Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary FlamesApr 4, 2021

FinalSunday, Apr 4, 2021· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	12	6	12	30
CGY	2	0	0	2		CGY	11	13	10	34

: TOR 45CGY 59
: TOR 3.30CGY 3.21
PP goals: TOR 0CGY 0
Hits: TOR 13CGY 24
Blocks: TOR 17CGY 5
PIM: TOR 2CGY 2
: TOR 52%CGY 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 4–2 at CGY. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for CGY: Lucic–Backlund–Mangiapane skated 12:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:18.Matthews
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:13.Tavares
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:21.Nylander
New line
New look for CGY: Lucic–Backlund–Mangiapane skated 12:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lucic Backlund Mangiapane
New line
New look for CGY: Nordstrom–Bennett–Ryan skated 9:28 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nordstrom Bennett Ryan
Usage
Brett Ritchie (CGY) played 15:01, +3:46 up on his 11:15 season average over 31 games.Ritchie
Usage
Zach Bogosian (TOR) played 17:49, +3:21 up on his 14:28 season average over 44 games.Bogosian
Usage
Joe Thornton (TOR) played 10:33, −3:15 down on his 13:48 season average over 43 games.Thornton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · CGY 59 · TOR 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 32% of the game, CGY 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CGY
	52	59
	2.51	3.00
	2.45	2.78
	10	7
	2	4
	11	19
	−0.018	+0.018
	32%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
14:3346% CF
L2Tavares – Galchenyuk – Nylander
10:3853% CF
L3Simmonds – Engvall – Mikheyev
9:1144% CF
L4Thornton – Spezza – Kerfoot
8:0146% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
17:2246% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
16:2756% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
11:4138% CF

PP1Simmonds – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
0:56
PP2Thornton – Spezza – Muzzin – Hyman – Nylander
0:43
PK1FEngvall – Mikheyev
1:35
PK2FKerfoot – Marner
0:12
PK1DBogosian – Brodie
1:16
PK2DMuzzin – Holl
0:41

Current TOR line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Ritchie – Monahan
13:2329% CF
L2Lindholm – Tkachuk – Dube
12:1259% CF
L3Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane
12:0354% CF
L4Nordstrom – Bennett – Ryan
9:2873% CF
D1Tanev – Hanifin
15:4659% CF
D2Giordano – Andersson
14:2455% CF
D3Stone – Nesterov
12:5250% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
1:20100% CF
PP2Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Andersson
0:40
PK1FNordstrom – Lindholm
0:37
PK2FMangiapane – Ryan
0:27
PK1DGiordano – Tanev
0:58
PK2DStone – Nesterov
0:50

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:58
TORMorgan Rielly (Auston Matthews)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsCGY: Tanev, Lindholm, Hanifin, Tkachuk, Dube
TOR 1 – 0 CGY
11:43
CGYJoakim Nordstrom (Mark Giordano, Sam Bennett)slap0.12 xG
TOR: Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, KerfootCGY: Giordano, Nordstrom, Bennett, Andersson, Ryan
TOR 1 – 1 CGY
19:20
CGYAndrew Mangiapane (Mikael Backlund, Milan Lucic)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Bogosian, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Nylander, DermottCGY: Lucic, Backlund, Tanev, Mangiapane, Hanifin
TOR 1 – 2 CGY

2nd period

17:08
TORAlex Galchenyuk (John Tavares, William Nylander)wrist0.15 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, NylanderCGY: Backlund, Tanev, Bennett, Mangiapane, Hanifin
TOR 2 – 2 CGY

3rd period

6:55
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, NylanderCGY: Gaudreau, Ritchie, Monahan, Hanifin, Andersson
TOR 3 – 2 CGY
9:16
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Zach Hyman)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsCGY: Tanev, Lindholm, Hanifin, Tkachuk, Dube
TOR 4 – 2 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	2	19:52	—	—	46	43
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:34	—	—	46	42
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.30	1	1	0	19:18	—	—	42	38
John Tavares C	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.84	1	1	0	16:13	—	—	55	60
William Nylander R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.77	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	53	58
Alex Galchenyuk C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.38	0	1	0	12:16	—	—	53	58
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	16:19	—	—	45	49
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:14	—	—	43	51
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	1	0	13:10	—	—	42	39
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	1	0	13:09	—	—	48	30
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.34	1	1	0	10:50	—	—	44	41
Joe Thornton C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	10:33	—	—	46	32
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	23:44	—	—	45	56
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.04	3	2	0	20:31	—	—	48	53
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	+3	2	0.09	3	3	0	21:07	—	—	50	44
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:52	—	—	58	57
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:49	—	—	38	29
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	39	36

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	3.21	59:59

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	2	0	0	19:34	—	—	25	19
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	18:20	—	—	35	23
Brett Ritchie R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	0	15:01	—	—	35	24
Elias Lindholm C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.32	1	0	0	17:42	—	—	58	54
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	5	0	0	15:54	—	—	57	49
Dillon Dube C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.29	3	0	0	15:13	—	—	56	52
Andrew Mangiapane L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.28	2	0	0	15:57	—	—	48	49
Milan Lucic L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:19	—	—	54	65
Mikael Backlund C	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.40	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	50	56
Sam Bennett C	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	1	0	2	12:38	—	—	61	69
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	69	79
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.36	2	0	0	11:00	—	—	70	81
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.37	1	1	0	21:26	—	—	53	59
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	1	0	0	19:33	—	—	56	52
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	22:52	—	—	54	40
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	22:10	—	—	49	45
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	16:48	—	—	56	69
Nikita Nesterov D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	1	0	15:50	—	—	53	65

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	2.09	56:05

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.