Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New Jersey DevilsMar 7, 2023

FinalTuesday, Mar 7, 2023· Prudential Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	3	4		TOR	5	14	6	25
NJD	0	1	2	3		NJD	15	9	9	33

: TOR 44NJD 63
: TOR 2.88NJD 4.08
PP goals: TOR 1NJD 1
Hits: TOR 14NJD 20
Blocks: TOR 15NJD 8
PIM: TOR 8NJD 4
: TOR 56%NJD 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge New Jersey Devils 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat New Jersey Devils 4–3 at NJD. Erik Haula (NJD) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:46 together.

Points
Erik Haula had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:50.Haula
Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 14:12.Palat
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:55.Marner
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:54.Nylander
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:46 together.Rielly Nylander Bunting Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Jarnkrok–Nylander–Lafferty skated 8:05 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Nylander Lafferty
New line
New look for TOR: Acciari–Aston-Reese–Kampf skated 7:36 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Acciari Aston-Reese Kampf
New line
New look for TOR: Bunting–Holmberg–Steeves skated 5:14 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bunting Holmberg Steeves

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · NJD 63 · TOR 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 36% of the game, NJD 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NJD
	44	58
	2.57	4.01
	2.49	3.42
	5	18
	2	4
	16	7
	+0.068	−0.067
	36%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Marner – Matthews
12:2944% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Nylander – Lafferty
8:0540% CF
L3Acciari – Aston-Reese – Kampf
7:3625% CF
L4Bunting – Holmberg – Steeves
5:1420% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
15:2138% CF
D2Rielly – Liljegren
12:5047% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
10:1952% CF

PP1Rielly – Nylander – Bunting – Marner – Matthews
2:46100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:41
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
1:24
PK1DBrodie – Holl
3:44
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
1:55

Current TOR line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Haula – Palat – Boqvist
8:4264% CF
L2Meier – Bratt – Hughes
8:1070% CF
L3Tatar – Hischier – Mercer
6:4043% CF
L4Wood – Bastian – McLeod
5:0950% CF
D1Graves – Marino
16:4357% CF
D2Hamilton – Siegenthaler
12:4550% CF
D3Severson – Bahl
12:3270% CF

PP1Hamilton – Meier – Bratt – Hischier – Hughes
5:0591% CF
PP2Tatar – Haula – Palat – Severson – Mercer
2:2367% CF
PK1FHaula – Mercer
1:59
PK2FMcLeod – Hischier
0:28
PK1DGraves – Marino
2:40

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

7:30
TORCalle Jarnkrok (William Nylander, Sam Lafferty)wrist0.22 xG
TOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Nylander, LaffertyNJD: Tatar, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Hischier, Mercer
TOR 1 – 0 NJD
16:47
NJDErik Haula (Ondrej Palat)snap0.41 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner, MatthewsNJD: Haula, Palat, Graves, Marino, Boqvist
TOR 1 – 1 NJD

3rd period

4:57
TORMitch MarnerSHwrist0.19 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Marner, KampfNJD: Hamilton, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes
TOR 2 – 1 NJD
6:00
NJDOndrej PalatPP (Dawson Mercer, Erik Haula)backhand0.03 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, AcciariNJD: Tatar, Haula, Palat, Severson, Mercer
TOR 2 – 2 NJD
9:02
NJDErik Haula (Ondrej Palat, Jesper Boqvist)tip-in0.02 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Holmberg, SteevesNJD: Haula, Palat, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Boqvist
TOR 2 – 3 NJD
15:10
TORMichael Bunting (David Kampf, Justin Holl)snap0.12 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Acciari, KampfNJD: Tatar, Severson, Bratt, Bahl, Hughes
TOR 3 – 3 NJD
17:07
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, Mitch Marner)snap0.19 xG
TOR: Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsNJD: Graves, Marino, McLeod, Hischier
TOR 4 – 3 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.47	1	0	0	25:55	—	—	47	37
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.63	1	1	0	21:33	—	—	42	37
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.30	2	0	0	19:03	—	—	47	35
William Nylander R	L2	0	2	2	+1	3	0.41	0	0	2	16:54	—	—	46	38
Sam Lafferty C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	44	37
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.37	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	44	35
David Kampf C	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.17	2	1	0	16:05	—	—	53	80
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	1	1	0	15:00	—	—	47	69
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:52	—	—	33	74
Michael Bunting L	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	44	47
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	4	6:50	—	—	31	3
Alex Steeves C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:11	—	—	25	1
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	22:31	—	—	32	24
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	3	0	22:09	—	—	48	31
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	19:55	—	—	46	60
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:37	—	—	40	35
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	2	0	19:24	—	—	49	44
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	4	0	17:10	—	—	46	44

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	4.08	59:16

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Erik Haula L	L1	2	1	3	+2	3	0.47	1	0	0	15:50	—	—	64	92
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.28	0	1	0	14:12	—	—	64	93
Jesper Boqvist C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	1	0	0	13:35	—	—	56	77
Jack Hughes C	L2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.59	0	1	0	22:53	—	—	61	64
Timo Meier R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.69	5	1	2	20:23	—	—	68	68
Jesper Bratt L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.34	0	0	0	19:50	—	—	67	71
Dawson Mercer C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.17	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	46	23
Nico Hischier C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.28	0	0	0	18:33	—	—	47	31
Tomas Tatar L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.29	1	0	0	14:50	—	—	48	48
Michael McLeod C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	4	1	0	11:48	—	—	53	60
Nathan Bastian R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	3	0	0	9:07	—	—	57	75
Miles Wood L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	7:07	—	—	40	45
John Marino D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	2	0	22:53	—	—	56	62
Ryan Graves D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	21:57	—	—	56	62
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	0	0	21:37	—	—	50	62
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	2	13:29	—	—	48	61
Damon Severson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	1	0	17:38	—	—	67	58
Kevin Bahl D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	13:22	—	—	70	59

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Vitek Vanecek(start)	L	25	21	4	.840	2.88	57:56

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.