Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary FlamesNov 28, 2017

FinalTuesday, Nov 28, 2017· Scotiabank Saddledome

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Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

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Calgary FlamesCGY

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	12	11	7	30
CGY	0	0	1	1		CGY	9	6	5	20

: TOR 62CGY 51
: TOR 2.65CGY 1.25
PP goals: TOR 0CGY 0
Hits: TOR 8CGY 11
Blocks: TOR 17CGY 21
PIM: TOR 6CGY 2
: TOR 47%CGY 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 4–1 at CGY. Leo Komarov (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. William Nylander (TOR) played 10:16, −6:30 down on his 16:46 season average over 81 games.

Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 10:16, −6:30 down on his 16:46 season average over 81 games.Nylander
New line
New look for CGY: Brouwer–Jankowski–Bennett skated 7:58 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brouwer Jankowski Bennett
New line
New look for CGY: Stajan–Hamilton–Lazar skated 4:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (12.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stajan Hamilton Lazar
Usage
Micheal Ferland (CGY) played 18:35, +3:37 up on his 14:58 season average over 76 games.Ferland
Usage
Curtis Lazar (CGY) played 6:52, −3:02 down on his 9:54 season average over 64 games.Lazar

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · CGY 51 · TOR 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 33% of the game, CGY 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CGY
	64	59
	1.96	1.37
	1.90	1.35
	6	7
	5	4
	30	23
	−0.038	+0.037
	33%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Brown – Matthews
13:5748% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
12:0741% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
11:2753% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Nylander
6:3267% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
14:5152% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
14:3657% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
11:4247% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:04100% CF
PP2Marleau – Komarov – Gardiner – Nylander – Matthews
0:52100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
2:51
PK2FMoore – Brown
1:50
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:09
PK2DPolak – Gardiner
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
14:0162% CF
L2Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
10:4365% CF
L3Brouwer – Jankowski – Bennett
7:5840% CF
L4Stajan – Hamilton – Lazar
4:0713% CF
D1Hamonic – Brodie
16:3148% CF
D2Giordano – Hamilton
14:4354% CF
D3Stone – Kulak
9:4340% CF

PP1Brouwer – Brodie – Ferland – Gaudreau – Monahan
2:21
PP2Giordano – Frolik – Backlund – Hamilton – Tkachuk
1:470% CF
PK1FFrolik – Backlund
1:36
PK2FBrouwer – Monahan
0:28
PK1DStone – Brodie
1:21
PK2DGiordano – Hamonic
1:15

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

18:36
TORRoman Polakslap0.00 xG
TOR: Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, BorgmanCGY: Hamonic, Brodie, Jankowski, Bennett, Tkachuk
TOR 1 – 0 CGY

2nd period

12:36
TORNikita Zaitsev (Zach Hyman, Auston Matthews)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Brown, Matthews, ZaitsevCGY: Giordano, Backlund, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton
TOR 2 – 0 CGY

3rd period

1:54
TORNazem Kadri (William Nylander)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Marleau, Polak, Gardiner, Kadri, NylanderCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk
TOR 3 – 0 CGY
5:29
CGYMichael Stone (Sam Bennett, Troy Brouwer)slap0.01 xG
TOR: Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner, BorgmanCGY: Brouwer, Stone, Jankowski, Kulak, Bennett
TOR 3 – 1 CGY
19:59
TORLeo KomarovENbackhand0.71 xG
TOR: Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, ZaitsevCGY: Giordano, Stone, Ferland, Gaudreau, Jankowski, Monahan
TOR 4 – 1 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.26	1	1	0	19:05	—	—	47	70
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	0	1	0	17:29	—	—	46	69
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	48	70
Leo Komarov R	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.82	1	3	0	17:24	—	—	39	21
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	0	1	+3	2	0.12	0	1	0	17:11	—	—	46	35
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	0	0	2	15:39	—	—	44	36
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.32	1	1	0	15:34	—	—	54	55
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:03	—	—	53	51
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.26	0	1	0	14:32	—	—	53	49
William Nylander R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:16	—	—	71	80
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	9:22	—	—	71	82
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	1	0	0	7:47	—	—	71	80
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.09	0	2	0	23:37	—	—	51	59
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.14	0	1	0	20:47	—	—	52	69
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	1	2	21:41	—	—	53	63
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	1	2	21:08	—	—	58	63
Roman Polak D	D3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.00	1	2	0	18:14	—	—	50	54
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	11:45	—	—	47	38

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	20	19	1	.950	1.25	60:00

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	0	0	21:55	—	—	57	28
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	21:23	—	—	59	31
Micheal Ferland L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	2	0	0	18:35	—	—	63	35
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.26	0	1	2	20:09	—	—	63	59
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.09	1	0	0	18:38	—	—	59	65
Michael Frolik R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	1	0	18:32	—	—	63	59
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.17	1	1	0	13:44	—	—	36	39
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	2	0	13:00	—	—	37	46
Troy Brouwer R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	1	1	0	12:53	—	—	39	30
Matt Stajan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:16	—	—	20	6
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	0	6:52	—	—	19	35
Freddie Hamilton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:42	—	—	15	3
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	2	0	23:12	—	—	48	56
Travis Hamonic D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	4	0	20:44	—	—	47	57
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.04	1	4	0	25:52	—	—	56	34
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	22:08	—	—	53	29
Michael Stone D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.02	1	2	0	14:24	—	—	45	34
Brett Kulak D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:27	—	—	39	29

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	1.94	57:34

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.