Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersJan 30, 2021

Final / OTSaturday, Jan 30, 2021· Rogers Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	1	2	0	0	3		TOR	9	10	9	1	29
EDM	2	1	0	1	4		EDM	13	11	6	1	31

: TOR 46EDM 60
: TOR 2.53EDM 3.75
PP goals: TOR 1EDM 1
Hits: TOR 17EDM 19
Blocks: TOR 16EDM 10
PIM: TOR 4EDM 4
: TOR 42%EDM 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Edmonton Oilers edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

Edmonton Oilers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 in overtime at home. Connor McDavid (EDM) led the scoring with 2G 1A. EDM's first power-play unit (Neal, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl and McDavid) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:14 together.

Points
Connor McDavid had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 23:54.McDavid
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:45.Tavares
Points
Leon Draisaitl had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:45.Draisaitl
Points
Tyson Barrie had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 22:46.Barrie
PP1
EDM's first power-play unit (Neal, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl and McDavid) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:14 together.Neal Barrie Nugent-Hopkins Draisaitl McDavid
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Spezza, Tavares, Hyman, Nylander and Lehtonen) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:27 together.Spezza Tavares Hyman Nylander Lehtonen
Usage
Mikko Lehtonen (TOR) played 9:09, −7:00 down on his 16:09 season average over 25 games.Lehtonen
Usage
Dominik Kahun (EDM) played 19:18, +6:37 up on his 12:41 season average over 47 games.Kahun

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · EDM 60 · TOR 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 23% of the game, EDM 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	47	62
	2.24	2.81
	2.08	2.67
	7	16
	5	6
	18	19
	−0.106	+0.106
	23%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
17:0048% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Mikheyev
11:4538% CF
L3Simmonds – Vesey – Kerfoot
9:2944% CF
L4Spezza – Engvall – Barabanov
6:1660% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
17:4138% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
15:3848% CF
D3Bogosian – Lehtonen
4:5929% CF

PP1Spezza – Tavares – Hyman – Nylander – Lehtonen
1:27100% CF
PP2Simmonds – Rielly – Kerfoot – Marner – Matthews
0:53100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:37
PK2FSpezza – Mikheyev
0:00
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:22

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Draisaitl – Yamamoto – Kahun
18:4158% CF
L2Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid – Puljujarvi
12:4669% CF
L3Neal – Turris – Kassian
7:2162% CF
L4Ennis – Archibald – Shore
5:4350% CF
D1Nurse – Bear
16:5554% CF
D2Larsson – Jones
14:2060% CF
D3Barrie – Koekkoek
11:1150% CF

PP1Neal – Barrie – Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – McDavid
2:14100% CF
PK1FArchibald – Draisaitl
0:57
PK2FNugent-Hopkins – Shore
0:49
PK1DLarsson – Nurse
1:36
PK2DKoekkoek – Jones
0:24

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:28
EDMDominik Kahun (Leon Draisaitl)snap0.27 xG
TOR: Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsEDM: Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto, Kahun
TOR 0 – 1 EDM
17:46
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares, Ilya Mikheyev)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, MikheyevEDM: Neal, Turris, Kassian, Barrie, Koekkoek
TOR 1 – 1 EDM
19:46
EDMJosh Archibald (Connor McDavid, Tyler Ennis)slap0.21 xG
TOR: Spezza, Holl, Rielly, Engvall, BarabanovEDM: Ennis, Archibald, Larsson, McDavid, Jones
TOR 1 – 2 EDM

2nd period

6:13
EDMConnor McDavidPP (Tyson Barrie)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, MarnerEDM: Neal, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid
TOR 1 – 3 EDM
8:08
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Jake Muzzin)slap0.05 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Vesey, Marner, MatthewsEDM: Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Koekkoek, McDavid, Puljujarvi
TOR 2 – 3 EDM
9:16
TORZach HymanPP (John Tavares, Mikko Lehtonen)snap0.20 xG
TOR: Spezza, Tavares, Hyman, Nylander, LehtonenEDM: Turris, Archibald, Larsson, Koekkoek
TOR 3 – 3 EDM

OT period

0:42
EDMConnor McDavid (Leon Draisaitl, Tyson Barrie)tip-in0.40 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, MatthewsEDM: Barrie, Draisaitl, McDavid
TOR 3 – 4 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.21	1	2	0	22:41	—	—	49	58
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.38	1	2	0	22:26	—	—	46	57
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.95	0	1	0	22:04	—	—	47	56
John Tavares C	L2	0	2	2	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	18:45	—	—	39	34
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	0	0	2	17:30	—	—	33	30
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:40	—	—	29	25
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	1	0	13:24	—	—	36	58
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	12:37	—	—	29	34
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	2	1	0	12:30	—	—	43	84
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	10:24	—	—	62	33
Alexander Barabanov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:29	—	—	50	21
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	0	0	7:15	—	—	55	21
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	2	0	24:43	—	—	33	30
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	23:57	—	—	41	40
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	0	2	0	23:11	—	—	47	45
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	22:49	—	—	52	63
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	1	0	14:37	—	—	46	32
Mikko Lehtonen D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	0	0	2	9:09	—	—	41	56

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	O	31	27	4	.871	3.75	60:15

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.12	0	0	2	23:45	—	—	58	55
Kailer Yamamoto R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	1	0	2	19:44	—	—	58	52
Dominik Kahun C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.42	1	1	0	19:18	—	—	57	51
Connor McDavid C	L2	2	1	3	+1	3	1.11	0	0	0	23:54	—	—	56	58
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.39	2	0	0	21:47	—	—	52	52
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	4	0	0	15:10	—	—	68	81
James Neal L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	9:59	—	—	57	30
Zack Kassian R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	2	0	0	9:49	—	—	53	29
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	9:18	—	—	60	35
Josh Archibald R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.59	1	0	0	12:18	—	—	47	49
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.42	1	0	0	8:45	—	—	67	95
Devin Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	7:09	—	—	50	88
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	2	3	0	27:49	—	—	57	51
Ethan Bear D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	54	47
Adam Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	2	0	19:13	—	—	59	70
Caleb Jones D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	0	0	16:45	—	—	63	71
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	2	2	-1	5	0.15	1	2	0	22:46	—	—	57	54
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:52	—	—	52	43

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mikko Koskinen(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	2.53	60:42

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.