Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 24, 2024

FinalSunday, Mar 24, 2024· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	1	1		TOR	7	13	13	33
CAR	2	0	0	2		CAR	16	15	12	43

: TOR 64CAR 75
: TOR 3.91CAR 3.92
PP goals: TOR 0CAR 1
Hits: TOR 14CAR 6
Blocks: TOR 16CAR 13
PIM: TOR 6CAR 8
: TOR 44%CAR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 at home. Brady Skjei (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 3:53 together.

PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 3:53 together.Burns Guentzel Aho Svechnikov Jarvis
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +12 against a season average of 30.9; the loss.Woll
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Teravainen–Martinook skated 8:31 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Teravainen Martinook
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.91 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 3.92 expected goals (75 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Max Domi (TOR) played 21:12, +7:31 up on his 13:41 season average over 79 games.Domi
New line
New look for CAR: Noesen–Kotkaniemi–Drury skated 6:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (68.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Noesen Kotkaniemi Drury
New line
New look for TOR: Holmberg–Robertson–Knies skated 5:33 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Holmberg Robertson Knies

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · CAR 75 · TOR 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 28% of the game, CAR 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	CAR
	55	67
	3.54	2.62
	3.16	2.53
	13	11
	8	7
	29	17
	−0.058	+0.058
	28%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bertuzzi – Domi – Matthews
7:0943% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – McMann
5:4557% CF
L3Holmberg – Robertson – Knies
5:3343% CF
L4Gregor – Kampf – Dewar
4:0356% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
13:5342% CF
D2Rielly – Lyubushkin
10:4645% CF
D3Edmundson – Liljegren
8:3261% CF

PP1Tavares – Domi – Nylander – Matthews – Liljegren
5:4675% CF
PP2Rielly – Bertuzzi – Robertson – McMann – Knies
0:54
PK1FKampf – Dewar
1:55
PK2FHolmberg – McMann
1:33
PK1DEdmundson – McCabe
3:43
PK2DBrodie – Lyubushkin
1:01

Current TOR line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Guentzel – Aho – Jarvis
11:4945% CF
L2Staal – Teravainen – Martinook
8:3171% CF
L3Kuznetsov – Necas – Svechnikov
7:1458% CF
L4Noesen – Kotkaniemi – Drury
6:1769% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
15:0842% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
14:1467% CF
D3Orlov – Chatfield
11:4355% CF

PP1Burns – Guentzel – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
3:53100% CF
PP2Kuznetsov – Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Necas
1:04100% CF
PK1FStaal – Jarvis
3:29
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
2:31
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
3:48
PK2DBurns – Slavin
1:55

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:06
CARBrady Skjei (Jordan Staal, Jordan Martinook)snap0.06 xG
TOR: Brodie, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, MatthewsCAR: Staal, Skjei, Teravainen, Martinook, Pesce
TOR 0 – 1 CAR
13:55
CARSebastian AhoPP (Jake Guentzel, Brent Burns)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Edmundson, McCabe, Kampf, DewarCAR: Burns, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis
TOR 0 – 2 CAR

3rd period

8:51
TORNick Robertson (Auston Matthews)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Edmundson, Matthews, Liljegren, Robertson, KniesCAR: Orlov, Kuznetsov, Skjei, Teravainen, Drury
TOR 1 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	7	0.81	0	2	0	23:28	—	—	46	51
Max Domi C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.18	0	0	0	21:12	—	—	44	68
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	0	16:40	—	—	41	59
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.89	0	0	0	21:54	—	—	50	59
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	1	1	0	21:12	—	—	46	56
Bobby McMann C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.55	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	57	68
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	2	13:45	—	—	44	70
Nick Robertson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	0	1	2	10:44	—	—	47	55
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	1	0	0	10:08	—	—	41	54
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	11:46	—	—	45	62
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	0	2	11:35	—	—	48	55
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.37	1	2	0	8:49	—	—	33	50
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	2	0	21:22	—	—	44	39
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	43	47
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	0	24:10	—	—	43	68
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:05	—	—	42	73
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.18	3	1	0	22:44	—	—	55	75
Joel Edmundson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	14:50	—	—	44	42

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	L	43	41	2	.953	3.92	57:43

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Seth Jarvis R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.63	0	0	0	22:57	—	—	42	27
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.18	0	1	0	22:20	—	—	40	28
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.64	0	0	0	17:29	—	—	46	28
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	17:02	—	—	60	60
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.25	2	2	0	15:28	—	—	69	78
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.41	0	0	0	13:38	—	—	60	52
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.36	1	0	4	14:38	—	—	50	28
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	0	0	12:41	—	—	59	50
Martin Necas C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.37	0	0	0	12:31	—	—	50	45
Jack Drury C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	1	0	9:39	—	—	63	49
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:10	—	—	52	21
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	1	0	0	9:00	—	—	76	80
Brady Skjei D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.12	0	1	0	22:16	—	—	44	39
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	3	0	21:52	—	—	44	33
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	0	1	0	21:06	—	—	68	44
Brent Burns D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	2	4	21:04	—	—	67	40
Dmitry Orlov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	0	17:29	—	—	48	42
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	12:23	—	—	52	51

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	3.91	59:17

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Sebastian Aho (CAR PP) 1st 13:55 · assists Jake Guentzel, Brent Burns · Forecheck turnover · 21.6 mph shot.

Sebastian Aho · 1st 13:55 · CAR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 21.6 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brady Skjei · 1st 1:06 · CAR

Play: rebound
Passes: 1
Shot: 60.4 mph
Distance: 42 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Robertson · 3rd 8:51 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 58.1 mph
Distance: 24 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.