Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary FlamesMar 4, 2019

FinalMonday, Mar 4, 2019· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

6

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	1	2	6		TOR	11	11	10	32
CGY	0	1	1	2		CGY	12	16	9	37

: TOR 57CGY 78
: TOR 2.38CGY 3.49
PP goals: TOR 1CGY 1
Hits: TOR 13CGY 15
Blocks: TOR 20CGY 16
PIM: TOR 2CGY 4
: TOR 52%CGY 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Calgary Flames 6–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 6–2 at CGY. Tyler Ennis (TOR) led the scoring with 3G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Muzzin, Ennis, Nylander and Kapanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:22 together.

Points
Tyler Ennis had a hat trick (3 points) on 6 shots in 11:48.Ennis
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:28.Marner
Points
Zach Hyman had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:16.Hyman
Points
Jake Muzzin had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:47.Muzzin
Points
Trevor Moore had 2 assists (2 points) in 10:33.Moore
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Muzzin, Ennis, Nylander and Kapanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:22 together.Marleau Muzzin Ennis Nylander Kapanen
Luck
TOR scored 6 goals on 2.38 expected goals (57 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +4 against a season average of 32.6; the win.Andersen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · CGY 78 · TOR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 19% of the game, CGY 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CGY
	62	88
	2.63	3.54
	2.58	3.42
	10	14
	8	5
	53	32
	−0.008	+0.008
	19%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
14:2447% CF
L2Marleau – Brown – Nylander
13:0228% CF
L3Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
12:5350% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Moore
8:2348% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
18:3542% CF
D2Muzzin – Zaitsev
16:0350% CF
D3Marincin – Ozhiganov
12:1824% CF

PP1Marleau – Muzzin – Ennis – Nylander – Kapanen
1:22100% CF
PP2Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
1:1733% CF
PK1FHyman – Gauthier
0:10
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
0:10

Current TOR line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
14:0156% CF
L2Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
13:1559% CF
L3Jankowski – Bennett – Czarnik
10:5572% CF
L4Hathaway – Mangiapane – Ryan
9:4467% CF
D1Giordano – Brodie
19:4860% CF
D2Hamonic – Hanifin
16:3963% CF
D3Andersson – Kylington
16:1657% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
0:10100% CF
PK1FJankowski – Lindholm
1:01
PK2FHathaway – Ryan
0:45
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
1:53
PK2DBrodie – Hanifin
0:32

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:50
TORTyler EnnisPP (Jake Muzzin, Kasperi Kapanen)backhand0.10 xG
TOR: Marleau, Muzzin, Ennis, Nylander, KapanenCGY: Giordano, Backlund, Hamonic, Jankowski
TOR 1 – 0 CGY
17:15
TORTyler Ennis (Martin Marincin, Trevor Moore)backhand0.03 xG
TOR: Ennis, Marincin, Gauthier, Zaitsev, MooreCGY: Jankowski, Hathaway, Bennett, Andersson, Kylington
TOR 2 – 0 CGY
18:51
TORZach Hyman (Mitch Marner)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerCGY: Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk
TOR 3 – 0 CGY

2nd period

4:11
TORZach Hyman (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerCGY: Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan
TOR 4 – 0 CGY
15:35
CGYMatthew TkachukPP (Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan)wrist0.24 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Gauthier, ZaitsevCGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk
TOR 4 – 1 CGY

3rd period

3:15
TORTyler Ennis (Trevor Moore, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Ennis, Gauthier, Zaitsev, MooreCGY: Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin
TOR 5 – 1 CGY
12:24
CGYDerek Ryan (Mark Giordano, Andrew Mangiapane)deflected0.13 xG
TOR: Marleau, Marincin, Nylander, Kapanen, OzhiganovCGY: Giordano, Brodie, Mangiapane, Czarnik, Ryan
TOR 5 – 2 CGY
12:56
TORMitch Marner (John Tavares)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerCGY: Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin
TOR 6 – 2 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.10	0	1	0	18:23	—	—	41	43
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	2	3	+3	2	0.33	0	0	0	17:28	—	—	46	50
Zach Hyman L	L1	2	0	2	+3	4	0.33	0	0	0	17:16	—	—	41	42
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	1	0	16:28	—	—	26	19
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	16:19	—	—	32	29
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	15:13	—	—	28	28
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.37	0	0	0	16:38	—	—	52	45
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	15:32	—	—	50	45
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.27	1	1	0	15:30	—	—	47	36
Tyler Ennis R	L4	3	0	3	+2	6	0.39	0	1	0	11:48	—	—	45	56
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.12	0	0	0	10:37	—	—	48	55
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	2	2	+2	0	0.08	0	1	0	10:33	—	—	50	61
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	+3	3	0.04	1	3	0	22:39	—	—	40	47
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.02	2	5	0	22:28	—	—	44	44
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	21:47	—	—	48	52
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	2	0	19:56	—	—	54	62
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:30	—	—	28	20
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	1	1	2	15:03	—	—	30	24

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	3.49	59:42

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	1	1	-3	3	0.27	0	0	2	17:42	—	—	55	50
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.27	0	0	0	16:55	—	—	58	49
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.13	2	1	0	15:57	—	—	56	49
Michael Frolik R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	0	2	0	15:36	—	—	49	44
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	50	48
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.50	4	0	2	15:17	—	—	53	47
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.39	0	3	0	15:15	—	—	56	50
Austin Czarnik C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.52	0	0	0	13:30	—	—	71	77
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	2	1	0	13:25	—	—	64	64
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.35	2	1	0	13:26	—	—	60	69
Derek Ryan C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	13:02	—	—	73	90
Andrew Mangiapane L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	1	2	0	11:51	—	—	60	73
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	0	1	0	23:04	—	—	61	59
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	22:46	—	—	54	55
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.08	1	1	0	19:41	—	—	62	60
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.05	0	0	0	18:47	—	—	64	64
Oliver Kylington D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	18:09	—	—	49	45
Rasmus Andersson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	3	1	0	17:23	—	—	59	61

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	L	32	26	6	.813	2.38	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.