Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 13, 2018

FinalThursday, Dec 13, 2018· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	0	1		TOR	10	23	16	49
TBL	1	3	0	4		TBL	7	12	2	21

: TOR 81TBL 48
: TOR 5.30TBL 2.30
PP goals: TOR 0TBL 1
Hits: TOR 19TBL 27
Blocks: TOR 16TBL 23
PIM: TOR 8TBL 14
: TOR 54%TBL 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1 at home. Anthony Cirelli (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 49 shots and stopped 48 (.980), +17 against a season average of 32.3; the win.

Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:38.Cirelli
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:14.Kucherov
Points
J.T. Miller had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:54.Miller
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 49 shots and stopped 48 (.980), +17 against a season average of 32.3; the win.Vasilevskiy
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:37 together.Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Miller Point
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 5.30 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Callahan–Paquette–Erne skated 6:06 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Callahan Paquette Erne
Luck
TBL scored 4 goals on 2.30 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 129 of 129 attempts · TBL 48 · TOR 81

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 50% of the game, TBL 14%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	62	47
	3.40	1.78
	3.23	1.75
	12	5
	2	1
	19	7
	+0.015	−0.015
	50%	14%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
11:1772% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Nylander
9:3365% CF
L3Tavares – Brown – Marner
9:2550% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Lindholm
5:1833% CF
D1Dermott – Ozhiganov
14:0938% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
9:0650% CF
D3Gardiner – Zaitsev
8:4865% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
6:49100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Johnsson – Nylander
4:1475% CF
PK1FBrown – Lindholm
2:09
PK2FKapanen – Marner
0:36
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:43

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
10:2526% CF
L2Stamkos – Palat – Gourde
9:3965% CF
L3Killorn – Miller – Cirelli
7:3353% CF
L4Callahan – Paquette – Erne
6:0617% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:4643% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
13:2432% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
11:4952% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
3:3783% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Palat – Miller – Sergachev
0:47
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
3:33
PK2FCallahan – Paquette
2:14
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
5:27
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
4:25

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:26
TORKasperi Kapanenwrist0.21 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, MatthewsTBL: Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
TOR 1 – 0 TBL
8:20
TBLAnthony CirelliSH (Ryan Callahan)backhand0.25 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Ennis, Johnsson, NylanderTBL: Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Cirelli
TOR 1 – 1 TBL

2nd period

5:31
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Victor Hedman, J.T. Miller)slap0.12 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Marner, Zaitsev, LindholmTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller, Point
TOR 1 – 2 TBL
19:24
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli, J.T. Miller)backhand0.05 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, NylanderTBL: Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Miller, Cirelli
TOR 1 – 3 TBL
19:58
TBLTyler Johnson (Nikita Kucherov, Dan Girardi)slap0.15 xG
TOR: Ennis, Gauthier, Dermott, Ozhiganov, LindholmTBL: Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
TOR 1 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	+1	2	0.75	0	0	0	22:03	—	—	74	85
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	72	87
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	1	1	+1	5	0.76	0	0	2	15:07	—	—	61	73
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	-1	6	0.57	1	0	4	17:54	—	—	67	69
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	-2	3	0.11	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	60	64
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	-2	1	0.44	1	0	0	15:14	—	—	65	70
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	0	0	7	0.22	0	1	0	21:23	—	—	57	43
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	6	1.03	1	0	0	19:10	—	—	60	57
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	15:03	—	—	46	35
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	11:12	—	—	29	45
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	-2	2	0.34	2	1	0	10:49	—	—	40	66
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	-1	2	0.46	2	0	0	6:31	—	—	39	67
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	2	2	18:02	—	—	46	67
Igor Ozhiganov D	D1	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	14:49	—	—	39	51
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	22:21	—	—	65	71
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	17:24	—	—	59	74
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	-1	5	0.09	3	0	0	18:13	—	—	70	70
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	6	0	17:48	—	—	59	41

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	21	17	4	.810	2.30	59:40

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	0	2	0	17:17	—	—	37	48
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	38	50
Tyler Johnson C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	2	2	0	13:27	—	—	28	31
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	1	2	17:37	—	—	58	43
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	1	2	17:17	—	—	66	46
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	2	0	13:30	—	—	62	40
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.44	1	2	0	17:38	—	—	39	23
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	4	2	2	14:58	—	—	41	26
J.T. Miller C	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.17	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	42	19
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	13:43	—	—	21	20
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.12	0	1	2	10:28	—	—	29	31
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	7:37	—	—	40	43
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	22:14	—	—	42	34
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	5	0	2	20:31	—	—	45	35
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.23	1	3	0	23:36	—	—	36	30
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	3	2	19:04	—	—	33	30
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	0	0	15:29	—	—	50	54
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:27	—	—	57	62

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	49	48	1	.980	5.30	59:59

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.