Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersDec 14, 2019

FinalSaturday, Dec 14, 2019· Rogers Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	13	9	10	32
EDM	0	0	1	1		EDM	12	11	14	37

: TOR 54EDM 62
: TOR 3.87EDM 3.07
PP goals: TOR 0EDM 1
Hits: TOR 21EDM 29
Blocks: TOR 13EDM 8
PIM: TOR 4EDM 2
: TOR 47%EDM 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–1 at EDM. Alexander Kerfoot (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Tyson Barrie (TOR) played 2:52, −19:17 down on his 22:09 season average over 69 games.

Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:19.Kerfoot
Points
Pierre Engvall had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:57.Engvall
Usage
Tyson Barrie (TOR) played 2:52, −19:17 down on his 22:09 season average over 69 games.Barrie
New line
New look for EDM: Neal–Gagner–Nugent-Hopkins skated 15:02 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Neal Gagner Nugent-Hopkins
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 36 (.973), +7 against a season average of 30.3; the win.Andersen
Usage
Justin Holl (TOR) played 26:10, +7:46 up on his 18:24 season average over 67 games.Holl
Luck
EDM scored 1 goal on 3.07 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Kris Russell (EDM) played 9:38, −7:17 down on his 16:55 season average over 54 games.Russell

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · EDM 62 · TOR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 21% of the game, EDM 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	64	68
	3.58	3.17
	3.47	3.07
	14	12
	4	8
	30	32
	−0.032	+0.032
	21%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
16:4764% CF
L2Nylander – Kapanen – Matthews
11:5343% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Mikheyev
11:3952% CF
L4Spezza – Gauthier – Timashov
7:1633% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
19:0856% CF
D2Rielly – Ceci
12:2942% CF
D3Barrie – Dermott
0:190% CF

PP1Muzzin – Tavares – Hyman – Rielly – Marner
0:220% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:22
PK2FKapanen – Mikheyev
0:55
PK1DRielly – Ceci
1:21
PK2DHoll – Dermott
0:31

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Kassian – Draisaitl – McDavid
17:1632% CF
L2Neal – Gagner – Nugent-Hopkins
15:0257% CF
L3Sheahan – Archibald – Khaira
7:2967% CF
L4Chiasson – Granlund – Haas
5:0442% CF
D1Larsson – Klefbom
22:5357% CF
D2Nurse – Bear
19:1046% CF
D3Russell – Jones
8:0550% CF

PP1Neal – Nugent-Hopkins – Klefbom – Draisaitl – McDavid
2:20100% CF
PK1FArchibald – Nugent-Hopkins
0:22
PK1DNurse – Bear
0:22

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:38
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Pierre Engvall, Morgan Rielly)snap0.25 xG
TOR: Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, MikheyevEDM: Neal, Russell, Gagner, Nugent-Hopkins, Jones
TOR 1 – 0 EDM

2nd period

5:27
TORIlya Mikheyev (Alexander Kerfoot, Pierre Engvall)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, MikheyevEDM: Kassian, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear
TOR 2 – 0 EDM

3rd period

6:08
EDMAlex ChiassonPP (Leon Draisaitl, Oscar Klefbom)backhand0.15 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, MarnerEDM: Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid
TOR 2 – 1 EDM
13:49
TORFrederik Gauthier (Dmytro Timashov)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Gauthier, TimashovEDM: Chiasson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear
TOR 3 – 1 EDM
18:39
TORMitch MarnerEN (Zach Hyman)wrist0.89 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerEDM: Neal, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear
TOR 4 – 1 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.95	0	1	0	21:21	—	—	59	66
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.61	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	62	65
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.36	1	0	0	20:02	—	—	63	70
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	39	30
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.33	0	1	0	14:34	—	—	41	29
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	13:55	—	—	44	28
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.39	1	1	0	15:19	—	—	44	62
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.23	0	0	0	14:05	—	—	52	65
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.10	1	1	0	13:57	—	—	50	69
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	3	0	0	9:39	—	—	26	50
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.59	1	1	0	9:31	—	—	32	60
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:45	—	—	33	59
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	4	3	2	27:01	—	—	54	56
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	1	0	26:10	—	—	52	56
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.06	2	2	0	24:53	—	—	48	55
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	3	1	2	22:56	—	—	43	43
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:33	—	—	34	44
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	2:52	—	—	60	76

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	37	36	1	.973	3.07	60:00

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.30	1	0	0	22:31	—	—	35	27
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.18	1	0	0	22:22	—	—	39	36
Zack Kassian R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	2	0	0	19:01	—	—	36	32
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	18:46	—	—	56	45
James Neal L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.45	4	0	0	18:30	—	—	58	53
Sam Gagner C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	0	0	16:57	—	—	57	53
Jujhar Khaira L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.53	1	0	0	14:00	—	—	71	88
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	10:35	—	—	68	77
Josh Archibald R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	3	0	0	9:46	—	—	61	69
Alex Chiasson R	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.27	1	0	0	11:43	—	—	58	44
Gaetan Haas C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	3	0	2	10:40	—	—	55	44
Markus Granlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	0	0	7:08	—	—	50	22
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	0	1	1	0	4	0.12	1	4	0	28:11	—	—	57	60
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	2	0	0	24:43	—	—	59	62
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.18	2	1	0	23:21	—	—	47	39
Ethan Bear D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	0	21:34	—	—	48	37
Caleb Jones D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	0	9:58	—	—	48	42
Kris Russell D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:38	—	—	50	41

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mikko Koskinen(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	2.98	59:14

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.