Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningApr 22, 2023

Final / OTPlayoffsSaturday, Apr 22, 2023· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
TOR	2	0	1	1	4		TOR	8	8	6	5	27
TBL	2	1	0	0	3		TBL	13	15	3	8	39

: TOR 51TBL 91
: TOR 2.41TBL 4.05
PP goals: TOR 0TBL 0
Hits: TOR 62TBL 61
Blocks: TOR 26TBL 15
PIM: TOR 18TBL 18
: TOR 52%TBL 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 in overtime at TBL. Ryan O'Reilly (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) played 37:27, +12:38 up on his 24:49 season average over 5 games.

Points
Ryan O'Reilly had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 22:36.O'Reilly
Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:16.Hagel
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 26:47.Marner
Usage
Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) played 37:27, +12:38 up on his 24:49 season average over 5 games.Sergachev
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 32:35, +11:12 up on his 21:23 season average over 4 games.Hedman
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 31:49, +7:55 up on his 23:54 season average over 5 games.Raddysh
Usage
TJ Brodie (TOR) played 32:12, +9:45 up on his 22:27 season average over 10 games.Brodie
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 23:50, +7:14 up on his 16:36 season average over 5 games.Cirelli

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 142 of 142 attempts · TBL 91 · TOR 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 25% of the game, TBL 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	50	97
	1.81	4.13
	1.75	3.88
	14	17
	6	5
	25	22
	−0.014	+0.014
	25%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Jarnkrok – Marner – Matthews
12:2354% CF
L2Lafferty – Aston-Reese – Kampf
9:2420% CF
L3O'Reilly – Acciari – Knies
8:0614% CF
L4Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
7:0927% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
19:2717% CF
D2Schenn – Rielly
16:2847% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
14:5230% CF

PP1Giordano – Tavares – Jarnkrok – Nylander – Marner
1:10100% CF
PP2O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
0:5650% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:40
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
1:19
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:52
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
0:33

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
16:1976% CF
L2Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
14:2158% CF
L3Paul – Colton – Jeannot
10:5259% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
8:3388% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
25:2860% CF
D2Hedman – Perbix
19:1176% CF
D3Cole – Bogosian
9:1179% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
3:03100% CF
PP2Perry – Hedman – Paul – Colton – Hagel
0:49100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:24
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
0:58
PK1DCole – Hedman
1:42
PK2DRaddysh – Sergachev
0:39

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:24
TORNoel Acciari (Matthew Knies, Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Holl, Acciari, KniesTBL: Cole, Bogosian, Paul, Colton, Jeannot
TOR 1 – 0 TBL
4:50
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Alex Killorn, Brandon Hagel)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Schenn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, NylanderTBL: Killorn, Bogosian, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel
TOR 1 – 1 TBL
11:10
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Calle Jarnkrok)tip-in0.05 xG
TOR: Schenn, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Perry, Bellemare, Raddysh, Sergachev, Jeannot
TOR 2 – 1 TBL
19:28
TBLBrandon Hagel (Corey Perry, Ross Colton)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, Tavares, Holl, KerfootTBL: Perry, Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel
TOR 2 – 2 TBL

2nd period

13:34
TBLDarren Raddysh (Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.09 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, KniesTBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev
TOR 2 – 3 TBL

3rd period

19:00
TORRyan O'Reilly (William Nylander, Mitch Marner)other0.33 xG
TOR: O'Reilly, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, KniesTBL: Killorn, Cole, Paul, Sergachev, Hagel
TOR 3 – 3 TBL

OT period

19:15
TORMorgan Rielly (Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, Rielly, Nylander, KniesTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix
TOR 4 – 3 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.13	2	0	0	26:47	—	—	54	54
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+2	5	0.27	5	2	5	24:34	—	—	61	66
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	4	0	0	20:03	—	—	55	37
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	4	0	0	18:57	—	—	33	13
Sam Lafferty C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	2	12:43	—	—	18	2
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	0	11:51	—	—	29	2
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	1	2	3	+2	3	0.56	3	3	5	22:36	—	—	18	17
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.39	3	0	0	19:15	—	—	36	42
Noel Acciari C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	9	2	0	19:07	—	—	12	15
William Nylander R	L4	0	1	1	0	7	0.60	0	1	0	22:33	—	—	38	42
John Tavares C	L4	0	0	0	-3	1	0.10	3	2	2	20:54	—	—	28	30
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.16	1	2	0	16:10	—	—	15	20
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	6	2	32:12	—	—	23	25
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	6	1	0	28:01	—	—	21	23
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.06	4	2	2	28:14	—	—	43	37
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	6	3	0	20:24	—	—	42	40
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	2	0	24:39	—	—	31	21
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	21:47	—	—	35	27

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	39	36	3	.923	4.05	78:43

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.75	3	0	2	24:52	—	—	76	95
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.57	1	0	9	24:20	—	—	70	92
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	4	2	5	23:40	—	—	76	94
Brandon Hagel L	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.25	4	0	0	25:16	—	—	60	54
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.24	4	0	0	23:50	—	—	60	50
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	23:37	—	—	58	45
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.46	3	0	0	20:07	—	—	67	59
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.32	11	2	0	16:01	—	—	57	54
Ross Colton C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.24	8	0	0	14:52	—	—	68	57
Corey Perry R	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.23	4	0	0	13:39	—	—	63	78
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:39	—	—	47	67
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	11:40	—	—	90	100
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	5	0	37:27	—	—	58	64
Darren Raddysh D	D1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.29	4	1	2	31:49	—	—	59	70
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.27	1	3	0	32:35	—	—	71	74
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	4	0	0	22:01	—	—	76	73
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.11	2	0	0	18:21	—	—	65	68
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	1	0	13:45	—	—	76	68

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	2.41	78:59

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.