Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningFeb 25, 2020

FinalTuesday, Feb 25, 2020· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	2	0	4		TOR	11	9	3	23
TBL	1	1	1	3		TBL	8	7	14	29

: TOR 39TBL 54
: TOR 2.12TBL 2.61
PP goals: TOR 2TBL 0
Hits: TOR 20TBL 33
Blocks: TOR 11TBL 9
PIM: TOR 4TBL 8
: TOR 44%TBL 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 at TBL. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 4:32 together.

Points
John Tavares had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:18.Tavares
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:29.Nylander
Points
Kevin Shattenkirk had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:22.Shattenkirk
Points
Tyson Barrie had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 24:06.Barrie
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 4:32 together.Tavares Barrie Nylander Marner Matthews
Usage
Jake Muzzin (TOR) played 15:39, −6:04 down on his 21:43 season average over 52 games.Muzzin
Usage
Steven Stamkos (TBL) played 12:30, −6:02 down on his 18:32 season average over 56 games.Stamkos
Usage
Barclay Goodrow (TBL) played 10:40, −5:20 down on his 16:00 season average over 69 games.Goodrow

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 93 of 93 attempts · TBL 54 · TOR 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 22% of the game, TBL 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	36	49
	1.74	2.10
	1.71	1.99
	4	8
	2	1
	10	16
	−0.018	+0.018
	22%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
7:0225% CF
L2Kerfoot – Kapanen – Engvall
6:3350% CF
L3Tavares – Nylander – Malgin
5:1125% CF
L4Spezza – Clifford – Gauthier
3:2560% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
11:5347% CF
D2Barrie – Dermott
10:5353% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
6:5042% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:3280% CF
PP2Spezza – Barrie – Hyman – Kerfoot – Kapanen
1:18
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:51
PK2FKapanen – Engvall
0:58
PK1DHoll – Dermott
2:37
PK2DMuzzin – Liljegren
0:26

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Coleman – Cirelli
10:4260% CF
L2Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
7:2350% CF
L3Johnson – Palat – Goodrow
5:2020% CF
L4Maroon – Gourde – Paquette
3:1367% CF
D1Hedman – Cernak
14:3066% CF
D2Shattenkirk – Sergachev
9:2865% CF
D3Coburn – Bogosian
9:0730% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Cirelli
3:3663% CF
PP2Killorn – Maroon – Johnson – Palat – Sergachev
2:17100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:44
PK2FGourde – Paquette
1:23
PK1DHedman – Cernak
2:49
PK2DCoburn – Sergachev
2:19

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:46
TBLNikita Kucherov (Steven Stamkos, Victor Hedman)snap0.06 xG
TOR: Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Liljegren, SandinTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
TOR 0 – 1 TBL
12:48
TORJake Muzzin (Jason Spezza, Frederik Gauthier)slap0.03 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, GauthierTBL: Coburn, Maroon, Bogosian, Gourde, Paquette
TOR 1 – 1 TBL
16:42
TORJohn TavaresPP (Tyson Barrie, Auston Matthews)tip-in0.10 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Gourde, Paquette, Cernak, Sergachev
TOR 2 – 1 TBL

2nd period

11:54
TBLPatrick Maroon (Cedric Paquette, Kevin Shattenkirk)tip-in0.06 xG
TOR: Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Liljegren, SandinTBL: Shattenkirk, Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev
TOR 2 – 2 TBL
12:25
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Nylander, DermottTBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, Point
TOR 3 – 2 TBL
14:21
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Mitch Marner, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.21 xG
TOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak
TOR 4 – 2 TBL

3rd period

7:27
TBLYanni Gourde (Kevin Shattenkirk, Barclay Goodrow)deflected0.11 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Malgin, SandinTBL: Shattenkirk, Johnson, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev
TOR 4 – 3 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.21	0	1	0	23:48	—	—	39	60
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	22:18	—	—	41	36
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.27	0	0	0	22:12	—	—	35	57
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	1	0	14:50	—	—	62	67
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	1	1	0	11:40	—	—	50	52
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	2	10:09	—	—	54	36
John Tavares C	L3	2	0	2	-1	2	0.24	1	0	0	20:18	—	—	33	25
William Nylander R	L3	1	1	2	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	18:29	—	—	44	44
Denis Malgin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:03	—	—	33	34
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:50	—	—	33	27
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:04	—	—	54	39
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	3	1	0	8:46	—	—	44	39
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	1	0	25:49	—	—	36	38
Jake Muzzin D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.30	1	0	0	15:39	—	—	50	59
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	24:06	—	—	38	45
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	3	2	0	22:42	—	—	50	64
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.02	1	0	2	15:01	—	—	42	32
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	3	0	11:16	—	—	29	23

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	2.61	60:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	1	0	22:34	—	—	65	48
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	20:03	—	—	61	45
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	5	0	2	16:44	—	—	70	55
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.20	1	0	0	21:52	—	—	57	50
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	2	1	0	20:07	—	—	52	49
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.51	2	0	0	12:30	—	—	53	55
Ondrej Palat L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:28	—	—	27	22
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.45	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	57	80
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	3	0	0	10:40	—	—	64	80
Yanni Gourde C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	1	1	0	11:37	—	—	68	67
Patrick Maroon L	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	5	1	0	9:10	—	—	60	58
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	7:51	—	—	42	37
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	1	1	0	26:52	—	—	62	48
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	3	1	0	22:01	—	—	64	53
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.18	2	2	0	25:24	—	—	62	71
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.12	0	0	6	13:22	—	—	57	77
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	3	0	0	14:24	—	—	44	40
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	1	0	12:20	—	—	27	30

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	2.12	58:30

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.