Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay LightningApr 24, 2023

Final / OTPlayoffsMonday, Apr 24, 2023· Amalie Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
TOR	0	1	3	1	5		TOR	5	14	12	6	37
TBL	2	2	0	0	4		TBL	12	7	11	1	31

: TOR 68TBL 77
: TOR 2.85TBL 3.44
PP goals: TOR 2TBL 1
Hits: TOR 46TBL 45
Blocks: TOR 28TBL 24
PIM: TOR 8TBL 10
: TOR 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4 in overtime at TBL. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A.

Points
William Nylander had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 14:21.Nylander
Points
Alex Killorn had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:40.Killorn
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 25:41.Matthews
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:13.Sergachev
Points
Mark Giordano had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:38.Giordano
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 26:48.Marner
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:06.Kucherov
Points
Ryan O'Reilly had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:03.O'Reilly

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 145 of 145 attempts · TBL 77 · TOR 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 24% of the game, TBL 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	TBL
	67	71
	2.01	2.39
	1.98	2.31
	8	10
	5	8
	17	14
	+0.013	−0.013
	24%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1O'Reilly – Kerfoot – Acciari
7:1944% CF
L2Tavares – Marner – Knies
7:0859% CF
L3Lafferty – Aston-Reese – Kampf
6:4454% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Nylander – Matthews
6:2547% CF
D1Schenn – Rielly
15:5345% CF
D2Brodie – McCabe
15:0053% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
11:0650% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
5:1267% CF
PP2Giordano – Kerfoot – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:48100% CF
PK1FAcciari – Kampf
1:04
PK2FO'Reilly – Jarnkrok
0:41
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:16
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
0:41

Current TOR line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
12:0959% CF
L2Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
10:4362% CF
L3Paul – Colton – Jeannot
9:2357% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
5:2454% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
19:3051% CF
D2Hedman – Perbix
17:5443% CF
D3Cole – Bogosian
7:0054% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
1:49100% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Hedman – Paul – Colton
0:44100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
3:30
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
1:51
PK1DCole – Hedman
3:05
PK2DRaddysh – Sergachev
0:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:57
TBLAlex KillornPP (Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman)tip-in0.10 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Marner, KampfTBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
TOR 0 – 1 TBL
18:27
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Kerfoot, NylanderTBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev
TOR 0 – 2 TBL

2nd period

4:51
TORNoel Acciari (Justin Holl, Ryan O'Reilly)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Holl, Kerfoot, AcciariTBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev
TOR 1 – 2 TBL
11:31
TBLSteven Stamkos (Victor Hedman, Nick Perbix)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Lafferty, Aston-Reese, KampfTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix
TOR 1 – 3 TBL
18:49
TBLAlex Killorn (Brandon Hagel, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Nylander, MatthewsTBL: Killorn, Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel
TOR 1 – 4 TBL

3rd period

9:44
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, William Nylander)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Schenn, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Perbix
TOR 2 – 4 TBL
12:29
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, Mark Giordano)tip-in0.10 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsTBL: Killorn, Cole, Bellemare, Sergachev
TOR 3 – 4 TBL
16:04
TORMorgan Rielly (Mitch Marner, Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, MarnerTBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix
TOR 4 – 4 TBL

OT period

4:14
TORAlexander KerfootPP (Mark Giordano, William Nylander)tip-in0.10 xG
TOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Nylander, KniesTBL: Killorn, Cole, Bellemare, Raddysh
TOR 5 – 4 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.34	1	2	0	21:03	—	—	41	48
Noel Acciari C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	6	3	0	15:32	—	—	40	45
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.21	4	0	0	12:22	—	—	39	38
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.36	0	0	0	26:48	—	—	60	60
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	5	0	2	17:30	—	—	50	42
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	14:22	—	—	47	41
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	3	0	0	11:02	—	—	53	55
Sam Lafferty C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	1	0	8:30	—	—	42	42
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	7:06	—	—	50	55
Auston Matthews C	L4	2	0	2	0	7	0.56	3	3	0	25:41	—	—	53	46
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.22	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	51	43
William Nylander R	L4	0	3	3	-1	3	0.03	0	0	2	14:21	—	—	48	33
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	1	5	0	27:18	—	—	48	57
Luke Schenn D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	10	3	0	18:03	—	—	44	72
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	3	4	2	21:49	—	—	54	54
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	4	2	2	20:40	—	—	51	45
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.07	1	3	0	17:38	—	—	46	21
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	17:07	—	—	48	23

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	31	27	4	.871	3.44	63:55

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.69	3	2	0	23:05	—	—	50	61
Alex Killorn L	L1	2	0	2	+1	7	0.78	4	1	0	22:40	—	—	49	64
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.26	3	2	2	19:20	—	—	56	66
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.16	2	0	0	20:14	—	—	46	52
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	2	2	0	2	0.09	0	3	0	19:06	—	—	50	58
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.44	2	0	0	18:17	—	—	48	58
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.20	2	1	0	15:46	—	—	54	40
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:44	—	—	54	38
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	4	0	0	12:26	—	—	52	39
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	2	2	0	10:11	—	—	50	41
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	7:47	—	—	59	52
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	2	0	0	6:55	—	—	57	41
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	6	1	0	25:01	—	—	56	64
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.09	3	6	4	24:13	—	—	54	65
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	2	2	-1	4	0.21	4	2	2	29:09	—	—	44	29
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.04	2	3	0	20:12	—	—	45	28
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:58	—	—	62	77
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	2	8:07	—	—	47	64

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	37	32	5	.865	2.85	64:14

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.