischier
TOR 2 – 1 NJD

2nd period

1:42
NJDNikita GusevPP (Nico Hischier, Sami Vatanen)snap0.21 xG
TOR: Hyman, Rielly, CeciNJD: Palmieri, Vatanen, Gusev, Hischier, Hughes
TOR 2 – 2 NJD
5:16
TORKasperi Kapanen (Alexander Kerfoot, John Tavares)snap0.02 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, KapanenNJD: Zajac, Greene, Subban, Gusev, Wood
TOR 3 – 2 NJD
7:01
NJDKyle Palmieri (Nico Hischier, Jesper Bratt)wrist0.23 xG
TOR: Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsNJD: Zajac, Subban, Palmieri, Vatanen, Bratt
TOR 3 – 3 NJD
10:11
NJDJesper Bratt (Kyle Palmieri)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kapanen, EngvallNJD: Palmieri, Vatanen, Butcher, Bratt, Hischier
TOR 3 – 4 NJD

3rd period

8:15
TORJohn TavaresPP (William Nylander, Tyson Barrie)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsNJD: Zajac, Vatanen, Coleman, Mueller
TOR 4 – 4 NJD

OT period

2:38
TORWilliam Nylanderbackhand0.24 xG
TOR: Holl, Ceci, Nylander, KapanenNJD: Severson, Mueller, Bratt, Hughes
TOR 5 – 4 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.21	1	0	0	19:52	—	—	81	63
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.21	1	1	0	17:14	—	—	84	72
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	1	0	0	15:42	—	—	74	63
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	1	0	2	24:41	—	—	46	39
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.47	1	1	0	22:54	—	—	48	33
Zach Hyman L	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.14	1	0	2	17:37	—	—	44	37
John Tavares C	L3	1	2	3	+1	7	0.55	0	0	0	21:45	—	—	64	60
William Nylander R	L3	1	2	3	+1	3	0.34	0	0	0	16:09	—	—	74	60
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.43	0	0	0	11:07	—	—	83	76
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:38	—	—	27	16
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:34	—	—	17	16
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:31	—	—	18	13
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.15	0	1	2	24:17	—	—	52	37
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	23:38	—	—	53	34
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	3	2	20:59	—	—	59	61
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	19:10	—	—	60	64
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:45	—	—	62	35
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:23	—	—	59	29

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	3.38	62:30

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Travis Zajac C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	2	3	0	20:51	—	—	54	70
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.36	2	1	2	19:23	—	—	57	66
Nikita Gusev L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.27	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	61	73
Jack Hughes C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	0	2	0	16:28	—	—	38	48
Miles Wood L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	0	6	15:19	—	—	39	58
Wayne Simmonds R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	3	0	0	13:47	—	—	39	49
Nico Hischier C	L3	1	2	3	+1	1	0.24	0	2	0	19:33	—	—	39	42
Kyle Palmieri C	L3	1	2	3	+2	2	0.43	2	0	0	16:20	—	—	38	50
Jesper Bratt L	L3	1	2	3	+1	3	0.41	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	38	48
Kevin Rooney C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	0	0	10:17	—	—	40	43
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	2	0	0	8:11	—	—	23	30
Jesper Boqvist C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:15	—	—	31	28
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	1	2	0	25:35	—	—	42	51
Andy Greene D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	4	0	25:19	—	—	32	41
Damon Severson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	0	0	24:32	—	—	59	70
Mirco Mueller D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	0	0	21:16	—	—	56	66
Sami Vatanen D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	4	2	0	19:01	—	—	45	54
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	9:18	—	—	38	40

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	O	37	32	5	.865	3.47	61:39

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.