Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesNov 21, 2018

FinalWednesday, Nov 21, 2018· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	1	2		TOR	11	12	9	32
CAR	2	0	3	5		CAR	29	2	14	45

: TOR 69CAR 77
: TOR 3.17CAR 5.67
PP goals: TOR 0CAR 1
Hits: TOR 22CAR 32
Blocks: TOR 12CAR 15
PIM: TOR 4CAR 6
: TOR 56%CAR 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2 at home. Jordan Staal (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 43 shots and stopped 40 (.930), +10 against a season average of 32.6; the loss.

Points
Jordan Staal had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:10.Staal
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 43 shots and stopped 40 (.930), +10 against a season average of 32.6; the loss.Andersen
New line
New look for CAR: Rask–Di Giuseppe–Foegele skated 7:47 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Rask Di Giuseppe Foegele
Usage
Calvin de Haan (CAR) played 23:03, +4:36 up on his 18:27 season average over 73 games.de Haan
Usage
Brock McGinn (CAR) played 17:37, +3:21 up on his 14:16 season average over 81 games.McGinn
Usage
Justin Williams (CAR) played 14:15, −3:14 down on his 17:29 season average over 81 games.Williams
Usage
Nazem Kadri (TOR) played 19:25, +3:16 up on his 16:09 season average over 72 games.Kadri
Usage
Par Lindholm (TOR) played 14:31, +3:13 up on his 11:18 season average over 64 games.Lindholm

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 146 of 146 attempts · CAR 77 · TOR 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 30% of the game, CAR 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CAR
	72	84
	3.11	4.32
	3.05	4.14
	13	23
	6	6
	29	23
	+0.060	−0.060
	30%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
13:2467% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Kapanen
12:0943% CF
L3Brown – Johnsson – Lindholm
9:5225% CF
L4Ennis – Leivo – Gauthier
7:3150% CF
D1Dermott – Ozhiganov
13:5243% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
13:5056% CF
D3Gardiner – Zaitsev
13:4439% CF

PP1Marleau – Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:41100% CF
PP2Gardiner – Ennis – Leivo – Johnsson – Kapanen
0:57100% CF
PK1FHyman – Lindholm
0:47
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Staal – McGinn
12:2252% CF
L2Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
11:2464% CF
L3Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
11:0266% CF
L4Rask – Di Giuseppe – Foegele
7:4755% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
18:4551% CF
D2de Haan – Faulk
17:3654% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Fleury
11:3654% CF

PP1Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
0:47100% CF
PK1FMartinook – Foegele
1:25
PK2FStaal – McGinn
0:53
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
1:27
PK2DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
1:24

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:56
CARTrevor van Riemsdykwrist0.11 xG
TOR: Brown, Johnsson, Dermott, Ozhiganov, LindholmCAR: Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Wallmark, Svechnikov
TOR 0 – 1 CAR
11:18
CARJustin Williams (Calvin de Haan, Jordan Staal)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, ZaitsevCAR: Williams, Staal, de Haan, Faulk, McGinn
TOR 0 – 2 CAR
15:30
TORJohn Tavaressnap0.17 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerCAR: Williams, Staal, de Haan, Faulk, McGinn
TOR 1 – 2 CAR

3rd period

7:45
CARMicheal FerlandPP (Teuvo Teravainen)slap0.02 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Zaitsev, LindholmCAR: Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho, Svechnikov
TOR 1 – 3 CAR
11:57
TORKasperi Kapanen (Travis Dermott)snap0.06 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Gardiner, KapanenCAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho
TOR 2 – 3 CAR
18:42
CARSebastian AhoEN (Jordan Staal, Brock McGinn)wrist0.51 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerCAR: Staal, Faulk, McGinn, Slavin, Aho
TOR 2 – 4 CAR
19:22
CARAndrei SvechnikovEN (Lucas Wallmark, Jordan Martinook)wrist0.90 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerCAR: de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark, Svechnikov
TOR 2 – 5 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	1	0	1	-2	3	0.34	0	0	0	19:37	—	—	66	61
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	0	0	19:26	—	—	60	56
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.68	1	0	2	16:45	—	—	63	64
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.27	1	0	0	19:25	—	—	42	38
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.35	1	2	0	18:39	—	—	45	47
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.18	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	45	47
Par Lindholm C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	14:31	—	—	27	15
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	2	13:09	—	—	27	15
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	1	1	0	12:42	—	—	23	16
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.51	2	0	0	11:22	—	—	52	66
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	4	0	0	11:16	—	—	45	50
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	9:25	—	—	44	60
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	1	0	0	19:06	—	—	49	37
Igor Ozhiganov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	2	1	0	15:34	—	—	46	36
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	1	0	22:08	—	—	48	41
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	3	0	0	18:47	—	—	53	46
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	2	0	21:16	—	—	42	48
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	4	0	19:04	—	—	40	48

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	43	40	3	.930	4.26	58:58

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	3	1	0	17:37	—	—	49	66
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.38	2	0	4	17:10	—	—	46	64
Justin Williams R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.32	0	1	0	14:15	—	—	47	70
Sebastian Aho C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.83	1	0	0	18:05	—	—	59	51
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	55	48
Micheal Ferland L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.29	9	0	0	14:38	—	—	59	52
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	1	0	1	+2	8	1.78	1	0	0	15:17	—	—	57	65
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.17	2	1	0	14:59	—	—	58	65
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	1	1	+2	3	0.95	3	0	0	14:50	—	—	58	67
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	11:51	—	—	54	36
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	0	0	10:32	—	—	48	33
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	0	0	9:01	—	—	58	38
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	3	0	23:20	—	—	50	49
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	0	0	2	21:15	—	—	54	51
Calvin de Haan D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	2	1	0	23:03	—	—	55	58
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.13	1	3	0	22:48	—	—	56	54
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	0	3	0	15:36	—	—	51	63
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	13:24	—	—	57	67

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	3.17	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.