Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Anaheim DucksMar 6, 2020

FinalFriday, Mar 6, 2020· Honda Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	1	1		TOR	8	8	15	31
ANA	1	0	1	2		ANA	13	13	2	28

: TOR 58ANA 51
: TOR 3.63ANA 2.69
PP goals: TOR 0ANA 0
Hits: TOR 19ANA 18
Blocks: TOR 12ANA 13
PIM: TOR 9ANA 11
: TOR 43%ANA 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Anaheim Ducks edge Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1

Anaheim Ducks beat Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TOR scored 1 goal on 3.63 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.63 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Matt Irwin (ANA) played 21:41, +7:25 up on his 14:16 season average over 35 games.Irwin
New line
New look for ANA: Agozzino–Steel–Sherwood skated 9:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Agozzino Steel Sherwood
Usage
Andrew Agozzino (ANA) played 13:05, +6:00 up on his 7:05 season average over 21 games.Agozzino
Usage
Cody Ceci (TOR) played 14:38, −6:01 down on his 20:39 season average over 55 games.Ceci
Usage
David Backes (ANA) played 6:01, −3:33 down on his 9:34 season average over 21 games.Backes
Usage
Jakob Silfverberg (ANA) played 22:47, +5:11 up on his 17:36 season average over 65 games.Silfverberg
Usage
Nicolas Deslauriers (ANA) played 4:51, −5:01 down on his 9:52 season average over 58 games.Deslauriers

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)ANA attacks right (top on phones) →

ANA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · ANA 51 · TOR 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ANA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ANA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 40% of the game, ANA 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ANA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	ANA
	48	54
	2.49	2.59
	2.32	2.46
	5	11
	0	6
	17	18
	−0.056	+0.056
	40%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
13:1041% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Malgin
12:1550% CF
L3Kerfoot – Kapanen – Engvall
8:5080% CF
L4Spezza – Clifford – Gauthier
3:5813% CF
D1Holl – Dermott
16:4536% CF
D2Barrie – Rosen
11:2963% CF
D3Marincin – Ceci
6:2660% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:04100% CF
PP2Spezza – Hyman – Kerfoot – Kapanen – Rosen
1:41100% CF
PK1FHyman – Kapanen
1:02
PK2FEngvall – Marner
0:51
PK1DMarincin – Ceci
1:36
PK2DHoll – Dermott
1:02

Current TOR line combinations →

Anaheim Ducks

L1Henrique – Silfverberg – Rakell
12:5358% CF
L2Getzlaf – Milano – Heinen
12:2457% CF
L3Agozzino – Steel – Sherwood
9:4147% CF
L4Backes – Deslauriers – Rowney
4:2175% CF
D1Hakanpää – Djoos
15:4059% CF
D2Del Zotto – Larsson
14:1870% CF
D3Irwin – Guhle
12:4943% CF

PP1Getzlaf – Del Zotto – Milano – Heinen – Steel
2:1880% CF
PP2Getzlaf – Henrique – Silfverberg – Rakell – Djoos
1:36100% CF
PK1FSilfverberg – Rowney
3:53
PK2FHenrique – Sherwood
1:04
PK1DIrwin – Djoos
2:30
PK2DDel Zotto – Larsson
1:58

Current ANA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:17
ANACarter Rowney (David Backes, Michael Del Zotto)wrist0.39 xG
TOR: Spezza, Clifford, Ceci, Gauthier, RosenANA: Backes, Del Zotto, Deslauriers, Djoos, Rowney
TOR 0 – 1 ANA

3rd period

10:20
ANAAdam Henriquewrist0.09 xG
TOR: Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, RosenANA: Henrique, Silfverberg, Hakanpää, Rakell, Djoos
TOR 0 – 2 ANA
17:00
TORWilliam Nylanderwrist0.04 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsANA: Getzlaf, Irwin, Milano, Heinen, Guhle
TOR 1 – 2 ANA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	4	0.62	1	2	0	23:03	—	—	47	50
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	3	0.30	1	0	2	22:26	—	—	45	43
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	1	0	20:53	—	—	42	29
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	+1	5	0.69	0	0	0	21:18	—	—	52	67
William Nylander R	L2	1	1	+1	5	0.64	1	1	0	20:56	—	—	48	67
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:07	—	—	50	57
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	3	0.51	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	68	76
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	2	0	15:32	—	—	65	70
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	12:09	—	—	72	74
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	8:29	—	—	10	11
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.09	2	0	5	6:36	—	—	21	10
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:12	—	—	9	10
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	0	0	20:27	—	—	37	35
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	1	2	19:51	—	—	42	53
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	1	0	24:43	—	—	56	61
Calle Rosen D	D2	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	1	0	17:42	—	—	48	45
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:38	—	—	47	39
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	13:10	—	—	42	47

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	L	28	26	2	.929	2.69	57:26

Anaheim Ducks

ANA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jakob Silfverberg R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	0	1	0	22:47	—	—	52	42
Adam Henrique C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	1	1	0	19:35	—	—	64	58
Rickard Rakell R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.25	0	0	0	16:21	—	—	54	52
Ryan Getzlaf C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	2	0	0	23:43	—	—	40	34
Sonny Milano L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	1	0	17:31	—	—	50	49
Danton Heinen L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	0	0	0	15:54	—	—	57	57
Sam Steel C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	0	0	13:17	—	—	53	57
Kiefer Sherwood L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	3	0	2	13:14	—	—	41	37
Andrew Agozzino L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	13:05	—	—	44	36
Carter Rowney C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.39	2	0	0	11:16	—	—	73	82
David Backes R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	1	0	2	6:01	—	—	73	82
Nicolas Deslauriers L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	1	0	5	4:51	—	—	80	82
Christian Djoos D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.06	0	1	0	23:18	—	—	58	56
Jani Hakanpää D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	3	1	0	19:04	—	—	54	41
Michael Del Zotto D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	21:24	—	—	61	65
Jacob Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	0	16:34	—	—	71	73
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	2	3	0	21:41	—	—	37	32
Brendan Guhle D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	3	0	14:43	—	—	39	35

ANA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
John Gibson(start)	W	26	26	0	.1000	2.91	50:01
Ryan Miller	—	5	4	1	.800	0.72	9:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.