Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningJan 17, 2019

FinalThursday, Jan 17, 2019· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

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Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	1	4		TOR	9	8	14	31
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	10	12	16	38

: TOR 55TBL 71
: TOR 4.13TBL 3.71
PP goals: TOR 0TBL 1
Hits: TOR 17TBL 30
Blocks: TOR 21TBL 8
PIM: TOR 8TBL 4
: TOR 44%TBL 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2 at TBL. Victor Hedman (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 16 attempts in 6:21 together.

Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:03.Point
Points
Nazem Kadri had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:41.Kadri
Points
Patrick Marleau had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:53.Marleau
Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 25:26.Hedman
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:41.Tavares
Points
Nikita Zaitsev had 2 assists (2 points) in 25:54.Zaitsev
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 16 attempts in 6:21 together.Stamkos Hedman Palat Kucherov Point
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +5 against a season average of 32.6; the win.Andersen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 126 of 126 attempts · TBL 71 · TOR 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 31% of the game, TBL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	54	50
	3.07	2.05
	2.89	1.93
	14	2
	2	1
	10	17
	−0.084	+0.084
	31%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Johnsson – Marner
11:4362% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Kapanen
11:3644% CF
L3Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
10:4564% CF
L4Brown – Gauthier – Lindholm
5:1833% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:2262% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
15:2248% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
6:3931% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
2:02100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Kapanen
0:52100% CF
PK1FBrown – Kapanen
2:00
PK2FHyman – Lindholm
1:29
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
6:03
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:22

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
8:5644% CF
L2Stamkos – Palat – Gourde
8:1557% CF
L3Killorn – Erne – Cirelli
7:4023% CF
L4Callahan – Miller – Paquette
5:3663% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
14:5346% CF
D2Stralman – Sergachev
12:4250% CF
D3Girardi – Hedman
12:1147% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Point
6:21100% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Miller – Gourde – Sergachev
0:45100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:38
PK2FGourde – Paquette
1:31
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:35
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:48
TBLBrayden PointPP (Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Brown, Marner, ZaitsevTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point
TOR 0 – 1 TBL
11:48
TORNazem Kadri (Kasperi Kapanen, Patrick Marleau)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, KapanenTBL: Stralman, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev
TOR 1 – 1 TBL

2nd period

13:06
TORPatrick Marleau (Nazem Kadri, Nikita Zaitsev)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Kapanen, ZaitsevTBL: Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Erne, Cirelli
TOR 2 – 1 TBL
13:43
TBLVictor Hedman (Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Gauthier, Matthews, ZaitsevTBL: Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
TOR 2 – 2 TBL
14:49
TORMitch Marner (John Tavares, Andreas Johnsson)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, MarnerTBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev
TOR 3 – 2 TBL

3rd period

19:09
TORZach HymanEN (Nikita Zaitsev, John Tavares)wrist0.96 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Kapanen, ZaitsevTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli
TOR 4 – 2 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.30	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	54	89
John Tavares C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.42	0	1	0	18:41	—	—	59	79
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.32	2	2	0	13:13	—	—	62	89
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	1	1	+3	4	0.49	0	0	0	18:04	—	—	44	45
Patrick Marleau C	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.14	1	2	0	15:53	—	—	39	44
Nazem Kadri C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.21	2	0	0	15:41	—	—	52	50
Zach Hyman L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	1.18	0	0	2	17:55	—	—	61	71
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.40	0	1	0	17:30	—	—	71	68
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	2	15:08	—	—	53	56
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	1	0	10:28	—	—	53	80
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	8:44	—	—	27	35
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	6:00	—	—	25	27
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	25:54	—	—	55	78
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	4	0	0	24:49	—	—	61	78
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	4	0	23:34	—	—	44	46
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.05	0	1	0	22:21	—	—	58	51
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	3	2	10:40	—	—	41	61
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	2	9:00	—	—	39	38

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	38	36	2	.947	3.71	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.35	1	0	2	25:29	—	—	53	33
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	-1	2	0.47	1	0	0	24:03	—	—	41	21
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:50	—	—	47	32
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	-2	10	1.52	2	0	0	23:04	—	—	69	69
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	3	0	0	19:36	—	—	63	65
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	1	0	15:02	—	—	67	65
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:03	—	—	18	7
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	3	0	0	15:03	—	—	38	28
Adam Erne L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	18	17
J.T. Miller C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	10:06	—	—	64	35
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:26	—	—	67	72
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	0	7:56	—	—	54	63
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	2	0	19:54	—	—	40	45
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	6	0	0	17:38	—	—	44	42
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	1	2	0	17:35	—	—	49	47
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	3	1	0	15:29	—	—	50	44
Victor Hedman D	D3	1	1	2	-1	8	0.40	2	1	2	25:26	—	—	58	25
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	0	0	15:02	—	—	42	9

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	30	27	3	.900	3.17	57:57

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.