Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 2, 2020

FinalThursday, Jan 2, 2020· Bell MTS Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

6

@

home

Winnipeg JetsWPG

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	3	1	6		TOR	8	9	11	28
WPG	0	3	0	3		WPG	14	23	11	48

: TOR 54WPG 72
: TOR 4.16WPG 3.41
PP goals: TOR 1WPG 1
Hits: TOR 10WPG 24
Blocks: TOR 13WPG 12
PIM: TOR 4WPG 8
: TOR 50%WPG 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 6–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 6–3 at WPG. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +18 against a season average of 30.3; the win.

Points
William Nylander had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:36.Nylander
Points
Kasperi Kapanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:56.Kapanen
Points
Kyle Connor had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:38.Connor
Points
Mark Scheifele had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:35.Scheifele
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:07.Kerfoot
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +18 against a season average of 30.3; the win.Andersen
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:16 together.Tavares Barrie Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Gauthier–Marchment–Brooks skated 5:12 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gauthier Marchment Brooks

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 126 of 126 attempts · WPG 72 · TOR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 38% of the game, WPG 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WPG
	58	72
	4.05	3.33
	3.80	3.12
	17	10
	6	6
	23	20
	−0.006	+0.006
	38%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
13:2642% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
11:1252% CF
L3Spezza – Kapanen – Engvall
10:0647% CF
L4Gauthier – Marchment – Brooks
5:1246% CF
D1Barrie – Rielly
16:1521% CF
D2Marincin – Holl
14:1646% CF
D3Ceci – Dermott
11:2074% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:1667% CF
PP2Holl – Nylander – Dermott – Marchment – Brooks
0:42
PK1FHyman – Gauthier
0:57
PK2FEngvall – Marner
0:34
PK1DMarincin – Ceci
2:00
PK2DHoll – Rielly
0:48

Current TOR line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Scheifele – Connor – Laine
13:2762% CF
L2Wheeler – Ehlers – Roslovic
9:4931% CF
L3Perreault – Bourque – Lowry
5:5763% CF
L4Shore – Harkins – Appleton
4:15100% CF
D1Poolman – Morrissey
19:0061% CF
D2Sbisa – Pionk
17:4053% CF
D3Bitetto – Dahlstrom
10:5450% CF

PP1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine – Pionk
3:1180% CF
PK1FWheeler – Connor
1:08
PK2FBourque – Lowry
0:53
PK1DSbisa – Pionk
1:34
PK2DBitetto – Poolman
1:23

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:24
TORWilliam Nylander (Adam Brooks)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, BrooksWPG: Wheeler, Poolman, Morrissey, Harkins, Roslovic
TOR 1 – 0 WPG
9:00
TORKasperi Kapanenwrist0.17 xG
TOR: Spezza, Marincin, Holl, Kapanen, EngvallWPG: Sbisa, Scheifele, Connor, Laine, Pionk
TOR 2 – 0 WPG

2nd period

3:45
WPGKyle ConnorPP (Mark Scheifele)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Marincin, Ceci, Kapanen, EngvallWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Laine
TOR 2 – 1 WPG
7:44
WPGPatrik Laine (Neal Pionk, Connor Hellebuyck)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsWPG: Sbisa, Scheifele, Connor, Laine, Pionk
TOR 2 – 2 WPG
9:02
TORTravis Dermott (Alexander Kerfoot, William Nylander)tip-in0.26 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, DermottWPG: Wheeler, Poolman, Morrissey, Ehlers, Roslovic
TOR 3 – 2 WPG
9:37
TORPierre Engvall (Kasperi Kapanen, Jason Spezza)slap0.05 xG
TOR: Spezza, Marincin, Holl, Kapanen, EngvallWPG: Perreault, Bourque, Bitetto, Lowry, Dahlstrom
TOR 4 – 2 WPG
12:48
WPGMark Scheifele (Kyle Connor)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Spezza, Hyman, Rielly, Kerfoot, KapanenWPG: Shore, Scheifele, Poolman, Morrissey, Connor
TOR 4 – 3 WPG
16:52
TORMitch MarnerPP (Tyson Barrie, Auston Matthews)slap0.08 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsWPG: Wheeler, Sbisa, Connor, Pionk
TOR 5 – 3 WPG

3rd period

8:45
TORWilliam Nylander (Alexander Kerfoot, John Tavares)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, NylanderWPG: Scheifele, Poolman, Morrissey, Connor, Laine
TOR 6 – 3 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.25	0	0	0	21:35	—	—	41	63
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.66	0	1	0	20:43	—	—	44	56
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.65	0	0	0	18:58	—	—	39	58
William Nylander R	L2	2	1	3	+3	3	0.55	0	0	0	19:36	—	—	49	57
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.32	0	0	0	19:15	—	—	50	61
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.30	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	47	53
Pierre Engvall L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:04	—	—	40	40
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.17	0	0	0	13:56	—	—	42	34
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	0	1	2	13:56	—	—	39	48
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	7:53	—	—	50	54
Adam Brooks C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	7:33	—	—	47	59
Mason Marchment L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	1	0	0	6:50	—	—	46	52
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	3	2	0	22:53	—	—	30	35
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	1	2	2	22:44	—	—	26	29
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	0	3	0	18:16	—	—	47	58
Martin Marincin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	0	3	0	18:14	—	—	47	62
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.23	2	0	0	20:29	—	—	63	71
Travis Dermott D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.26	2	0	0	13:47	—	—	69	82

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	48	45	3	.938	3.41	60:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Patrik Laine L	L1	1	0	1	-1	13	0.91	2	0	0	22:47	—	—	61	55
Mark Scheifele C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.55	1	2	0	22:35	—	—	66	62
Kyle Connor L	L1	1	1	2	0	5	0.32	0	0	0	21:38	—	—	66	61
Blake Wheeler R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.18	1	2	0	22:28	—	—	36	25
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	17:53	—	—	39	31
Jack Roslovic C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	2	0	0	15:40	—	—	47	32
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	4	1	0	13:12	—	—	53	27
Mathieu Perreault C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	3	1	2	13:05	—	—	49	31
Gabriel Bourque L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	1	0	10:48	—	—	62	40
Jansen Harkins C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	10:12	—	—	50	27
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	2	6:48	—	—	100	100
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	1	0	4	5:46	—	—	100	100
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.24	0	0	0	22:50	—	—	63	50
Tucker Poolman D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.29	1	1	0	22:05	—	—	58	42
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	2	2	0	22:44	—	—	54	51
Luca Sbisa D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	2	0	20:43	—	—	53	49
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	0	14:04	—	—	46	32
Carl Dahlstrom D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	0	0	12:26	—	—	52	43

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	17	12	5	.706	2.30	40:00
Laurent Brossoit	—	11	10	1	.909	1.30	18:22

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.