Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 3, 2022

Final / OTSaturday, Dec 3, 2022· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

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home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	0	2	1	0	3		TOR	12	19	8	0	39
TBL	0	1	2	1	4		TBL	11	11	10	1	33

: TOR 59TBL 61
: TOR 4.07TBL 4.29
PP goals: TOR 1TBL 2
Hits: TOR 31TBL 20
Blocks: TOR 10TBL 11
PIM: TOR 16TBL 14
: TOR 61%TBL 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 in overtime at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Sandin) scored 1 power-play goal on 16 attempts in 5:21 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:51.Marner
Points
Anthony Cirelli had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:51.Cirelli
Points
Corey Perry had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:15.Perry
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews and Sandin) scored 1 power-play goal on 16 attempts in 5:21 together.Tavares Nylander Marner Matthews Sandin
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +8 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Vasilevskiy
New line
New look for TOR: Simmonds–Aston-Reese–Holmberg skated 4:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Simmonds Aston-Reese Holmberg
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 12:51, −3:47 down on his 16:38 season average over 57 games.Cirelli
Usage
Mark Giordano (TOR) played 25:08, +6:16 up on his 18:52 season average over 77 games.Giordano

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TBL 61 · TOR 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 32% of the game, TBL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	43	53
	2.68	2.92
	2.58	2.76
	12	8
	2	2
	14	18
	+0.105	−0.105
	32%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
10:0036% CF
L2Tavares – Marner – Robertson
8:2447% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
5:1143% CF
L4Simmonds – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
4:0754% CF
D1Giordano – Holl
12:5653% CF
D2Liljegren – Sandin
11:4146% CF
D3Mete – Hollowell
7:2732% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Sandin
5:21100% CF
PP2Giordano – Bunting – Engvall – Liljegren – Robertson
2:06100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
3:51
PK2FKerfoot – Aston-Reese
2:05
PK1DGiordano – Holl
5:15
PK2DMete – Liljegren
2:39

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
10:0460% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
7:1780% CF
L3Maroon – Namestnikov – Cirelli
3:3567% CF
L4Perry – Bellemare – Colton
1:040% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
12:0762% CF
D2Hedman – Sergachev
8:5645% CF
D3Bogosian – Perbix
4:2745% CF

PP1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev – Hagel
6:0367% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Hedman – Paul – Colton
2:25100% CF
PK1FPaul – Hagel
1:39
PK2FStamkos – Bellemare
1:15
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
2:02
PK2DBogosian – Hedman
1:55

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:18
TORMitch MarnerSH (David Kampf)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Marner, KampfTBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel
TOR 1 – 0 TBL
7:40
TBLVladislav Namestnikov (Anthony Cirelli, Erik Cernak)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, SandinTBL: Cole, Namestnikov, Cernak, Cirelli, Colton
TOR 1 – 1 TBL
16:50
TORWilliam Nylander (Auston Matthews, Michael Bunting)backhand0.11 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsTBL: Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel
TOR 2 – 1 TBL

3rd period

1:51
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Steven Stamkos, Corey Perry)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Aston-ReeseTBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Perbix
TOR 2 – 2 TBL
4:34
TBLRoss ColtonPP (Mikhail Sergachev, Corey Perry)wrist0.44 xG
TOR: Giordano, Engvall, Hollowell, HolmbergTBL: Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, Colton
TOR 2 – 3 TBL
11:55
TORMitch MarnerPPwrist0.13 xG
TOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, SandinTBL: Cole, Paul, Cernak, Hagel
TOR 3 – 3 TBL

OT period

0:33
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Marner, Matthews, SandinTBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli
TOR 3 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.55	0	1	0	20:10	—	—	39	46
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	-1	8	0.77	1	1	0	20:09	—	—	38	42
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	14:57	—	—	35	34
Mitch Marner R	L2	2	0	2	0	5	0.69	1	0	2	21:51	—	—	52	58
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.71	0	1	0	17:26	—	—	41	50
Nick Robertson L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	3	1	0	13:35	—	—	45	54
David Kampf C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	2	0	0	14:10	—	—	44	53
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	13:21	—	—	50	53
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	12:46	—	—	40	38
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	2	10:24	—	—	61	59
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	2	7:13	—	—	54	32
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.30	0	0	2	6:50	—	—	61	62
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	1	0	25:59	—	—	48	58
Mark Giordano D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.19	1	3	0	25:08	—	—	50	82
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.32	4	1	0	21:00	—	—	50	66
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	19:24	—	—	42	43
Victor Mete D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	42	18
Mac Hollowell D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	2	10:10	—	—	38	32

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	O	33	29	4	.879	4.29	60:33

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	-2	2	0.39	2	1	2	22:45	—	—	46	42
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.05	1	0	2	21:44	—	—	54	42
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.37	1	0	0	21:43	—	—	47	45
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.52	4	0	0	21:44	—	—	54	72
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	52	46
Alex Killorn L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.39	1	0	0	15:26	—	—	62	53
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	2	2	+2	3	0.20	1	0	0	12:51	—	—	72	63
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.39	1	0	0	10:13	—	—	63	52
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	8:28	—	—	60	58
Corey Perry R	L4	0	2	2	0	3	0.36	2	0	0	13:15	—	—	41	41
Ross Colton C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.64	1	0	0	8:48	—	—	71	93
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	7:49	—	—	55	52
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	5	3	2	19:45	—	—	62	50
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	2	4	19:18	—	—	67	68
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	0	1	0	25:00	—	—	50	23
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	1	1	2	24:38	—	—	43	31
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	10:08	—	—	50	73
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	8:56	—	—	33	58

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	39	36	3	.923	4.07	60:12

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.