Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg JetsApr 24, 2021

FinalSaturday, Apr 24, 2021· Bell MTS Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

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Winnipeg JetsWPG

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	1	1	4		TOR	10	18	9	37
WPG	1	0	0	1		WPG	11	6	9	26

: TOR 59WPG 50
: TOR 6.48WPG 2.37
PP goals: TOR 0WPG 0
Hits: TOR 18WPG 28
Blocks: TOR 11WPG 12
PIM: TOR 20WPG 22
: TOR 49%WPG 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Winnipeg Jets 4–1 at WPG. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TOR scored 4 goals on 6.48 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 6.48 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +6 against a season average of 29.7; the loss.Hellebuyck
Usage
Joe Thornton (TOR) played 9:05, −4:45 down on his 13:50 season average over 43 games.Thornton
Usage
Mark Scheifele (WPG) played 17:11, −3:51 down on his 21:02 season average over 55 games.Scheifele
Usage
Nate Thompson (WPG) played 13:21, +3:45 up on his 9:36 season average over 43 games.Thompson
Usage
Andrew Copp (WPG) played 15:02, −3:17 down on his 18:19 season average over 54 games.Copp
Usage
Derek Forbort (WPG) played 17:04, −3:45 down on his 20:49 season average over 55 games.Forbort
Luck
William Nylander (TOR) generated 1.09 xG on 8 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Nylander

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · WPG 50 · TOR 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 41% of the game, WPG 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	WPG
	40	40
	1.63	1.58
	1.54	1.50
	10	6
	1	6
	11	12
	−0.008	+0.008
	41%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Foligno – Marner – Matthews
8:4544% CF
L2Tavares – Galchenyuk – Nylander
8:2654% CF
L3Simmonds – Kerfoot – Mikheyev
7:5638% CF
L4Thornton – Spezza – Brooks
5:5456% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
14:4058% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
9:4327% CF
D3Dermott – Sandin
5:4758% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
6:3686% CF
PP2Thornton – Spezza – Simmonds – Galchenyuk – Sandin
1:10100% CF
PK1FFoligno – Marner
2:16
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:43
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:54
PK2DBrodie – Dermott
1:28

Current TOR line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Stastny – Ehlers – Dubois
10:4956% CF
L2Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor
9:4945% CF
L3Thompson – Lewis – Harkins
5:5855% CF
L4Perreault – Copp – Appleton
3:5533% CF
D1Poolman – Morrissey
11:3753% CF
D2DeMelo – Stanley
9:1655% CF
D3Forbort – Pionk
8:3347% CF

PP1Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor
3:4988% CF
PP2Perreault – Copp – Ehlers – Dubois – Pionk
2:07100% CF
PK1FThompson – Lewis
4:02
PK2FCopp – Appleton
3:51
PK1DForbort – DeMelo
5:18
PK2DPoolman – Morrissey
2:01

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:39
WPGNikolaj Ehlers (Paul Stastny, Pierre-Luc Dubois)backhand0.10 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, NylanderWPG: Stastny, Forbort, Ehlers, Dubois, Pionk
TOR 0 – 1 WPG
4:04
TORJoe Thornton (Jason Spezza, Adam Brooks)wrap-around0.02 xG
TOR: Thornton, Spezza, Dermott, Brooks, SandinWPG: Perreault, DeMelo, Copp, Appleton, Stanley
TOR 1 – 1 WPG
11:40
TORMitch Marner (Jake Muzzin, Nick Foligno)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Foligno, Muzzin, Holl, Marner, MatthewsWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Poolman, Morrissey, Connor
TOR 2 – 1 WPG

2nd period

7:07
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander, Rasmus Sandin)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, Nylander, SandinWPG: Forbort, Poolman, Ehlers, Dubois
TOR 3 – 1 WPG

3rd period

18:30
TORAlexander KerfootEN (Ilya Mikheyev, Justin Holl)wrist0.97 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, MikheyevWPG: Wheeler, Stastny, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor
TOR 4 – 1 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.19	1	0	0	23:33	—	—	47	55
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	+1	6	0.65	0	0	0	20:13	—	—	43	40
Nick Foligno L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.19	2	1	0	17:02	—	—	55	80
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	1.36	0	2	0	18:44	—	—	40	32
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	0	6	1.09	0	0	0	17:31	—	—	58	63
Alex Galchenyuk C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	0	2	11:45	—	—	63	75
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.63	1	0	0	15:03	—	—	38	42
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	1.19	3	0	2	14:43	—	—	53	65
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	10	11:16	—	—	44	39
Adam Brooks C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:50	—	—	50	48
Joe Thornton C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	4	9:05	—	—	69	78
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	0	0	0	9:00	—	—	47	40
Justin Holl D	D1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.03	1	3	0	21:48	—	—	57	71
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	4	2	2	21:26	—	—	61	78
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	2	0	23:18	—	—	39	33
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	1	0	0	19:03	—	—	30	31
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.15	0	1	0	13:51	—	—	59	55
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	0	0	12:49	—	—	56	39

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.37	60:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Paul Stastny C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	2	0	0	17:33	—	—	64	64
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.44	0	1	4	16:23	—	—	62	60
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.15	3	0	12	16:04	—	—	64	69
Kyle Connor L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	1	0	2	20:30	—	—	41	16
Blake Wheeler R	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	0	0	18:17	—	—	56	54
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.16	1	0	0	17:11	—	—	56	26
Nate Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	13:21	—	—	50	42
Trevor Lewis C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	11:48	—	—	43	16
Jansen Harkins C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:38	—	—	55	21
Andrew Copp C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	3	0	15:02	—	—	20	39
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.29	0	0	0	13:08	—	—	27	55
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	2	1	2	9:28	—	—	33	55
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.26	2	2	0	26:01	—	—	50	43
Tucker Poolman D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	2	0	0	18:26	—	—	53	39
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	1	2	17:48	—	—	50	55
Logan Stanley D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	2	1	0	13:09	—	—	57	68
Neal Pionk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	3	1	0	19:14	—	—	44	49
Derek Forbort D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	2	0	17:04	—	—	50	32

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	36	33	3	.917	4.92	58:42

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.