Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 20, 2018

FinalTuesday, Mar 20, 2018· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	0	3		TOR	12	12	6	30
TBL	0	1	3	4		TBL	6	12	7	25

: TOR 56TBL 42
: TOR 3.48TBL 3.84
PP goals: TOR 1TBL 0
Hits: TOR 20TBL 28
Blocks: TOR 10TBL 15
PIM: TOR 4TBL 8
: TOR 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 at home. James van Riemsdyk (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for TBL: Johnson–Palat–Point skated 9:31 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
James van Riemsdyk had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 15:03.van Riemsdyk
Points
Yanni Gourde had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:58.Gourde
New line
New look for TBL: Johnson–Palat–Point skated 9:31 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johnson Palat Point
Usage
Ryan Callahan (TBL) played 3:53, −9:35 down on his 13:28 season average over 66 games.Callahan
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 17:19, +4:20 up on his 12:59 season average over 17 games.Cirelli
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 15:29, −4:24 down on his 19:53 season average over 79 games.Kucherov
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 19:55, +3:34 up on his 16:21 season average over 81 games.Marner
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 22:30, −3:24 down on his 25:54 season average over 76 games.Hedman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · TBL 42 · TOR 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 31% of the game, TBL 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	47	43
	2.45	4.34
	2.38	4.23
	5	13
	6	4
	13	13
	+0.012	−0.012
	31%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Johnsson – Nylander
11:1047% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Marner
10:5150% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
9:4185% CF
L4Plekanec – Leivo – Kapanen
6:4663% CF
D1Polak – Gardiner
14:5858% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
12:4733% CF
D3Carrick – Dermott
12:3168% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
3:4483% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Leivo – Johnsson – Nylander
1:46100% CF
PK1FHyman – Kapanen
1:08
PK2FMarleau – Plekanec
0:11
PK1DHainsey – Polak
1:02

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
9:4658% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
9:3138% CF
L3Killorn – Gourde – Cirelli
5:4067% CF
L4Kunitz – Callahan – Erne
0:00
D1Stralman – Hedman
14:3157% CF
D2Girardi – McDonagh
13:1337% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
9:4550% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller
0:58
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
0:40100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Point
2:02
PK2FJohnson – Cirelli
2:01
PK1DGirardi – McDonagh
2:25
PK2DStralman – Hedman
1:20

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

15:06
TORJames van Riemsdyk (Mitch Marner, Connor Carrick)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Dermott, MarnerTBL: Coburn, Killorn, Gourde, Erne, Sergachev
TOR 1 – 0 TBL

2nd period

1:29
TORJames van RiemsdykPP (Tyler Bozak, Nazem Kadri)backhand0.12 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, MarnerTBL: Stralman, McDonagh, Johnson, Cirelli
TOR 2 – 0 TBL
15:41
TORZach Hymanwrist0.12 xG
TOR: Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Johnsson, NylanderTBL: Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point, Sergachev
TOR 3 – 0 TBL
16:40
TBLVictor Hedman (Steven Stamkos, Adam Erne)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Bozak, Kadri, RiellyTBL: Kunitz, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Erne
TOR 3 – 1 TBL

3rd period

1:24
TBLRyan McDonagh (Yanni Gourde, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, BrownTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev
TOR 3 – 2 TBL
3:32
TBLNikita Kucherovwrist0.06 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Plekanec, Hyman, Rielly, NylanderTBL: Girardi, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller
TOR 3 – 3 TBL
9:14
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli, Yanni Gourde)wrist0.15 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Johnsson, NylanderTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev
TOR 3 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	0	0	0	18:58	—	—	46	41
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.41	1	0	0	17:56	—	—	44	42
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	15:40	—	—	52	48
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.31	1	1	0	19:55	—	—	40	21
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.16	0	0	0	18:11	—	—	40	19
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:02	—	—	41	18
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.45	2	1	0	18:13	—	—	65	44
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	2	0	2	0	5	0.51	0	0	0	15:03	—	—	79	62
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	2	11:50	—	—	80	62
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	0	1	0	10:51	—	—	56	33
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	10:39	—	—	55	34
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	2	10:20	—	—	50	35
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.43	3	0	0	23:20	—	—	57	42
Roman Polak D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	18:24	—	—	52	49
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.07	0	1	0	19:58	—	—	42	20
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	1	2	0	18:38	—	—	33	19
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	3	0	16:45	—	—	70	58
Connor Carrick D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:41	—	—	56	33

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	25	21	4	.840	3.84	57:36

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	2	1	2	19:47	—	—	58	75
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.20	3	0	0	16:56	—	—	46	66
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.63	2	0	2	15:29	—	—	64	75
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:24	—	—	40	31
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	50	40
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	0	0	12:25	—	—	43	27
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.65	0	0	2	17:19	—	—	41	68
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.51	3	0	0	17:07	—	—	53	77
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.13	2	1	0	15:58	—	—	41	70
Chris Kunitz L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.28	2	0	0	11:14	—	—	50	59
Adam Erne L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.31	1	0	0	11:01	—	—	46	73
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	3:53	—	—	20	0
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.29	1	1	0	25:08	—	—	47	54
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	3	2	0	22:30	—	—	56	58
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.14	0	6	0	22:36	—	—	39	67
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	18:56	—	—	41	70
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	15:12	—	—	48	66
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.21	0	1	0	13:22	—	—	57	68

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	30	27	3	.900	3.48	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.