Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey DevilsNov 23, 2022

FinalWednesday, Nov 23, 2022· Prudential Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	0	0	2		TOR	10	4	6	20
NJD	0	0	1	1		NJD	5	16	14	35

: TOR 41NJD 72
: TOR 2.54NJD 3.52
PP goals: TOR 0NJD 0
Hits: TOR 9NJD 15
Blocks: TOR 21NJD 11
PIM: TOR 6NJD 6
: TOR 41%NJD 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge New Jersey Devils 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New Jersey Devils 2–1 at NJD. Dougie Hamilton (NJD) led the scoring with 1G 0A. NJD scored 1 goal on 3.52 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
NJD scored 1 goal on 3.52 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Matt Murray (TOR) faced 35 shots and stopped 34 (.971), +6 against a season average of 29.3; the win.Murray
New line
New look for TOR: Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Holmberg skated 5:35 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Kerfoot Holmberg
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Marner–Robertson skated 7:33 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Marner Robertson
Usage
Damon Severson (NJD) played 12:54, −7:09 down on his 20:03 season average over 80 games.Severson
Usage
Jordie Benn (TOR) played 9:36, −6:46 down on his 16:22 season average over 11 games.Benn
Usage
Dougie Hamilton (NJD) played 25:18, +3:34 up on his 21:44 season average over 81 games.Hamilton
Usage
Mark Giordano (TOR) played 24:43, +5:50 up on his 18:53 season average over 77 games.Giordano

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · NJD 72 · TOR 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 27% of the game, NJD 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NJD
	36	58
	1.85	2.27
	1.82	2.24
	6	11
	2	0
	7	6
	−0.074	+0.074
	27%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
10:2741% CF
L2Engvall – Aston-Reese – Kampf
8:1618% CF
L3Tavares – Marner – Robertson
7:3353% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Holmberg
5:3550% CF
D1Giordano – Holl
12:4522% CF
D2Liljegren – Sandin
12:3859% CF
D3Benn – Hollowell
5:4038% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Sandin
4:32100% CF
PP2Giordano – Kerfoot – Bunting – Engvall – Robertson
1:35100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
3:35
PK2FJarnkrok – Aston-Reese
0:41
PK1DGiordano – Holl
4:16
PK2DBenn – Liljegren
0:37

Current TOR line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Wood – Bastian – McLeod
4:4933% CF
L2Tatar – Hischier – Zetterlund
4:2338% CF
L3Haula – Bratt – Hughes
4:0263% CF
L4Boqvist – Sharangovich – Mercer
2:0950% CF
D1Hamilton – Siegenthaler
16:4666% CF
D2Graves – Marino
12:1252% CF
D3Smith – Severson
7:3850% CF

PP1Hamilton – Bratt – Bastian – Hischier – Hughes
4:40100% CF
PP2Tatar – Haula – Severson – Wood – Zetterlund
1:06100% CF
PK1FHischier – Sharangovich
2:49
PK2FHaula – Bastian
1:53
PK1DSiegenthaler – Marino
4:29
PK2DSmith – Graves
1:10

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:41
TORJohn Tavares (Mitch Marner)snap0.19 xG
TOR: Tavares, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin, RobertsonNJD: Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Boqvist, Zetterlund, Sharangovich
TOR 1 – 0 NJD
14:03
TORPontus Holmberg (Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.18 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Sandin, HolmbergNJD: Smith, Tatar, Haula, Severson, Hischier
TOR 2 – 0 NJD

3rd period

14:52
NJDDougie Hamilton (Yegor Sharangovich, Fabian Zetterlund)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin, RobertsonNJD: Haula, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Zetterlund, Sharangovich
TOR 2 – 1 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.36	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	40	38
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	1	0	16:27	—	—	41	41
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	40	45
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:16	—	—	20	18
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.16	0	0	0	13:41	—	—	31	36
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:20	—	—	21	26
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.27	0	3	0	22:18	—	—	44	50
John Tavares C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.44	0	1	4	18:05	—	—	48	54
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	0	10:22	—	—	53	62
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	13:27	—	—	36	46
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:10	—	—	29	74
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.18	0	1	0	9:19	—	—	30	65
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	25:03	—	—	27	27
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.45	0	6	0	24:43	—	—	28	21
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	1	2	0	22:23	—	—	52	65
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	1	0	19:04	—	—	48	62
Mac Hollowell D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:26	—	—	40	34
Jordie Benn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	9:36	—	—	36	43

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	35	34	1	.971	3.52	60:00

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan Bastian R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.50	1	1	0	17:11	—	—	55	22
Miles Wood L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:37	—	—	36	21
Michael McLeod C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:57	—	—	46	16
Nico Hischier C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.27	0	0	0	24:03	—	—	68	58
Tomas Tatar L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.31	2	0	0	16:06	—	—	68	58
Fabian Zetterlund L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	11:49	—	—	38	29
Jack Hughes C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.35	0	0	0	21:20	—	—	74	78
Jesper Bratt L	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.71	0	0	0	19:42	—	—	82	76
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	2	0	0	14:46	—	—	61	60
Yegor Sharangovich C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.11	0	0	2	15:21	—	—	63	53
Dawson Mercer C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	2	0	12:55	—	—	60	57
Jesper Boqvist C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:26	—	—	46	14
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	1	0	1	0	7	0.25	2	1	4	25:18	—	—	68	61
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	3	0	23:27	—	—	66	61
John Marino D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	24:30	—	—	59	58
Ryan Graves D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	2	0	16:12	—	—	52	64
Damon Severson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	55	6
Brendan Smith D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	2	0	0	11:40	—	—	64	40

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Vitek Vanecek(start)	L	20	18	2	.900	2.11	57:46

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.