Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningMay 12, 2022

Final / OTPlayoffsThursday, May 12, 2022· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
TOR	0	3	0	0	3		TOR	6	14	4	9	33
TBL	1	1	1	1	4		TBL	12	9	9	5	35

: TOR 70TBL 69
: TOR 3.96TBL 3.76
PP goals: TOR 0TBL 1
Hits: TOR 48TBL 60
Blocks: TOR 21TBL 21
PIM: TOR 8TBL 4
: TOR 53%TBL 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 in overtime at home. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Brayden Point (TBL) played 27:33, +9:53 up on his 17:40 season average over 8 games.

Points
John Tavares had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:05.Tavares
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 27:33.Point
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:46.Nylander
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 27:33, +9:53 up on his 17:40 season average over 8 games.Point
Usage
Cal Foote (TBL) played 20:45, +10:02 up on his 10:43 season average over 12 games.Foote
Usage
Alexander Kerfoot (TOR) played 21:39, +7:14 up on his 14:26 season average over 6 games.Kerfoot
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 28:19, +7:02 up on his 21:17 season average over 6 games.Matthews
Usage
Jake Muzzin (TOR) played 30:15, +9:24 up on his 20:51 season average over 6 games.Muzzin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · TBL 69 · TOR 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 23% of the game, TBL 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	77	72
	4.17	3.21
	4.01	3.07
	16	14
	7	7
	16	13
	+0.042	−0.042
	23%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
16:4559% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
10:0730% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
10:0142% CF
L4Spezza – Blackwell – Kase
4:1675% CF
D1Muzzin – Brodie
22:3261% CF
D2Rielly – Lyubushkin
18:3441% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
17:2453% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:2050% CF
PP2Spezza – Giordano – Bunting – Kase – Mikheyev
0:230% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:23
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:49
PK1DMuzzin – Brodie
1:10
PK2DGiordano – Holl
0:53

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Point – Cirelli
14:5540% CF
L2Paul – Colton – Hagel
13:5739% CF
L3Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov
13:4271% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
5:5638% CF
D1Hedman – Cernak
19:0037% CF
D2Sergachev – Foote
15:1165% CF
D3McDonagh – Bogosian
12:4550% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
3:0567% CF
PP2Perry – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Cirelli
1:02100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
1:01
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
0:52
PK1DMcDonagh – Sergachev
1:01
PK2DHedman – Cernak
0:23

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

17:38
TBLOndrej Palatwrist0.13 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Kerfoot, MikheyevTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Cernak
TOR 0 – 1 TBL

2nd period

10:46
TBLAnthony CirelliSHwrist0.33 xG
TOR: Spezza, Giordano, Bunting, Kase, MikheyevTBL: Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli
TOR 0 – 2 TBL
11:40
TORAuston Matthews (Mark Giordano, William Nylander)tip-in0.11 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev
TOR 1 – 2 TBL
19:26
TORJohn Tavares (Jason Spezza, Ondrej Kase)tip-in0.03 xG
TOR: Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Kase, LyubushkinTBL: Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Cernak
TOR 2 – 2 TBL
19:52
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander, Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.14 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, LyubushkinTBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev
TOR 3 – 2 TBL

3rd period

9:20
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Giordano, Muzzin, MarnerTBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli
TOR 3 – 3 TBL

OT period

18:04
TBLBrayden Point (Alex Killorn, Brandon Hagel)wrist0.27 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Point, Cernak, Hagel
TOR 3 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.80	9	1	0	28:19	—	—	62	60
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	0	0	28:04	—	—	67	66
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.24	4	0	0	22:21	—	—	57	61
John Tavares C	L2	2	0	2	+2	3	0.21	4	2	0	23:05	—	—	34	45
William Nylander R	L2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.25	0	1	0	21:46	—	—	49	49
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.64	1	1	2	21:39	—	—	38	54
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.59	1	0	0	20:38	—	—	43	69
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.47	4	0	2	20:26	—	—	52	61
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	3	0	0	19:03	—	—	42	48
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:31	—	—	71	57
Ondrej Kase R	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	8:06	—	—	70	57
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:19	—	—	75	54
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	3	0	30:15	—	—	58	68
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	3	0	28:51	—	—	56	48
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.05	5	2	2	28:14	—	—	49	55
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.08	4	5	0	20:19	—	—	41	62
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.06	0	1	0	25:09	—	—	58	54
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	2	2	21:57	—	—	48	55

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	L	35	31	4	.886	3.76	78:04

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	0	1	0.27	3	3	0	27:33	—	—	42	33
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.33	5	1	0	25:21	—	—	54	16
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.26	2	0	0	25:15	—	—	53	47
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	6	1	2	19:25	—	—	38	24
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.12	1	2	0	19:14	—	—	34	40
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	9	1	0	16:36	—	—	36	33
Nikita Kucherov R	L3	1	0	1	-1	6	0.92	3	1	0	26:57	—	—	60	53
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.29	4	0	0	25:16	—	—	56	61
Ondrej Palat L	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.96	4	1	0	19:39	—	—	61	62
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:40	—	—	31	6
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	10:10	—	—	46	26
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	5	0	0	8:42	—	—	54	42
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+2	4	0.04	1	0	0	31:43	—	—	43	42
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.04	5	3	0	26:48	—	—	34	38
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	4	0	0	29:06	—	—	63	42
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	3	2	20:45	—	—	53	32
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	0	4	0	26:53	—	—	46	49
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	4	1	0	16:17	—	—	50	62

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.96	78:04

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.