Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesDec 11, 2018

FinalTuesday, Dec 11, 2018· PNC Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

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Carolina HurricanesCAR

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	15	7	7	29
CAR	0	1	0	1		CAR	8	10	12	30

: TOR 62CAR 68
: TOR 3.21CAR 3.84
PP goals: TOR 0CAR 1
Hits: TOR 16CAR 24
Blocks: TOR 19CAR 17
PIM: TOR 10CAR 8
: TOR 43%CAR 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1 at CAR. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. CAR scored 1 goal on 3.84 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:33.Nylander
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 3.84 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Micheal Ferland (CAR) played 5:11, −9:02 down on his 14:13 season average over 70 games.Ferland
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Brown–Marner skated 9:07 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Brown Marner
Usage
John Tavares (TOR) played 15:43, −3:25 down on his 19:08 season average over 81 games.Tavares
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 16:34, −3:18 down on his 19:52 season average over 81 games.Marner
Usage
Travis Dermott (TOR) played 13:41, −3:41 down on his 17:22 season average over 63 games.Dermott
Usage
Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) played 19:24, +4:49 up on his 14:35 season average over 81 games.Svechnikov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · CAR 68 · TOR 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 29% of the game, CAR 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CAR
	62	58
	2.90	3.04
	2.81	2.89
	13	14
	5	5
	28	23
	−0.052	+0.052
	29%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Nylander
10:5967% CF
L2Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
10:2252% CF
L3Tavares – Brown – Marner
9:0755% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Lindholm
6:0658% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
14:4658% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
12:4550% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
9:1056% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:05100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Johnsson – Nylander
2:42100% CF
PK1FBrown – Lindholm
3:51
PK2FKapanen – Marner
2:12
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
4:27
PK2DRielly – Dermott
2:55

Current TOR line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Wallmark – Svechnikov
10:5655% CF
L2Teravainen – Martinook – Aho
8:1747% CF
L3Di Giuseppe – McGinn – Bishop
3:1750% CF
L4Ferland – Rask – Foegele
0:00
D1de Haan – Faulk
12:5148% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
10:1346% CF
D3Pesce – van Riemsdyk
9:2025% CF

PP1Faulk – Di Giuseppe – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
5:06100% CF
PP2Williams – Rask – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark
2:2580% CF
PK1FMartinook – Foegele
1:09
PK2FMcGinn – Wallmark
1:08
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:14
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
1:19

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:35
TORTyler Ennis (Frederik Gauthier, Travis Dermott)snap0.01 xG
TOR: Ennis, Gauthier, Dermott, Ozhiganov, LindholmCAR: Rask, Hamilton, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Foegele
TOR 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

12:44
CARJustin WilliamsPP (Sebastian Aho, Victor Rask)snap0.18 xG
TOR: Kapanen, Dermott, Marner, ZaitsevCAR: Williams, Faulk, Rask, Slavin, Aho
TOR 1 – 1 CAR
13:51
TORMorgan Rielly (Auston Matthews, William Nylander)deflected0.06 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, MatthewsCAR: Hamilton, McGinn, Pesce, Bishop, Svechnikov
TOR 2 – 1 CAR

3rd period

5:49
TORPatrick Marleau (William Nylander, Nazem Kadri)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, OzhiganovCAR: de Haan, Hamilton, McGinn, Foegele, Bishop
TOR 3 – 1 CAR
8:29
TORJohn Tavares (Mitch Marner, Jake Gardiner)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Brown, Marner, ZaitsevCAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Aho
TOR 4 – 1 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Patrick Marleau C	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.41	0	1	0	17:19	—	—	58	63
Nazem Kadri C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.60	2	0	2	17:08	—	—	56	44
William Nylander R	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.07	0	0	6	16:33	—	—	60	57
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.74	0	0	0	15:59	—	—	50	62
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	1	0	15:37	—	—	50	60
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.35	1	0	0	15:10	—	—	52	50
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.46	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	50	38
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	16:31	—	—	43	44
John Tavares C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	15:43	—	—	46	35
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	4	0	11:54	—	—	53	32
Tyler Ennis R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:27	—	—	60	45
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.09	0	0	0	8:11	—	—	47	26
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.03	0	0	0	22:25	—	—	59	54
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	3	5	0	22:20	—	—	53	46
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.16	0	3	0	23:00	—	—	47	36
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	1	2	20:13	—	—	43	33
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	1	0	0	13:41	—	—	46	52
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	3	2	0	12:01	—	—	64	62

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	3.84	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	2	0	0	19:24	—	—	51	43
Justin Williams R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.54	0	0	0	18:51	—	—	62	51
Lucas Wallmark C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.60	1	2	0	18:34	—	—	63	52
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.65	0	3	0	19:58	—	—	46	71
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	0	1	0	17:48	—	—	50	79
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	5	0	0	14:25	—	—	48	61
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	0	0	15:40	—	—	30	18
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	13:41	—	—	50	67
Clark Bishop C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	0	12:41	—	—	30	13
Victor Rask C	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.11	0	0	0	11:54	—	—	47	67
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.20	4	0	2	11:54	—	—	41	52
Micheal Ferland L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:11	—	—	10	13
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.45	3	1	0	22:32	—	—	59	87
Calvin de Haan D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	1	3	0	17:12	—	—	52	70
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	2	2	22:12	—	—	49	52
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	-4	1	0.01	1	1	2	18:12	—	—	50	45
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	3	2	18:33	—	—	32	27
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	40	16

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	3.21	59:27

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.